This is it, exactly. Well said! (Also a Millennial with a house and a kid and most certainly not becoming more conservative) |
It's sort of silly asking Millenials living in DC whether they are getting more conservative as they age. Of course not. Look at where they live. But does it matter in the end? Of course not. DC has 3 measly electoral votes and no representation. It does not matter how they vote.
WE should be looking at trends across the country, which do show a swing towards conservatism with age. And, of note, Hispanic voters more likely to vote R, which is an important trend given the increase in numbers. |
I'd point out the hypocrisy with actual concrete example of authoritarian by the other side but you're too dumb to argue with. |
Yawn. You are clearly a Gen Z since you don’t remember just a few short years ago the young Bernie Bros were going to propel the progressive agenda into power. Except no one turned up at the polls to vote.
Every election cycle young people like yourself think they are they have some special new plan and momentum. Yet they never mastery in the numbers. But let me guess, “this time it’s different”. We’ll see about that. |
+1000 |
Well, Republicans died off in excess numbers during COVID. Also, old people overwhelmingly voted for Trump and 12-13 million will have died by 2024. So maybe this time is different. |
GenZ isn't saving anything unless internet outrage suddenly causes meaningful change. They bought 100% into the tech sector garbage. |
Surely you have evidence of this swing? |
This trend has been widely reported in national news media. Outlets such as politico and axios have written about Latinos moving to the GOP. Google is your friend. |
I hope they save us. Someone needs to because MAGA is a scourge |
The problem is polling never captures the silent majority effectively. You all were shocked Hillary lost. What they have a hard time detecting are how many potential voters are being swayed to vote against the Dems because of Biden’s inflation, open borders mass migration, fentanyl pouring into the country, out of control crime, people with penises playing sports with people with vaginas, shutting down of schools, etc. It’s going to be a rude awakening next year when you learn you can’t rely on 18-20 year olds, who are still in their mom’s basements smoking weed and playing video games, to vote. |
Did they do that before or after the “red wave”? |
Polling was just about spot on in 2016. The key states that Trump ended up winning were comfortably within the margin of error. We weren't shocked because the polls showed a landslide for Clinton and systematically excluded MAGAs and Independents who swung toward Trump but were too shy to talk about it to pollsters. That didn't happen. We were shocked because we couldn't believe that there were enough people in a few key swing states that were gullible and/or dumb enough to pull the lever for a conman whose presidency was very obviously going to be a trainwreck. We had more faith in our fellow countrymen. Alas, they did not return the favor. The rest of your post only resonates with terminally addled Fox News viewers. Those of us living in the real world can see right through the distortion and contrived culture war claptrap. Perhaps after 2024 the GOP will finally understand that it has to excise the cancer that's eating away at the party (and our nation). But, knowing the GOP, they'll probably quadruple down and tell themselves "this time, it'll be different," much to the detriment of the country. Sad. |
Do you not follow polling data? As a hispanic from Texas, I follow the data in Texas closely. Border counties (which are 95%+ hispanic) swung widely for Rs in both 2016 and 2020. Webb, Starr, Hidalgo, etc. swung by double digit margins. This is insane considering all counties went for HRC the prior election cycle by 60-65%. Texas is over 40% Hispanic and growing. Dems thought they could take the state and failed to consider that latino voters were not with them. And FL experienced the same shifts, though it already had a R base with the Cuban population. Now with the influx of VZ and more S American migrants escaping socialist regimes, there is significantly LESS chance that they would vote D when given the opportunity. Ds have miscalculated the Hispanic vote and made some pretty crazy assumptions about what is largely a conservative, religious group. "Trump ultimately won 14 of these 28 counties — eight of which he flipped from 2016 — with many more counties than Starr lurching to the right: Maverick County moved 46 points to the right, Zapata County moved 38 points, Webb County moved 28 points and Hidalgo County moved 23 points. Hidalgo, with around 871,000 people, is the most populous county in the border area (edging out El Paso County’s 866,000), which made its shift toward Trump especially impactful in terms of raw vote totals. To be clear, President Biden still won the overall vote across the border and South Texas counties by 17 points, but this was about half the margin Hillary Clinton had in 2016, when she won the region by 33 points." https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/why-democratic-gains-in-texass-big-metro-areas-could-outweigh-republican-success-in-south-texas/ And this article was wrong in the end thinking D gains in metro areas would move the needle in TX |
Nice dissertation. I just think it is hilarious your strategy is going to be to rely on 18-20 years olds to vote. 😂 |