Lottery Nerd - Waitlist predictions
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Anonymous
Got it - so helpful, thank you so much for taking your time. We are actually in boundary for Wells and could get into Macfarland but I haven’t heard good things about these schools. |
kareng
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Hi LN, twins apply for PK4. Pls help to predict.
Hearst #40 #55 Ross #39 #54 Janney #45 #63 Murch #43 #53 Marie Reed #25 #29 |
Anonymous
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We matched at our in-boundary but hoping for MV Calle Ocho where we are #37 on the waiting list for PK3.
Any chance? I had my hopes up but seems like this year will be tougher than the previous ones based on what I see here..? We are way too far on all the other waiting lists we’re on. Thank you so much! |
Anonymous
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6th grade
Stuart Hobson #6 |
Anonymous
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7th grade lottery list
Stuart Hobson #6 Hardy #16 DCI (Spanish Language Program) #19 Oyster-Adams Bilingual School (Adams) #9 Deal Middle School #19 John Francis Education Campus #26 Eliot-Hines Middle School #29 Jefferson Middle School #14 |
Anonymous
Did you add some of these post-lottery? The WL numbers for some schools are otherwise higher than possible. |
Anonymous
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Lottery for fourth grader:
Burroughs #10 Whittier #8 Inspired Teaching #6 |
Anonymous
Wow I'm amazed that your ITDS number is the lowest. |
Anonymous
| LN are you there???? |
Anonymous
You’re very likely to get in. They are typically under enrolled
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Anonymous
The others could be post lottery additions. |
Anonymous
| When will we start to see waitlists really move? Midnight? |
Anonymous
LN here. Sorry for the delay, got busy. I would assume almost always, once the first kid gets in, they'll pull in the second one. Unfortunately, your kid's lottery numbers must have been pretty similar - Hearst, for example, has a waitlist of 100 kids, so both your kids are right around the middle. You'd be better off if one of them had a better number, even if the second had a really crappy one. Hearst #40 #55 - You've got a chance here. Of the past five years, twice they've gone that deep into the waitlist. So, 40% chance. Would likely be in August or September if you did get a slot. Ross #39 #54 - No offer. Janney #45 #63 - You have a chance here as well. Of the past five years, twice they have gone that deep into the waitlist. So, 40% chance. Murch #43 #53 - No offer. Marie Reed #25 #29 - No offer. |
Anonymous
LN here. Sorry, you're not going to get an offer. They went that deep last year, but they were in a swing space, and as I understand it, are now back in their newly renovated space. That generally drives demand up, not down, and you wouldn't have gotten in any other year. Editorializing: IB for PK is lovely. Walk to school! Meet your neighbors! |
Anonymous
Not in my experience. |