2024 POTUS - polling only

[Anonymous]

Vice President Kamala Harris is projected to win in every swing state, according to FiveThirtyEight's latest presidential election forecast.

https://www.newsweek.com/swing-states-forecast-polling-kamala-harris-1955643

[Anonymous]

It's so close, will be a nail biter until the bitter end. Which could take a while, thanks to all the GOP legal shenanigans.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

756 voters polled. 9/3-9/8 (starting 2.5 weeks ago). Yeah— that seems super reliable.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Who is VP Vance?

Harris does not need TX and FL.

What's a wasted Democrat vote? Are big vote totals in states like TN wasted?

Your post is a mess.

And in the wrong thread.

We need Texas and Florida to flip their Senators blue.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Vice President Kamala Harris is projected to win in every swing state, according to FiveThirtyEight's latest presidential election forecast.

https://www.newsweek.com/swing-states-forecast-polling-kamala-harris-1955643

I’m getting whiplash from Nate Silver.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Vice President Kamala Harris is projected to win in every swing state, according to FiveThirtyEight's latest presidential election forecast.

https://www.newsweek.com/swing-states-forecast-polling-kamala-harris-1955643

I’m getting whiplash from Nate Silver.

He's always said it's been close. And from an electoral college perspective it is. He also said the polls lagged the debate. Now they're catching up.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Do we like Nate Silver and 538 again?

Aren’t those two separate entities now? And it doesn’t really matter if we “like” him or not, people will keep posting him.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/

That North Carolina spread of 0.1 can easily flip with their disaster of a Nazi Governor candidate dampening Republican turnout.

I think the difference is that abortion wasn't on the ballot the last two elections. Oh, and they're alot of dead COVID deniers as well as old people since 2016.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Vice President Kamala Harris is projected to win in every swing state, according to FiveThirtyEight's latest presidential election forecast.

https://www.newsweek.com/swing-states-forecast-polling-kamala-harris-1955643

I’m getting whiplash from Nate Silver.

He's always said it's been close. And from an electoral college perspective it is. He also said the polls lagged the debate. Now they're catching up.

Nate Silver is not associated with 538

And saying 538 is "projecting Harris to win every swing state" is not accurate. These states are essentially toss ups though Harris is slightly more likely to win them than Trump.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/

That North Carolina spread of 0.1 can easily flip with their disaster of a Nazi Governor candidate dampening Republican turnout.

You know that polls aren’t accurate and have a margin of error? All of those polls are well within the margin of error. I think it look good for Trump, given that the polls consistently underestimate his support.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

This guy is a MAGA troll, right?
Posting a Sept 9 poll on Sept 20.

Meanwhile:

https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model

9/9 - 9/18 Morning Consult 51% 44% D+ 6.3
9/4 - 9/8 ABC/WaPo 51% 43% D+ 8
8/30 - 9/8 Morning Consult 52% 42% D+9.7

Interesting how Harris lead over Trump decreased after the debate, according to these Morning Consult numbers - +9.7 prior, now down to +6.3 after.

[Anonymous]

As early voting gets underway Friday in Virginia, a new poll shows Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump in a dead heat in the commonwealth.

A poll conducted by the Center for Leadership and Media Studies at the University of Mary Washington shows Harris leads Trump by 1%, with the vice president at 47% and the former president at 46%. The poll was conducted among 1,000 Virginians on Sept. 3-9, before the first and what appears to be the only debate between Harris and Trump.

The result is a statistical tie, given the margin of error is +/- 3.0%.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:As early voting gets underway Friday in Virginia, a new poll shows Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump in a dead heat in the commonwealth.

A poll conducted by the Center for Leadership and Media Studies at the University of Mary Washington shows Harris leads Trump by 1%, with the vice president at 47% and the former president at 46%. The poll was conducted among 1,000 Virginians on Sept. 3-9, before the first and what appears to be the only debate between Harris and Trump.

The result is a statistical tie, given the margin of error is +/- 3.0%.

Really? I thought she was up +6 in VA . Kamala needs to do some events there asap

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:As early voting gets underway Friday in Virginia, a new poll shows Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump in a dead heat in the commonwealth.

A poll conducted by the Center for Leadership and Media Studies at the University of Mary Washington shows Harris leads Trump by 1%, with the vice president at 47% and the former president at 46%. The poll was conducted among 1,000 Virginians on Sept. 3-9, before the first and what appears to be the only debate between Harris and Trump.

The result is a statistical tie, given the margin of error is +/- 3.0%.

Really? I thought she was up +6 in VA . Kamala needs to do some events there asap

That poll was pre debate. More recent polls have her up by 6.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:As early voting gets underway Friday in Virginia, a new poll shows Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump in a dead heat in the commonwealth.

A poll conducted by the Center for Leadership and Media Studies at the University of Mary Washington shows Harris leads Trump by 1%, with the vice president at 47% and the former president at 46%. The poll was conducted among 1,000 Virginians on Sept. 3-9, before the first and what appears to be the only debate between Harris and Trump.

The result is a statistical tie, given the margin of error is +/- 3.0%.

Really? I thought she was up +6 in VA . Kamala needs to do some events there asap

That poll was pre debate. More recent polls have her up by 6.

No it wasn’t. That was a new poll that referred to being released on the start of early voting