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https://www.foxnews.com/official-polls/fox-news-poll-harris-tops-trump-two-points
Fox News (bipartisan poll) has Harris up 50%-48%. However, Trump is up 50%-48% in swing districts and across the battleground states. |
Those swing states are what matters. |
| are we allowed to post Tiktok polls? |
You can do whatever you want. And we can mock you relentlessly for doing it. |
TIKTOK POLL TRUMP 6 KARMLA 2 https://www.tiktok.com/@langston680/video/7412045533310684447?is_from_webapp=1&sender_device=pc&web_id=7410990907551794731 TRUMP 11 KARAMLA 3 https://www.tiktok.com/@langston680/video/7410197848916036895?is_from_webapp=1&sender_device=pc&web_id=7410990907551794731 |
Now all he has to do is ask the other 160 million people he missed and sort their responses by states, then apportion EC votes. |
Consider yourself mocked. Maybe try a polling 5 year olds in Alabama next? |
Their numbers are about as good as their spelling. |
Who are Karmla and Karamla? |
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https://www.nytimes.com/2024/09/19/us/politics/harris-trump-times-siena-poll-pennsylvania.html
New NY Times poll. Trump and Harris tied 47% nationally. It has Harris up 50-46% in Pennsylvania. I think that’s an odd result. He will almost certainly do better in Pennsylvania than he’ll does nationally. That’s what the previous two elections showed. The polling in the Midwest Blue Wall states has been pretty bad in both 2016 and 2020. I think they oversample white liberals. |
| Speaking of polling... the GOP House might be having a problem. I was on 270toWin last night, and starting with their pundit consensus map, went district by district to look at tossup districts and then checked the most recent polls for each district. For a handful of tossup districts there wasn't any polling but for a majority of them there is polling - and I found that a huge number of them have Dems in a slight lead. Granted, many of them are within the margin of error but when I finished my searches I came up with 2024 House - 220 Dem, 212 Republican and a handful that are still indeterminate. If the Dems win the White House, if they can hold on to Montana with Tester, they will have a trifecta for 2 years. I hope they are putting solid plans together if that clicks into place. |
I think just the court overturns in NY and a few other states basically turn the House. the Senate is the wildcard, and the IVF vote yesterday and the potential of a government shutdown could turn even FL and TX senate races. |
Very weird to the point of making no sense at all. |