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Reply to "GEN Z will save America...."
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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]It's sort of silly asking Millenials living in DC whether they are getting more conservative as they age. Of course not. Look at where they live. But does it matter in the end? Of course not. DC has 3 measly electoral votes and no representation. It does not matter how they vote. WE should be looking at trends across the country, which do show a swing towards conservatism with age. And, of note, Hispanic voters more likely to vote R, which is an important trend given the increase in numbers. [/quote] Surely you have evidence of this swing? [/quote] Do you not follow polling data? As a hispanic from Texas, I follow the data in Texas closely. Border counties (which are 95%+ hispanic) swung widely for Rs in both 2016 and 2020. Webb, Starr, Hidalgo, etc. swung by double digit margins. This is insane considering all counties went for HRC the prior election cycle by 60-65%. Texas is over 40% Hispanic and growing. Dems thought they could take the state and failed to consider that latino voters were not with them. And FL experienced the same shifts, though it already had a R base with the Cuban population. Now with the influx of VZ and more S American migrants escaping socialist regimes, there is significantly LESS chance that they would vote D when given the opportunity. Ds have miscalculated the Hispanic vote and made some pretty crazy assumptions about what is largely a conservative, religious group. "Trump ultimately won 14 of these 28 counties — eight of which he flipped from 2016 — with many more counties than Starr lurching to the right: Maverick County moved 46 points to the right, Zapata County moved 38 points, Webb County moved 28 points and Hidalgo County moved 23 points. Hidalgo, with around 871,000 people, is the most populous county in the border area (edging out El Paso County’s 866,000), which made its shift toward Trump especially impactful in terms of raw vote totals. To be clear, President Biden still won the overall vote across the border and South Texas counties by 17 points, but this was about half the margin Hillary Clinton had in 2016, when she won the region by 33 points." https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/why-democratic-gains-in-texass-big-metro-areas-could-outweigh-republican-success-in-south-texas/ And this article was wrong in the end thinking D gains in metro areas would move the needle in TX[/quote]
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