2024 POTUS - polling only

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Marist wouldn’t be A rated if they were underestimating Democrats in every poll in every swing state for years.

[Anonymous]

I would really like to get a look at what the two campaigns' internal polls say. I believe those are the only polls that are even close to accurate.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:I would really like to get a look at what the two campaigns' internal polls say. I believe those are the only polls that are even close to accurate.

Yes do let us know when you get those and report back. 🙄

[Anonymous]

Emerson for Pollara has every swing state tied except Georgia at 51-49 Trump. Likely voters, Sept. 15-18
https://www.pollara.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/09/Harris-Trump-Match-up-September.pdf

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:I would really like to get a look at what the two campaigns' internal polls say. I believe those are the only polls that are even close to accurate.

Me too but that stuff doesn’t come out until years later. They pay dearly for those polls.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Not accurate. From the Marist poll data:

Registered in GA: D=41%, R=41%, I=18%
Poll: D=35%, R=39%, I=25%

Registered in NC: D=33%, R=30%, I=36%
Poll: D=36%, R=36%, I=27%

Registered in AZ: D=29%, R=35%, I=34%
Poll: D=32%, R=39%, I=28%

Looks like they were pretty close to representative for both left and right. In most cases, they polled higher for both Ds and Rs than registered and lower for Is. That could be construed as giving higher number for left and/or right leaning I's. They kept the relatively numbers pretty close. If anything, they oversampled R votes. In GA, the registered at even, but they sampled 4% more R. In NC, D have 3% more, but they sampled D/R evenly. In AZ, D are 6% lower and they sampled D's 7% lower. In all three of these cases they oversampled R's by 1-4%.

[Anonymous]

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:I would really like to get a look at what the two campaigns' internal polls say. I believe those are the only polls that are even close to accurate.

Yes do let us know when you get those and report back. 🙄

Oooh oooh I found one! She’s running ahead of Biden’s 7 point win here in 2020.

[Anonymous]

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Marist wouldn’t be A rated if they were underestimating Democrats in every poll in every swing state for years.

https://www.allsides.com/news-source/marist-poll-media-bias#community-feedback

About Marist Poll's Bias Rating

Marist Poll is a reference source with an AllSides Media Bias Rating™ of Center.

As of September 2024, 75 people have voted on the AllSides Media Bias Rating for Marist Poll. On average, those who disagree with our rating think this source has a Lean Left bias.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

[Anonymous]

You don’t need to know internal polling. Would Harris be going to the border if she thought she was ahead? Nope

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

She was up 50-48% in their last poll of Georgia. It’s funny how Fox are the only polling outlet that has Harris up in Georgia. Although their poll is technically bipartisan and uses a D pollster.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:You don’t need to know internal polling. Would Harris be going to the border if she thought she was ahead? Nope

She is the one begging for another debate. If she was winning, why would she be pushing so hard for another debate?

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:You don’t need to know internal polling. Would Harris be going to the border if she thought she was ahead? Nope

She is the one begging for another debate. If she was winning, why would she be pushing so hard for another debate?

She’s begging for another debate? She agreed to one. But trump is too chicken sh@! to do it.