2024 POTUS - polling only

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Morning Consult is a joke, biased Democrat pollster.

As with Rasmussen, you should look at how the same polls trend. I believe these show that Harris has gained at least in Wisconsin.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Rigged polling

For those who continue to spout Rasmussen.

I thought it was well known that Rasmussen was pro-GOP.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Rigged polling

For those who continue to spout Rasmussen.

I thought it was well known that Rasmussen was pro-GOP.

It is well known, but these correspondances show illegal communication and coordination.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Morning Consult is a joke, biased Democrat pollster.

As with Rasmussen, you should look at how the same polls trend. I believe these show that Harris has gained at least in Wisconsin.

You can do that, but remember these are polls based on samples of voters. The best polls, like NYT/Siena, jump around quite a bit. All we really know is this race is close.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Not accurate. From the Marist poll data:

Registered in GA: D=41%, R=41%, I=18%
Poll: D=35%, R=39%, I=25%

Registered in NC: D=33%, R=30%, I=36%
Poll: D=36%, R=36%, I=27%

Registered in AZ: D=29%, R=35%, I=34%
Poll: D=32%, R=39%, I=28%

Looks like they were pretty close to representative for both left and right. In most cases, they polled higher for both Ds and Rs than registered and lower for Is. That could be construed as giving higher number for left and/or right leaning I's. They kept the relatively numbers pretty close. If anything, they oversampled R votes. In GA, the registered at even, but they sampled 4% more R. In NC, D have 3% more, but they sampled D/R evenly. In AZ, D are 6% lower and they sampled D's 7% lower. In all three of these cases they oversampled R's by 1-4%.

Who knows how accurate it is given that NC just eliminated 10 pct of its voting population for not meeting “requirements.”

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

https://www.politico.com/news/2021/07/18/pollsters-2020-polls-all-wrong-500050

Polls understated Trump support by 3-4 points in 2020.

This is 2024. Trump has alienated so many voters since 2020. Maybe he should not have tried to chuck millions of votes in the trash and destroy the basic rights of millions of women if he was going to try to run again. What a terrible candidate.

He's horrible but his favorability is actually higher now than it was then.

No it isn't. No one but idiots like him. He is the most beatable candidate in American history and anything less than a landslide victory by Harris will be a complete shock that would indicate much greater problems in our political system than just Trump.

I can see the smudge from where you erased "Clinton" and wrote "Harris".

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Not accurate. From the Marist poll data:

Registered in GA: D=41%, R=41%, I=18%
Poll: D=35%, R=39%, I=25%

Registered in NC: D=33%, R=30%, I=36%
Poll: D=36%, R=36%, I=27%

Registered in AZ: D=29%, R=35%, I=34%
Poll: D=32%, R=39%, I=28%

Looks like they were pretty close to representative for both left and right. In most cases, they polled higher for both Ds and Rs than registered and lower for Is. That could be construed as giving higher number for left and/or right leaning I's. They kept the relatively numbers pretty close. If anything, they oversampled R votes. In GA, the registered at even, but they sampled 4% more R. In NC, D have 3% more, but they sampled D/R evenly. In AZ, D are 6% lower and they sampled D's 7% lower. In all three of these cases they oversampled R's by 1-4%.

Who knows how accurate it is given that NC just eliminated 10 pct of its voting population for not meeting “requirements.”

removing people for not voting for two cycles is ridiculous.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:https://x.com/davidchapman141/status/1838959769802907792?s=46&t=MpkceUgvzQ5ldTyvmUWW-g

David, despite the name, the Electoral College is not actually a small Catholic university.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Not accurate. From the Marist poll data:

Registered in GA: D=41%, R=41%, I=18%
Poll: D=35%, R=39%, I=25%

Registered in NC: D=33%, R=30%, I=36%
Poll: D=36%, R=36%, I=27%

Registered in AZ: D=29%, R=35%, I=34%
Poll: D=32%, R=39%, I=28%

Looks like they were pretty close to representative for both left and right. In most cases, they polled higher for both Ds and Rs than registered and lower for Is. That could be construed as giving higher number for left and/or right leaning I's. They kept the relatively numbers pretty close. If anything, they oversampled R votes. In GA, the registered at even, but they sampled 4% more R. In NC, D have 3% more, but they sampled D/R evenly. In AZ, D are 6% lower and they sampled D's 7% lower. In all three of these cases they oversampled R's by 1-4%.

Who knows how accurate it is given that NC just eliminated 10 pct of its voting population for not meeting “requirements.”

removing people for not voting for two cycles is ridiculous.

How is that legal? You are not required to vote even if you are registered.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Not accurate. From the Marist poll data:

Registered in GA: D=41%, R=41%, I=18%
Poll: D=35%, R=39%, I=25%

Registered in NC: D=33%, R=30%, I=36%
Poll: D=36%, R=36%, I=27%

Registered in AZ: D=29%, R=35%, I=34%
Poll: D=32%, R=39%, I=28%

Looks like they were pretty close to representative for both left and right. In most cases, they polled higher for both Ds and Rs than registered and lower for Is. That could be construed as giving higher number for left and/or right leaning I's. They kept the relatively numbers pretty close. If anything, they oversampled R votes. In GA, the registered at even, but they sampled 4% more R. In NC, D have 3% more, but they sampled D/R evenly. In AZ, D are 6% lower and they sampled D's 7% lower. In all three of these cases they oversampled R's by 1-4%.

Who knows how accurate it is given that NC just eliminated 10 pct of its voting population for not meeting “requirements.”

removing people for not voting for two cycles is ridiculous.

They can re-register. The board is controlled by Democrats, so they oversaw the voter purge.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:https://x.com/davidchapman141/status/1838959769802907792?s=46&t=MpkceUgvzQ5ldTyvmUWW-g

David, despite the name, the Electoral College is not actually a small Catholic university.

This guy is a JOKE!

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Not accurate. From the Marist poll data:

Registered in GA: D=41%, R=41%, I=18%
Poll: D=35%, R=39%, I=25%

Registered in NC: D=33%, R=30%, I=36%
Poll: D=36%, R=36%, I=27%

Registered in AZ: D=29%, R=35%, I=34%
Poll: D=32%, R=39%, I=28%

Looks like they were pretty close to representative for both left and right. In most cases, they polled higher for both Ds and Rs than registered and lower for Is. That could be construed as giving higher number for left and/or right leaning I's. They kept the relatively numbers pretty close. If anything, they oversampled R votes. In GA, the registered at even, but they sampled 4% more R. In NC, D have 3% more, but they sampled D/R evenly. In AZ, D are 6% lower and they sampled D's 7% lower. In all three of these cases they oversampled R's by 1-4%.

Who knows how accurate it is given that NC just eliminated 10 pct of its voting population for not meeting “requirements.”

removing people for not voting for two cycles is ridiculous.

They can re-register. The board is controlled by Democrats, so they oversaw the voter purge.

You reregister. They don't have to vote even if they are registered.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Not accurate. From the Marist poll data:

Registered in GA: D=41%, R=41%, I=18%
Poll: D=35%, R=39%, I=25%

Registered in NC: D=33%, R=30%, I=36%
Poll: D=36%, R=36%, I=27%

Registered in AZ: D=29%, R=35%, I=34%
Poll: D=32%, R=39%, I=28%

Looks like they were pretty close to representative for both left and right. In most cases, they polled higher for both Ds and Rs than registered and lower for Is. That could be construed as giving higher number for left and/or right leaning I's. They kept the relatively numbers pretty close. If anything, they oversampled R votes. In GA, the registered at even, but they sampled 4% more R. In NC, D have 3% more, but they sampled D/R evenly. In AZ, D are 6% lower and they sampled D's 7% lower. In all three of these cases they oversampled R's by 1-4%.

Who knows how accurate it is given that NC just eliminated 10 pct of its voting population for not meeting “requirements.”

removing people for not voting for two cycles is ridiculous.

It's not just not voting for 4years. It's not engaging with the Board of Elections at all, including updating your address of residence or party affiliation, or responding to the notice of inactivation. Even then, inactive removed voters are still permitted to reactivate and vote on Election Day, by filling out a form.

https://www.ncsl.org/elections-and-campaigns/voter-registration-list-maintenance#lack%20of

https://disabilityrightsnc.org/news/drnc-newsfeed/update-voter-information/

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Not accurate. From the Marist poll data:

Registered in GA: D=41%, R=41%, I=18%
Poll: D=35%, R=39%, I=25%

Registered in NC: D=33%, R=30%, I=36%
Poll: D=36%, R=36%, I=27%

Registered in AZ: D=29%, R=35%, I=34%
Poll: D=32%, R=39%, I=28%

Looks like they were pretty close to representative for both left and right. In most cases, they polled higher for both Ds and Rs than registered and lower for Is. That could be construed as giving higher number for left and/or right leaning I's. They kept the relatively numbers pretty close. If anything, they oversampled R votes. In GA, the registered at even, but they sampled 4% more R. In NC, D have 3% more, but they sampled D/R evenly. In AZ, D are 6% lower and they sampled D's 7% lower. In all three of these cases they oversampled R's by 1-4%.

Who knows how accurate it is given that NC just eliminated 10 pct of its voting population for not meeting “requirements.”

removing people for not voting for two cycles is ridiculous.

They can re-register. The board is controlled by Democrats, so they oversaw the voter purge.

You reregister. They don't have to vote even if they are registered.

For anyone in NC, October 11 is the deadline for online voter registration. Voters can also do same day registration in person during early voting from October 17-November 2.

When you go to vote, NC requires photo ID regardless if you are already registered.

[Anonymous]