
Qatar? |
Umm … they’re already in Qatar. |
Saudi Arabia and Qatar? Yes, they will. They'll have to be very cautious about it for years, since their populations won't agree, but long-term influence is what they're after, and they've been hankering for a relationship with the West for decades now, to expand their footprint abroad and consolidate power back home. And they've each developed their own relationship with western governments. You may have heard of their sports diplomacy recently? The sad truth is, nobody cares very much for the poor Palestinians in Gaza or the West Bank. Their highly visible suffering is used to exploit already existing fractures, but no suffering in the world is going to divorce Saudi Arabia from the US. Those two need each other for regional security, oil politics and MONEY. |
No. It is a concession in the negotiations that Qatar and the US are working on. Do you really think the US has no influence on how this shakes out? |
+1 |
There’s no way Iranians want any members of Hamas (or Palestinians for that matter) in their country. The Iranians just need Hamas to die in Tehran’s proxy wars. Hamas are Iran’s stooges. |
No I don’t. |
And if the US withdraws support from Israel, expect Iran to get involved pretty much immediately. |
Yes, news in the 80s and 90s and naughts were as you describe. With Israel killing at least 5x more (really more like 10x) than the Palestinians but the Palestinians always portrayed as the bad guys. My perspective totally cha he’d when I travelled in the region and met displaced Palestinians. From their perceptive the anger that should be poured in Germany of the Holocaust is on their shoulders. They weren’t the Nazis. |
You can’t have it both ways then. |
Just so we’re clear on what would happen if the US withdrew support from Israel:
States that would attack very quickly: Syria Lebanon Iran Hamas obviously would. Saudi Arabia would support Israel’s adversaries, despite Iran being Shia and not Arab. Israel’s 170,000 person army, with 465,000 reserves would go up against 4 countries and Hamas. I think it’s pretty clear they’d lose. 7 million Israeli Jews would likely die, either during or after the war. |
It’s not going to happen. |
I just want to make it clear to these posters that that’s what they’re asking for when they say they want the US to stop supporting Israel. |
Syria’s military is a wreck due to ISIS and the civil war with the multiple Islamist Jihadi groups. Lebanon doesn’t really exist as a functioning state. The only power Iran can really project is through proxies like Hezbollah and Hamas. Tehran’s conventional military is mostly a joke. |
If he gets a ceasefire, gets the hostages, and gets rid of Hamas, well. Hot damn. |