2024 POTUS - polling only

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Not accurate. From the Marist poll data:

Registered in GA: D=41%, R=41%, I=18%
Poll: D=35%, R=39%, I=25%

Registered in NC: D=33%, R=30%, I=36%
Poll: D=36%, R=36%, I=27%

Registered in AZ: D=29%, R=35%, I=34%
Poll: D=32%, R=39%, I=28%

Looks like they were pretty close to representative for both left and right. In most cases, they polled higher for both Ds and Rs than registered and lower for Is. That could be construed as giving higher number for left and/or right leaning I's. They kept the relatively numbers pretty close. If anything, they oversampled R votes. In GA, the registered at even, but they sampled 4% more R. In NC, D have 3% more, but they sampled D/R evenly. In AZ, D are 6% lower and they sampled D's 7% lower. In all three of these cases they oversampled R's by 1-4%.

Who knows how accurate it is given that NC just eliminated 10 pct of its voting population for not meeting “requirements.”

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:You don’t need to know internal polling. Would Harris be going to the border if she thought she was ahead? Nope

Would Harris spend any time in Texas if they didn't think it would help?

[Anonymous]

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

https://www.politico.com/news/2021/07/18/pollsters-2020-polls-all-wrong-500050

Polls understated Trump support by 3-4 points in 2020.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

https://www.politico.com/news/2021/07/18/pollsters-2020-polls-all-wrong-500050

Polls understated Trump support by 3-4 points in 2020.

This is 2024. Trump has alienated so many voters since 2020. Maybe he should not have tried to chuck millions of votes in the trash and destroy the basic rights of millions of women if he was going to try to run again. What a terrible candidate.

[Anonymous]

FOX NEWS POLL: One candidate has edge in battleground state of Georgia
i love the headline

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

https://www.politico.com/news/2021/07/18/pollsters-2020-polls-all-wrong-500050

Polls understated Trump support by 3-4 points in 2020.

This is 2024. Trump has alienated so many voters since 2020. Maybe he should not have tried to chuck millions of votes in the trash and destroy the basic rights of millions of women if he was going to try to run again. What a terrible candidate.

He's horrible but his favorability is actually higher now than it was then.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

https://www.politico.com/news/2021/07/18/pollsters-2020-polls-all-wrong-500050

Polls understated Trump support by 3-4 points in 2020.

This is 2024. Trump has alienated so many voters since 2020. Maybe he should not have tried to chuck millions of votes in the trash and destroy the basic rights of millions of women if he was going to try to run again. What a terrible candidate.

He's horrible but his favorability is actually higher now than it was then.

No it isn't. No one but idiots like him. He is the most beatable candidate in American history and anything less than a landslide victory by Harris will be a complete shock that would indicate much greater problems in our political system than just Trump.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

https://www.politico.com/news/2021/07/18/pollsters-2020-polls-all-wrong-500050

Polls understated Trump support by 3-4 points in 2020.

Yes, and polls correct for that.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

The independents number - oooof
[twitter]https://x.com/noahcrothman/status/1839475606708195540?s=61&t=I7ZozTDGmPOsC7cmSRxwgA

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

The independents number - oooof

[Anonymous]

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

https://www.politico.com/news/2021/07/18/pollsters-2020-polls-all-wrong-500050

Polls understated Trump support by 3-4 points in 2020.

This is 2024. Trump has alienated so many voters since 2020. Maybe he should not have tried to chuck millions of votes in the trash and destroy the basic rights of millions of women if he was going to try to run again. What a terrible candidate.

He's horrible but his favorability is actually higher now than it was then.

No it isn't. No one but idiots like him. He is the most beatable candidate in American history and anything less than a landslide victory by Harris will be a complete shock that would indicate much greater problems in our political system than just Trump.

Well, yes, duh. Have you been living under a rock? That is the problem. So many people are still willing to vote for him.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Morning Consult is a joke, biased Democrat pollster.

[Anonymous]

Rigged polling

For those who continue to spout Rasmussen.