2024 POTUS - polling only

[Anonymous]

If you want to post more than 3 sentences of thought and analysis please do so in another thread.

[Anonymous]

Friday’s polling average from Real Clear Politics shows a dead heat between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump in Pennsylvania, a key battleground state in the battle for the White House.

Just 0.2 percentage points separate Trump and Harris, with the GOP nominee clinging to a residual lead that dominated President Joe Biden by 9 points before he bowed out of the race on July 21.

The RCP average represents results gathered by pollsters between July 22 and Aug. 19. In six of the 10 polls, Trump leads between 1 percentage point and 4 percentage points. In three matchups, Harris commands the same leads. A Fox News poll conducted between July 22 and July 24 that surveyed 1,034 registered voters found the candidates to be tied. The margin of error on the poll was 2%.

8-26-24

https://www.bradfordera.com/news/trump-harris-in-dead-heat-in-pennsylvania-polling/article_cf3dca92-63be-11ef-b774-67bdd3716619.html

[Anonymous]

Where can one see reliable swing state polls? The overall polls don’t really mean much.

[Anonymous]

Lots of sources. You can just Google 'swing state polls' or 'poll + name of state'. Sort by date.

I'm hoping this thread can become a quick source for new polling.

[Anonymous]

Harris up 3.7 points in Wisconsin. https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/wisconsin/

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:If you want to post more than 3 sentences of thought and analysis please do so in another thread.

THANK YOU

[Anonymous]

Voter registration comparison between these past few weeks of 2024 vs. the same weeks in 2020.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Voter registration comparison between these past few weeks of 2024 vs. the same weeks in 2020.

Do they have the actual values and by state? That's actually exciting but it could be on a really small figure.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:If you want to post more than 3 sentences of thought and analysis please do so in another thread.

Just FYI, you are not going to get your wish. Jeff just locked the other thread that you were running from and forwarded people to this thread. So, that means the discussions that were goin on there, will be continued here. Sorry about that.

[jsteele]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:If you want to post more than 3 sentences of thought and analysis please do so in another thread.

Just FYI, you are not going to get your wish. Jeff just locked the other thread that you were running from and forwarded people to this thread. So, that means the discussions that were goin on there, will be continued here. Sorry about that.

Not if posters report the off-topic posts and I remove them and block the posters who can't follow rules.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Voter registration comparison between these past few weeks of 2024 vs. the same weeks in 2020.

I wish there was a breakout for AAPI women like there is for the other women breakouts

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Voter registration comparison between these past few weeks of 2024 vs. the same weeks in 2020.

Excellent news. For those like me that didn't know what AAPI is, it's Asian and Pacific Islander.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Where can one see reliable swing state polls? The overall polls don’t really mean much.

https://www.270towin.com/2024-presidential-election-polls/

Average of the last 5 polls by state, post DNC. You will see all the polls for each state if you click the state. It is really close!!!

Harris-Trimp

Arizona: 46-46
Michigan: 47-46
North Carolina: 46-47
Georgia: 47-48
Pennsylvania: 48-47
Wisconsin: 49-45
Virginia: 46-43

[Anonymous]

https://www.yahoo.com/news/new-yahoo-newsyougov-poll-a-huge-surge-in-democratic-optimism--but-no-big-bounce-for-harris--after-the-dnc-194934515.html

[Anonymous]

Cool Political Report posted first forecast since Walz:

226 Harris
219 Trump
93 tossup

https://www.270towin.com/maps/cook-political-report-2024-electoral-college-ratings