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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]Cook political report shifts PA to leans dem

https://www.axios.com/2022/08/18/cook-political-report-pennsylvania-senate

The Cook Political Report shifted the open Pennsylvania Senate race from "toss up" to "lean Democrat" in the nonpartisan prognosticator's latest ratings published on Thursday.

Why it matters: The new ratings reflect Pennsylvania Lt. Gov. John Fetterman's (D) edge over Republican rival Mehmet Oz in the hotly contested Senate race.[/quote]

How is this race possibly just lean Dem with an abhorent GOP candidate???[/quote]

Cool tends to look a lot at fundamentals, and less at polling.  Fundamentals still favor republicans.[/quote]

+1 I wouldn’t be so sure just yet.  This is a state that went for Trump in 2016 (another abhorrent GOP candidate.)[/quote]

There's a huge difference between Fetterman and Hillary Clinton.

The Fetterman-Oz race comes down to a man who was born, raised and has lived his entire life in Pennsylvania and has devoted the last 16 years in public service (21 years if you include the 5 years he worked in the Americorps helping disadvantaged youth earn their GEDs) for Pennsylvania.  As mayor of Braddock, he took and old burnt-out steel mill town and revitalized and restored it.  Then he became Lt Governor.  Compare this with a carpet-bagger from New Jersey and Hollywood.  His only claims to Pennsylvania were that he went to medical school there (yeah, that makes him Pennsylvanian--NOT) and his in-laws live there.  Outside of medical school, he's never lived there.  He's never served the state.  He doesn't even know the people or the issues.  He was picked by Trump because he's a Hollywood facade and has huge face recognition from his snake oil years once Oprah Winfrey made him a national celebrity.  But he's a celebrity and not a politician and he doesn't know Pennsylvania.

In 2016, the people of Pennsylvania were voting against Hillary Clinton.  They'll do it again this year when they vote against Dr. Oz.  In fact, all things considered, Donald Trump only won by 0.7% (45K out of 5.8M votes).  Considering how much Pennsylvanians disliked the dishonesty of the Clinton clan, it was pretty close.  In this case, I predict that Oz is likely to lose by double digit percentages.  Oz's most popular point was immediately after the primary.  Since then, he has slid and continues to slide.  The more he opens his mouth, the less Pennsylvanians like him.  And the more he shows that he is completely out of touch with the electorate.  Even the pro-Trumpers are seeing him for the vapid, Hollywood, wealthy celebrity that has no clue how to even spell politics, let alone, work in politics.[/quote]

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