2022 Senate Map

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Bill Nelson managed to lose to this guy?

Bill Nelson didn't campaign. He was just MIA through the whole campaign. Rick Scott actually ran a really energetic campaign. I hate him, I HATE him, but he actually seemed to want the job - while Nelson seemed to want a nap.

I will never stop being angry that Nelson didn't either campaign or let someone else try to run that time.

We came so close, too. Scott won by just 10,000 votes: https://www.nytimes.com/elections/results/florida-senate

Guess Nelson was told his election was a shie in and he didn’t have to campaign

No. I think he was pretty old by that time (like 75 years old) . Most people in their mid 70s are thinking about assisted living facilities not running a highly competitive Senate race. Democrats need to build their bench so all these septuagenarians/octagenerians don’t keep running.

[Anonymous]

This is no time to get complacent but it might be time to get a teeny bit hopeful - and very motivated

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Bill Nelson managed to lose to this guy?

Bill Nelson didn't campaign. He was just MIA through the whole campaign. Rick Scott actually ran a really energetic campaign. I hate him, I HATE him, but he actually seemed to want the job - while Nelson seemed to want a nap.

I will never stop being angry that Nelson didn't either campaign or let someone else try to run that time.

We came so close, too. Scott won by just 10,000 votes: https://www.nytimes.com/elections/results/florida-senate

Guess Nelson was told his election was a shie in and he didn’t have to campaign

No. I think he was pretty old by that time (like 75 years old) . Most people in their mid 70s are thinking about assisted living facilities not running a highly competitive Senate race. Democrats need to build their bench so all these septuagenarians/octagenerians don’t keep running.

So instead Biden gave him a retirement gig as head of NASA.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:This is no time to get complacent but it might be time to get a teeny bit hopeful - and very motivated

We need to keep organizing and trying but I don’t have any hope. We get fooled by polls every election cycle.

[Anonymous]

McConnell is pessimistic.

[Anonymous]

Cook political report shifts PA to leans dem

https://www.axios.com/2022/08/18/cook-political-report-pennsylvania-senate

The Cook Political Report shifted the open Pennsylvania Senate race from "toss up" to "lean Democrat" in the nonpartisan prognosticator's latest ratings published on Thursday.

Why it matters: The new ratings reflect Pennsylvania Lt. Gov. John Fetterman's (D) edge over Republican rival Mehmet Oz in the hotly contested Senate race.

[Anonymous]

More on Mitch here. “Candidate quality has a lot to do with the outcome.” Related: his PAC is dumping $28M into firmly red Ohio because his candidate lacks quality.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Cook political report shifts PA to leans dem

https://www.axios.com/2022/08/18/cook-political-report-pennsylvania-senate

The Cook Political Report shifted the open Pennsylvania Senate race from "toss up" to "lean Democrat" in the nonpartisan prognosticator's latest ratings published on Thursday.

Why it matters: The new ratings reflect Pennsylvania Lt. Gov. John Fetterman's (D) edge over Republican rival Mehmet Oz in the hotly contested Senate race.

They also moved the whole Senate from Lean R to Tossup.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Cook political report shifts PA to leans dem

https://www.axios.com/2022/08/18/cook-political-report-pennsylvania-senate

The Cook Political Report shifted the open Pennsylvania Senate race from "toss up" to "lean Democrat" in the nonpartisan prognosticator's latest ratings published on Thursday.

Why it matters: The new ratings reflect Pennsylvania Lt. Gov. John Fetterman's (D) edge over Republican rival Mehmet Oz in the hotly contested Senate race.

They also moved the whole Senate from Lean R to Tossup.

Translation: Even though anti-incumbent, anti-party in charge winds are favorable for the GOP, the GOP has shot themself in the foot by nominating crazy carpetbagger candidates.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:More on Mitch here. “Candidate quality has a lot to do with the outcome.” Related: his PAC is dumping $28M into firmly red Ohio because his candidate lacks quality.

Mitch is trying to juice up donations. He's not THAT scared yet.

[Anonymous]

Politico still has the Republicans taking both the House and Senate...but maybe they haven't updated it yet.

Republicans are poised to win the House and Senate. Welcome to our Election Forecast.
We rated every race in play in the midterms. Here’s who we think will win.

[Anonymous]

Who among us has not gotten confused about how many homes they own...

Video Shows Dr. Oz Saying He Has Two Houses. He Actually Has 10.

https://www.thedailybeast.com/video-shows-dr-oz-saying-he-has-two-houses-he-actually-has-10
At a campaign stop last weekend at the Carbon County Fair in Palmerton, Pennsylvania, a Democratic campaign operative asked Oz how many houses he owns.

Oz’s answer? “Legitimately, I own two houses,” he said, according to footage filmed by the operative and obtained by The Daily Beast.

“But one of them we're building on, the other ones I rent,” Oz added.

The problem with that answer is Oz—legitimately—owns far more than two houses.

In fact, according to public records, Dr. Oz owns 10 properties:

• a 9,000-square-foot mansion in New Jersey

• a 7,000-square-foot country house in Pennsylvania

• a condo in New Jersey

• a piece of residential real estate in Sariyer, Turkey

• another piece of residential real estate in Sariyer, Turkey

• a Manhattan condo

• another Manhattan condo

• an oceanside mansion in Palm Beach, Florida

• a cattle farm in Okeechobee, Florida

• and a piece of residential property in Konya, Turkey, which appears to be used as a student dormitory
Oz’s wife, Lisa, also owns a mansion in Maine with her family and a pool house next to Oz’s New Jersey mansion.

While Oz does rent out some of these properties—at times sharing them with questionable tenants—he is not renting them from others. He owns them, legally and legitimately, and they make up a sizable portion of his assets, which total at least $100 million.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Cook political report shifts PA to leans dem

https://www.axios.com/2022/08/18/cook-political-report-pennsylvania-senate

The Cook Political Report shifted the open Pennsylvania Senate race from "toss up" to "lean Democrat" in the nonpartisan prognosticator's latest ratings published on Thursday.

Why it matters: The new ratings reflect Pennsylvania Lt. Gov. John Fetterman's (D) edge over Republican rival Mehmet Oz in the hotly contested Senate race.

How is this race possibly just lean Dem with an abhorent GOP candidate???

[Anonymous]

Because of Pennsyltucky

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Cook political report shifts PA to leans dem

https://www.axios.com/2022/08/18/cook-political-report-pennsylvania-senate

The Cook Political Report shifted the open Pennsylvania Senate race from "toss up" to "lean Democrat" in the nonpartisan prognosticator's latest ratings published on Thursday.

Why it matters: The new ratings reflect Pennsylvania Lt. Gov. John Fetterman's (D) edge over Republican rival Mehmet Oz in the hotly contested Senate race.

How is this race possibly just lean Dem with an abhorent GOP candidate???

Cool tends to look a lot at fundamentals, and less at polling. Fundamentals still favor republicans.