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2024 POTUS - polling only
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Anonymous
The Trump effect was still there. He was involved in selecting many of the final Republican candidates. For example, in the PA GOP primary, David McCormick and Mehmet Oz were running neck and neck ahead of the field until Trump stepped in, endorsed Oz and Oz won the primary. Trump backing also helped JD Vance beat out Tim Ryan, helped Ted Budd win the NC Senate seat, helped long-shot Blake Master win the Republican nomination in AZ, helped Doug Mastriano win the GOP nomination for Governor in PA, and many more. Trump's endorsements made a big difference in who won primaries. He had a lesser effect on his chosen candidates in the general election, but that was not surprising considering how extreme and partisan Trump himself is. He attracts the extreme GOP voters who will follow his lead, but is less effective in the general populace. |
Anonymous
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From his Twitter profile: "Everyone's favorite Austro-Hungarian • Hoppean • Historian • Anti-Marxist • Counter-Revolutionary • Famous for talking across a table to @NickJFreitas" I don't even understand what the he is saying. Per modeling, early voting is breaking 60-40 Democrats, and this is somehow devastating for them? |
Anonymous
Anonymous
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Trump is losing his edge over Harris on the economy. He was up +12 over Biden. Harris has cut that in half to +6.
Trolls on here need to work harder. https://wapo.st/4ed6XYv ^^^ gift link |
Anonymous
Anonymous
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https://poll.qu.edu/poll-release?releaseid=3908 Yeah, it's a stupid take by the X poster. The poll shows that Trump at 48 and Harris at 47 among likely voters and even in a two way race. Also, look at their breakdown of support by age: Harris-Trump 48% to 45% among 18-34 years old? Really???????? Harris-Trump 47% to 50% among 35-50 years old? Really???????? Harris-Trump 52% to 45% among women Hmmmm.... Harris-Trump 83% to 10% among black Hmmmm.... These look pretty suspect to me. |
Anonymous
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New polls show a tie in Pennsylvania. Harris is either losing or tied in the past 6 Pennsylvania polls on RCP. Trump’s rally in Butler in October is only going to exacerbate her problems. Because of the assassination attempt Republicans in PA are going to have record turnout and going back to Butler is only going to amp his supporters up more.
Harris is also down by 3% in a new NC poll, showing that this Robinson scandal isn’t doing anything for Harris. If you look at both state’s polling on RCP you’ll see that Harris peaked in early September and has just been going down ever since. Trump would be wise to adopt Biden’s 2020 basement strategy and just be quiet until Election Day and let Harris spin word salads in every interview. |
Anonymous
You can fool yourself if you want to, but Pennsylvania is not falling for Trump again. I posted this in a Pennsylvania thread last week, but some people need to be reminded:
Additionally, with the exception of Trump's win in 2016, A GOP candidate for POTUS has not won since Bush ran in 1988. 36 years. Trump's win in 2016 was a fluke and it was because Clinton's campaign manager was fooled and allowed Trump to campaign in the rural and suburban areas without countering. The Clinton campaign assumed that Pennsylvania was safely blue and Trump turned it. Clinton canvas teams set up and some voters believed that they didn't have to come out and vote. The Biden campaign didn't let that happen and won by 81K votes. The Harris campaign is not letting that happen either. Harris and Walz have both been campaigning in Pennsylvania. There will not be a repeat of 2016. |
Anonymous
Anonymous
FWIW Hillary Clinton won female voters by 15 points in 2016. |
Anonymous
| Harris-Trump 83% to 10% among black seems about right it will about 88-12% |
Anonymous
is he from wish? |
Anonymous