2022 Senate Map

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Cook political report shifts PA to leans dem

https://www.axios.com/2022/08/18/cook-political-report-pennsylvania-senate

The Cook Political Report shifted the open Pennsylvania Senate race from "toss up" to "lean Democrat" in the nonpartisan prognosticator's latest ratings published on Thursday.

Why it matters: The new ratings reflect Pennsylvania Lt. Gov. John Fetterman's (D) edge over Republican rival Mehmet Oz in the hotly contested Senate race.

How is this race possibly just lean Dem with an abhorent GOP candidate???

Cool tends to look a lot at fundamentals, and less at polling. Fundamentals still favor republicans.

+1 I wouldn’t be so sure just yet. This is a state that went for Trump in 2016 (another abhorrent GOP candidate.)

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Cook political report shifts PA to leans dem

https://www.axios.com/2022/08/18/cook-political-report-pennsylvania-senate

The Cook Political Report shifted the open Pennsylvania Senate race from "toss up" to "lean Democrat" in the nonpartisan prognosticator's latest ratings published on Thursday.

Why it matters: The new ratings reflect Pennsylvania Lt. Gov. John Fetterman's (D) edge over Republican rival Mehmet Oz in the hotly contested Senate race.

How is this race possibly just lean Dem with an abhorent GOP candidate???

Cool tends to look a lot at fundamentals, and less at polling. Fundamentals still favor republicans.

+1 I wouldn’t be so sure just yet. This is a state that went for Trump in 2016 (another abhorrent GOP candidate.)

There's a huge difference between Fetterman and Hillary Clinton.

The Fetterman-Oz race comes down to a man who was born, raised and has lived his entire life in Pennsylvania and has devoted the last 16 years in public service (21 years if you include the 5 years he worked in the Americorps helping disadvantaged youth earn their GEDs) for Pennsylvania. As mayor of Braddock, he took and old burnt-out steel mill town and revitalized and restored it. Then he became Lt Governor. Compare this with a carpet-bagger from New Jersey and Hollywood. His only claims to Pennsylvania were that he went to medical school there (yeah, that makes him Pennsylvanian--NOT) and his in-laws live there. Outside of medical school, he's never lived there. He's never served the state. He doesn't even know the people or the issues. He was picked by Trump because he's a Hollywood facade and has huge face recognition from his snake oil years once Oprah Winfrey made him a national celebrity. But he's a celebrity and not a politician and he doesn't know Pennsylvania.

In 2016, the people of Pennsylvania were voting against Hillary Clinton. They'll do it again this year when they vote against Dr. Oz. In fact, all things considered, Donald Trump only won by 0.7% (45K out of 5.8M votes). Considering how much Pennsylvanians disliked the dishonesty of the Clinton clan, it was pretty close. In this case, I predict that Oz is likely to lose by double digit percentages. Oz's most popular point was immediately after the primary. Since then, he has slid and continues to slide. The more he opens his mouth, the less Pennsylvanians like him. And the more he shows that he is completely out of touch with the electorate. Even the pro-Trumpers are seeing him for the vapid, Hollywood, wealthy celebrity that has no clue how to even spell politics, let alone, work in politics.

[Anonymous]

McCormick would have made a better opponent for the MAGAs, and he is married to a former Trump staffer. I wonder why Trump chose Oz. Birds of a feather, I guess.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Cook political report shifts PA to leans dem

https://www.axios.com/2022/08/18/cook-political-report-pennsylvania-senate

The Cook Political Report shifted the open Pennsylvania Senate race from "toss up" to "lean Democrat" in the nonpartisan prognosticator's latest ratings published on Thursday.

Why it matters: The new ratings reflect Pennsylvania Lt. Gov. John Fetterman's (D) edge over Republican rival Mehmet Oz in the hotly contested Senate race.

How is this race possibly just lean Dem with an abhorent GOP candidate???

Cool tends to look a lot at fundamentals, and less at polling. Fundamentals still favor republicans.

+1 I wouldn’t be so sure just yet. This is a state that went for Trump in 2016 (another abhorrent GOP candidate.)

There's a huge difference between Fetterman and Hillary Clinton.

The Fetterman-Oz race comes down to a man who was born, raised and has lived his entire life in Pennsylvania and has devoted the last 16 years in public service (21 years if you include the 5 years he worked in the Americorps helping disadvantaged youth earn their GEDs) for Pennsylvania. As mayor of Braddock, he took and old burnt-out steel mill town and revitalized and restored it. Then he became Lt Governor. Compare this with a carpet-bagger from New Jersey and Hollywood. His only claims to Pennsylvania were that he went to medical school there (yeah, that makes him Pennsylvanian--NOT) and his in-laws live there. Outside of medical school, he's never lived there. He's never served the state. He doesn't even know the people or the issues. He was picked by Trump because he's a Hollywood facade and has huge face recognition from his snake oil years once Oprah Winfrey made him a national celebrity. But he's a celebrity and not a politician and he doesn't know Pennsylvania.

In 2016, the people of Pennsylvania were voting against Hillary Clinton. They'll do it again this year when they vote against Dr. Oz. In fact, all things considered, Donald Trump only won by 0.7% (45K out of 5.8M votes). Considering how much Pennsylvanians disliked the dishonesty of the Clinton clan, it was pretty close. In this case, I predict that Oz is likely to lose by double digit percentages. Oz's most popular point was immediately after the primary. Since then, he has slid and continues to slide. The more he opens his mouth, the less Pennsylvanians like him. And the more he shows that he is completely out of touch with the electorate. Even the pro-Trumpers are seeing him for the vapid, Hollywood, wealthy celebrity that has no clue how to even spell politics, let alone, work in politics.

Unless it has been edited, Oz’ wiki page says he is a practicing Muslim. He served in the Turkish army and voted in Turkey as a Turkish citizen. Really liberal of the Republicans to embrace him. His connection to Erdogan is a feature not a bug.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Cook political report shifts PA to leans dem

https://www.axios.com/2022/08/18/cook-political-report-pennsylvania-senate

The Cook Political Report shifted the open Pennsylvania Senate race from "toss up" to "lean Democrat" in the nonpartisan prognosticator's latest ratings published on Thursday.

Why it matters: The new ratings reflect Pennsylvania Lt. Gov. John Fetterman's (D) edge over Republican rival Mehmet Oz in the hotly contested Senate race.

How is this race possibly just lean Dem with an abhorent GOP candidate???

Cool tends to look a lot at fundamentals, and less at polling. Fundamentals still favor republicans.

+1 I wouldn’t be so sure just yet. This is a state that went for Trump in 2016 (another abhorrent GOP candidate.)

There's a huge difference between Fetterman and Hillary Clinton.

The Fetterman-Oz race comes down to a man who was born, raised and has lived his entire life in Pennsylvania and has devoted the last 16 years in public service (21 years if you include the 5 years he worked in the Americorps helping disadvantaged youth earn their GEDs) for Pennsylvania. As mayor of Braddock, he took and old burnt-out steel mill town and revitalized and restored it. Then he became Lt Governor. Compare this with a carpet-bagger from New Jersey and Hollywood. His only claims to Pennsylvania were that he went to medical school there (yeah, that makes him Pennsylvanian--NOT) and his in-laws live there. Outside of medical school, he's never lived there. He's never served the state. He doesn't even know the people or the issues. He was picked by Trump because he's a Hollywood facade and has huge face recognition from his snake oil years once Oprah Winfrey made him a national celebrity. But he's a celebrity and not a politician and he doesn't know Pennsylvania.

In 2016, the people of Pennsylvania were voting against Hillary Clinton. They'll do it again this year when they vote against Dr. Oz. In fact, all things considered, Donald Trump only won by 0.7% (45K out of 5.8M votes). Considering how much Pennsylvanians disliked the dishonesty of the Clinton clan, it was pretty close. In this case, I predict that Oz is likely to lose by double digit percentages. Oz's most popular point was immediately after the primary. Since then, he has slid and continues to slide. The more he opens his mouth, the less Pennsylvanians like him. And the more he shows that he is completely out of touch with the electorate. Even the pro-Trumpers are seeing him for the vapid, Hollywood, wealthy celebrity that has no clue how to even spell politics, let alone, work in politics.

Cites right wing propaganda, has no clue. I realize this is a slightly off topic bit, but it just astonishes me how much people are swayed by media and have no idea.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Cook political report shifts PA to leans dem

https://www.axios.com/2022/08/18/cook-political-report-pennsylvania-senate

The Cook Political Report shifted the open Pennsylvania Senate race from "toss up" to "lean Democrat" in the nonpartisan prognosticator's latest ratings published on Thursday.

Why it matters: The new ratings reflect Pennsylvania Lt. Gov. John Fetterman's (D) edge over Republican rival Mehmet Oz in the hotly contested Senate race.

How is this race possibly just lean Dem with an abhorent GOP candidate???

Cool tends to look a lot at fundamentals, and less at polling. Fundamentals still favor republicans.

+1 I wouldn’t be so sure just yet. This is a state that went for Trump in 2016 (another abhorrent GOP candidate.)

There's a huge difference between Fetterman and Hillary Clinton.

The Fetterman-Oz race comes down to a man who was born, raised and has lived his entire life in Pennsylvania and has devoted the last 16 years in public service (21 years if you include the 5 years he worked in the Americorps helping disadvantaged youth earn their GEDs) for Pennsylvania. As mayor of Braddock, he took and old burnt-out steel mill town and revitalized and restored it. Then he became Lt Governor. Compare this with a carpet-bagger from New Jersey and Hollywood. His only claims to Pennsylvania were that he went to medical school there (yeah, that makes him Pennsylvanian--NOT) and his in-laws live there. Outside of medical school, he's never lived there. He's never served the state. He doesn't even know the people or the issues. He was picked by Trump because he's a Hollywood facade and has huge face recognition from his snake oil years once Oprah Winfrey made him a national celebrity. But he's a celebrity and not a politician and he doesn't know Pennsylvania.

In 2016, the people of Pennsylvania were voting against Hillary Clinton. They'll do it again this year when they vote against Dr. Oz. In fact, all things considered, Donald Trump only won by 0.7% (45K out of 5.8M votes). Considering how much Pennsylvanians disliked the dishonesty of the Clinton clan, it was pretty close. In this case, I predict that Oz is likely to lose by double digit percentages. Oz's most popular point was immediately after the primary. Since then, he has slid and continues to slide. The more he opens his mouth, the less Pennsylvanians like him. And the more he shows that he is completely out of touch with the electorate. Even the pro-Trumpers are seeing him for the vapid, Hollywood, wealthy celebrity that has no clue how to even spell politics, let alone, work in politics.

Cites right wing propaganda, has no clue. I realize this is a slightly off topic bit, but it just astonishes me how much people are swayed by media and have no idea.

No. Bill and Hillary Clinton were two of the most controversy-embroiled politicians of the last three decades. There are whole lists of very suspect actions and issues, from Whitewater, to the Rose Law Firm, to Travelgate, Filegate and her questionable/illegal trading.

This is not just right wing propaganda. I'm a moderate independent and have voted for many candidates from both parties over the last 30 years. It's progressive whitewashing to believe that the Clintons are above the law and deserve to have all of their dishonesty and coverups ignored.

We need to move on to better candidates. We need to be rid of the Clintons, Bushes and Trumps. Three dynasties that we are well to be rid of and hopefully none of them come back.

[Anonymous]

Can Tim Ryan Really Win Ohio's Senate Race?

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/can-tim-ryan-really-win-ohios-senate-race/

Ohio is the type of Senate race that Democrats shouldn’t have much business competing in. The state is increasingly red, having voted for former President Donald Trump by 8 percentage points in 2020. True, Democratic Sen. Sherrod Brown was reelected in Ohio in 2018 — but that was in a strongly Democratic environment that is unlikely to be replicated this November, in what’s expected to be a Republican-leaning year.

And yet, Democratic Rep. Tim Ryan had led in five consecutive polls since late July until an Emerson College poll this week put J.D. Vance — the Trump-endorsed venture capitalist and author of “Hillbilly Elegy” — ahead. Ryan still holds a narrow 1-point lead in our polling average.

Our election forecast is … confused. The Lite version of our forecast, which just uses the polls, sticks to our polling average and has Ryan as a slight 56 percent favorite.1 The Classic version, which incorporates “fundamentals” such as Ohio’s Republican lean and Ryan’s fundraising advantage so far, puts Ryan’s chances at 39 percent and Vance as a slight favorite. And the Deluxe forecast, which also accounts for expert race ratings — in essence, the conventional wisdom that the race is an uphill climb for Democrats — has Ryan’s chances at 21 percent, making Vance a clear favorite.

[Anonymous]

LOL. The GOP has so much of an advantage with its gerrymandering and dominance in low-populated, rural states, but they shoot themselves in the foot with their crazy candidates (from President on down).
https://www.businessinsider.com/trump-attacks-broken-down-hack-mcconnell-crazy-wife-senate-races-2022-8
Donald Trump launched a furious attack on 'broken down hack' Mitch McConnell and his 'crazy wife' in bust-up over GOP Senate candidates

Former President Donald Trump has launched a furious attack on Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell in a dispute over the GOP Senate mid-term campaign.

Trump said the senior senator from Kentucky should spend more time and money helping Republican Senate candidates get elected and "less time helping his crazy wife and family get rich on China."

"Why do Republicans Senators allow a broken down hack politician, Mitch McConnell, to openly disparage hard working Republican candidates for the United States Senate," Trump wrote on Truth Social.

McConnell has drawn ire from Trump after he said that Republicans will face a tough task in flipping the Senate majority, citing "candidate quality."

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:LOL. The GOP has so much of an advantage with its gerrymandering and dominance in low-populated, rural states, but they shoot themselves in the foot with their crazy candidates (from President on down).
https://www.businessinsider.com/trump-attacks-broken-down-hack-mcconnell-crazy-wife-senate-races-2022-8
Donald Trump launched a furious attack on 'broken down hack' Mitch McConnell and his 'crazy wife' in bust-up over GOP Senate candidates

Former President Donald Trump has launched a furious attack on Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell in a dispute over the GOP Senate mid-term campaign.

Trump said the senior senator from Kentucky should spend more time and money helping Republican Senate candidates get elected and "less time helping his crazy wife and family get rich on China."

"Why do Republicans Senators allow a broken down hack politician, Mitch McConnell, to openly disparage hard working Republican candidates for the United States Senate," Trump wrote on Truth Social.

McConnell has drawn ire from Trump after he said that Republicans will face a tough task in flipping the Senate majority, citing "candidate quality."

What a weird f**king take I keep reading… shooting self in foot by picking crazy candidates? Brah… these candidates ARE the party. The party selected them! It’s called a primary. Weirdly, republicans trust elections when their candidates win or just generally in their primaries.

They are f**king insane. It’s what they want…not what they get stuck with!

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:McCormick would have made a better opponent for the MAGAs, and he is married to a former Trump staffer. I wonder why Trump chose Oz. Birds of a feather, I guess.

Trump is a sucker for TV celebrities.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Cook political report shifts PA to leans dem

https://www.axios.com/2022/08/18/cook-political-report-pennsylvania-senate

The Cook Political Report shifted the open Pennsylvania Senate race from "toss up" to "lean Democrat" in the nonpartisan prognosticator's latest ratings published on Thursday.

Why it matters: The new ratings reflect Pennsylvania Lt. Gov. John Fetterman's (D) edge over Republican rival Mehmet Oz in the hotly contested Senate race.

How is this race possibly just lean Dem with an abhorent GOP candidate???

Cool tends to look a lot at fundamentals, and less at polling. Fundamentals still favor republicans.

+1 I wouldn’t be so sure just yet. This is a state that went for Trump in 2016 (another abhorrent GOP candidate.)

There's a huge difference between Fetterman and Hillary Clinton.

The Fetterman-Oz race comes down to a man who was born, raised and has lived his entire life in Pennsylvania and has devoted the last 16 years in public service (21 years if you include the 5 years he worked in the Americorps helping disadvantaged youth earn their GEDs) for Pennsylvania. As mayor of Braddock, he took and old burnt-out steel mill town and revitalized and restored it. Then he became Lt Governor. Compare this with a carpet-bagger from New Jersey and Hollywood. His only claims to Pennsylvania were that he went to medical school there (yeah, that makes him Pennsylvanian--NOT) and his in-laws live there. Outside of medical school, he's never lived there. He's never served the state. He doesn't even know the people or the issues. He was picked by Trump because he's a Hollywood facade and has huge face recognition from his snake oil years once Oprah Winfrey made him a national celebrity. But he's a celebrity and not a politician and he doesn't know Pennsylvania.

In 2016, the people of Pennsylvania were voting against Hillary Clinton. They'll do it again this year when they vote against Dr. Oz. In fact, all things considered, Donald Trump only won by 0.7% (45K out of 5.8M votes). Considering how much Pennsylvanians disliked the dishonesty of the Clinton clan, it was pretty close. In this case, I predict that Oz is likely to lose by double digit percentages. Oz's most popular point was immediately after the primary. Since then, he has slid and continues to slide. The more he opens his mouth, the less Pennsylvanians like him. And the more he shows that he is completely out of touch with the electorate. Even the pro-Trumpers are seeing him for the vapid, Hollywood, wealthy celebrity that has no clue how to even spell politics, let alone, work in politics.

Cites right wing propaganda, has no clue. I realize this is a slightly off topic bit, but it just astonishes me how much people are swayed by media and have no idea.

No. Bill and Hillary Clinton were two of the most controversy-embroiled politicians of the last three decades. There are whole lists of very suspect actions and issues, from Whitewater, to the Rose Law Firm, to Travelgate, Filegate and her questionable/illegal trading.

This is not just right wing propaganda. I'm a moderate independent and have voted for many candidates from both parties over the last 30 years. It's progressive whitewashing to believe that the Clintons are above the law and deserve to have all of their dishonesty and coverups ignored.

We need to move on to better candidates. We need to be rid of the Clintons, Bushes and Trumps. Three dynasties that we are well to be rid of and hopefully none of them come back.

And yet, between the two of them, other than lying about a mistress, there wasn't one legal allegation or charge that stuck. Hmmm, maybe there was a right wing conspiracy after all?

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Cook political report shifts PA to leans dem

https://www.axios.com/2022/08/18/cook-political-report-pennsylvania-senate

The Cook Political Report shifted the open Pennsylvania Senate race from "toss up" to "lean Democrat" in the nonpartisan prognosticator's latest ratings published on Thursday.

Why it matters: The new ratings reflect Pennsylvania Lt. Gov. John Fetterman's (D) edge over Republican rival Mehmet Oz in the hotly contested Senate race.

How is this race possibly just lean Dem with an abhorent GOP candidate???

Cool tends to look a lot at fundamentals, and less at polling. Fundamentals still favor republicans.

+1 I wouldn’t be so sure just yet. This is a state that went for Trump in 2016 (another abhorrent GOP candidate.)

There's a huge difference between Fetterman and Hillary Clinton.

The Fetterman-Oz race comes down to a man who was born, raised and has lived his entire life in Pennsylvania and has devoted the last 16 years in public service (21 years if you include the 5 years he worked in the Americorps helping disadvantaged youth earn their GEDs) for Pennsylvania. As mayor of Braddock, he took and old burnt-out steel mill town and revitalized and restored it. Then he became Lt Governor. Compare this with a carpet-bagger from New Jersey and Hollywood. His only claims to Pennsylvania were that he went to medical school there (yeah, that makes him Pennsylvanian--NOT) and his in-laws live there. Outside of medical school, he's never lived there. He's never served the state. He doesn't even know the people or the issues. He was picked by Trump because he's a Hollywood facade and has huge face recognition from his snake oil years once Oprah Winfrey made him a national celebrity. But he's a celebrity and not a politician and he doesn't know Pennsylvania.

In 2016, the people of Pennsylvania were voting against Hillary Clinton. They'll do it again this year when they vote against Dr. Oz. In fact, all things considered, Donald Trump only won by 0.7% (45K out of 5.8M votes). Considering how much Pennsylvanians disliked the dishonesty of the Clinton clan, it was pretty close. In this case, I predict that Oz is likely to lose by double digit percentages. Oz's most popular point was immediately after the primary. Since then, he has slid and continues to slide. The more he opens his mouth, the less Pennsylvanians like him. And the more he shows that he is completely out of touch with the electorate. Even the pro-Trumpers are seeing him for the vapid, Hollywood, wealthy celebrity that has no clue how to even spell politics, let alone, work in politics.

Cites right wing propaganda, has no clue. I realize this is a slightly off topic bit, but it just astonishes me how much people are swayed by media and have no idea.

No. Bill and Hillary Clinton were […]

As I said, you’re citing right wing propaganda and you have no idea that you’re doing it.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:LOL. The GOP has so much of an advantage with its gerrymandering and dominance in low-populated, rural states, but they shoot themselves in the foot with their crazy candidates (from President on down).
https://www.businessinsider.com/trump-attacks-broken-down-hack-mcconnell-crazy-wife-senate-races-2022-8
Donald Trump launched a furious attack on 'broken down hack' Mitch McConnell and his 'crazy wife' in bust-up over GOP Senate candidates

Former President Donald Trump has launched a furious attack on Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell in a dispute over the GOP Senate mid-term campaign.

Trump said the senior senator from Kentucky should spend more time and money helping Republican Senate candidates get elected and "less time helping his crazy wife and family get rich on China."

"Why do Republicans Senators allow a broken down hack politician, Mitch McConnell, to openly disparage hard working Republican candidates for the United States Senate," Trump wrote on Truth Social.

McConnell has drawn ire from Trump after he said that Republicans will face a tough task in flipping the Senate majority, citing "candidate quality."

What a weird f**king take I keep reading… shooting self in foot by picking crazy candidates? Brah… these candidates ARE the party. The party selected them! It’s called a primary. Weirdly, republicans trust elections when their candidates win or just generally in their primaries.

They are f**king insane. It’s what they want…not what they get stuck with!

+1

The GOP voters picked these crazy candidates as they do across the country. They never moderate, they never choose a sane one. And then the corporate GOP media makes soothing noises about it.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:LOL. The GOP has so much of an advantage with its gerrymandering and dominance in low-populated, rural states, but they shoot themselves in the foot with their crazy candidates (from President on down).
https://www.businessinsider.com/trump-attacks-broken-down-hack-mcconnell-crazy-wife-senate-races-2022-8
Donald Trump launched a furious attack on 'broken down hack' Mitch McConnell and his 'crazy wife' in bust-up over GOP Senate candidates

Former President Donald Trump has launched a furious attack on Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell in a dispute over the GOP Senate mid-term campaign.

Trump said the senior senator from Kentucky should spend more time and money helping Republican Senate candidates get elected and "less time helping his crazy wife and family get rich on China."

"Why do Republicans Senators allow a broken down hack politician, Mitch McConnell, to openly disparage hard working Republican candidates for the United States Senate," Trump wrote on Truth Social.

McConnell has drawn ire from Trump after he said that Republicans will face a tough task in flipping the Senate majority, citing "candidate quality."

What a weird f**king take I keep reading… shooting self in foot by picking crazy candidates? Brah… these candidates ARE the party. The party selected them! It’s called a primary. Weirdly, republicans trust elections when their candidates win or just generally in their primaries.

They are f**king insane. It’s what they want…not what they get stuck with!

+1

The GOP voters picked these crazy candidates as they do across the country. They never moderate, they never choose a sane one. And then the corporate GOP media makes soothing noises about it.

+1 And if the crazies do lose, the GOP complains about voter fraud--never do they think that people may be smart enough to detect a insert [grifter/fraudster/racist/moron] running for office.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Cook political report shifts PA to leans dem

https://www.axios.com/2022/08/18/cook-political-report-pennsylvania-senate

The Cook Political Report shifted the open Pennsylvania Senate race from "toss up" to "lean Democrat" in the nonpartisan prognosticator's latest ratings published on Thursday.

Why it matters: The new ratings reflect Pennsylvania Lt. Gov. John Fetterman's (D) edge over Republican rival Mehmet Oz in the hotly contested Senate race.

How is this race possibly just lean Dem with an abhorent GOP candidate???

Cool tends to look a lot at fundamentals, and less at polling. Fundamentals still favor republicans.

+1 I wouldn’t be so sure just yet. This is a state that went for Trump in 2016 (another abhorrent GOP candidate.)

There's a huge difference between Fetterman and Hillary Clinton.

The Fetterman-Oz race comes down to a man who was born, raised and has lived his entire life in Pennsylvania and has devoted the last 16 years in public service (21 years if you include the 5 years he worked in the Americorps helping disadvantaged youth earn their GEDs) for Pennsylvania. As mayor of Braddock, he took and old burnt-out steel mill town and revitalized and restored it. Then he became Lt Governor. Compare this with a carpet-bagger from New Jersey and Hollywood. His only claims to Pennsylvania were that he went to medical school there (yeah, that makes him Pennsylvanian--NOT) and his in-laws live there. Outside of medical school, he's never lived there. He's never served the state. He doesn't even know the people or the issues. He was picked by Trump because he's a Hollywood facade and has huge face recognition from his snake oil years once Oprah Winfrey made him a national celebrity. But he's a celebrity and not a politician and he doesn't know Pennsylvania.

In 2016, the people of Pennsylvania were voting against Hillary Clinton. They'll do it again this year when they vote against Dr. Oz. In fact, all things considered, Donald Trump only won by 0.7% (45K out of 5.8M votes). Considering how much Pennsylvanians disliked the dishonesty of the Clinton clan, it was pretty close. In this case, I predict that Oz is likely to lose by double digit percentages. Oz's most popular point was immediately after the primary. Since then, he has slid and continues to slide. The more he opens his mouth, the less Pennsylvanians like him. And the more he shows that he is completely out of touch with the electorate. Even the pro-Trumpers are seeing him for the vapid, Hollywood, wealthy celebrity that has no clue how to even spell politics, let alone, work in politics.

Unless it has been edited, Oz’ wiki page says he is a practicing Muslim. He served in the Turkish army and voted in Turkey as a Turkish citizen. Really liberal of the Republicans to embrace him. His connection to Erdogan is a feature not a bug.

Huh, you're right.

https://religionnews.com/2021/12/02/celebrity-surgeon-dr-oz-seeks-to-be-first-muslim-elected-to-the-u-s-senate/
Celebrity surgeon Dr. Oz seeks to be first Muslim elected to the US Senate
While his mother adhered to the secular vision of modern Turkey’s founder, Kemal Ataturk, Oz’s father was a strict Muslim, according to a 2012 interview for Henry Louis Gates Jr.’ PBS television program “Faces of America.” As a young man, Mehmet Oz said, he rebelled against both traditions and chose to align his views with Sufism, a mystical Islamic sect.
Besides Sufism, the mystical Islamic sect, Oz's spiritual practices include transcendental meditation and elements of his wife's Swedenborgian tradition.