2024 POTUS - polling only

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:PA mail-in ballot requests:

2020, 50 days before the election:
🔵Dems: 1,101,962 (+725,000)
🔴GOP: 376,956

2024, 50 days before the election:
🔵Dems: 798,946 (+477,869)
🔴GOP: 321,077

Sourced, without attribution, via two Republicans, including Eric Daughtery, who several pps have said is full of crap.

Cite your sources.

[Anonymous]

[img]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:PA mail-in ballot requests:

2020, 50 days before the election:
🔵Dems: 1,101,962 (+725,000)
🔴GOP: 376,956

2024, 50 days before the election:
🔵Dems: 798,946 (+477,869)
🔴GOP: 321,077

Sourced, without attribution, via two Republicans, including Eric Daughtery, who several pps have said is full of crap.

Cite your sources.

Easily accessible on PA Dept of Elections.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:[img]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:PA mail-in ballot requests:

2020, 50 days before the election:
🔵Dems: 1,101,962 (+725,000)
🔴GOP: 376,956

2024, 50 days before the election:
🔵Dems: 798,946 (+477,869)
🔴GOP: 321,077

Sourced, without attribution, via two Republicans, including Eric Daughtery, who several pps have said is full of crap.

Cite your sources.

Easily accessible on PA Dept of Elections.

So if it’s “easily accessible” put the direct link here. It should be simple.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

If Florida is honestly in play, the it could be game over.

Sweet.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:PA mail-in ballot requests:

2020, 50 days before the election:
🔵Dems: 1,101,962 (+725,000)
🔴GOP: 376,956

2024, 50 days before the election:
🔵Dems: 798,946 (+477,869)
🔴GOP: 321,077

COVID was rampant in 2020 and we had no vaccine. Less people requesting mail in ballot in 2024.

This. Im confused why this would even be a comparison from 2020 to now. Of course more people were requesting mail in ballots during covid.

[Anonymous]

If this is accurate, crossing the 50% threshold is pretty big.

I am not sure trump has ever climbed above 46% or so, and hence why the GOP funds 3rd party candidates to take votes away from the left and center.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Why is Silver's newest PA poll still a poll ending September 6th?
https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model

They do one daily update at 4:30pm. They are a two-man show.

Still, it was 10 days

Anyway, 2 new polls now, both similar for Harris but one showing a lot more Trump vs undecided/other, pushing the average to +0.5% Harris in PA

9/14 - 9/15 800 LV InsiderAdvantage H48% T50% Trump+ 2

9/11 - 9/14 500 LV Suffolk University H49% T46% Harris+ 3

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Why is Silver's newest PA poll still a poll ending September 6th?
https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model

They do one daily update at 4:30pm. They are a two-man show.

Still, it was 10 days

Anyway, 2 new polls now, both similar for Harris but one showing a lot more Trump vs undecided/other, pushing the average to +0.5% Harris in PA

9/14 - 9/15 800 LV InsiderAdvantage H48% T50% Trump+ 2

9/11 - 9/14 500 LV Suffolk University H49% T46% Harris+ 3

They're showing the same polls everyone else is. Go conduct your own poll in PA so there aren't 10 days between polls. Jfc

[Anonymous]

The national polls all look really good for Harris. Up by 4-6 generally. And even some non-competitive states are looking possible. The Des Moines Register has Trump up by only 4 in Iowa. In Georgia, he's up by 1. In NC, just 2. Florida is in play. And with both abortion and legal weed on the ballot there, Democrats have a real shot of taking Florida. Game over if that happens.

It's shaping up nicely right now. And there's still the Vance debate to look forward to. That man is an anvil for Trump. The more he's in the public eye, the better.

[Anonymous]

This cover sums up everything

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:The national polls all look really good for Harris. Up by 4-6 generally. And even some non-competitive states are looking possible. The Des Moines Register has Trump up by only 4 in Iowa. In Georgia, he's up by 1. In NC, just 2. Florida is in play. And with both abortion and legal weed on the ballot there, Democrats have a real shot of taking Florida. Game over if that happens.

It's shaping up nicely right now. And there's still the Vance debate to look forward to. That man is an anvil for Trump. The more he's in the public eye, the better.

Except there will be a false flag "illegal immigrant" terrorist attack - Trump has been seeding and projecting that for months, and who knows what other effery they will try between now and then.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:The national polls all look really good for Harris. Up by 4-6 generally. And even some non-competitive states are looking possible. The Des Moines Register has Trump up by only 4 in Iowa. In Georgia, he's up by 1. In NC, just 2. Florida is in play. And with both abortion and legal weed on the ballot there, Democrats have a real shot of taking Florida. Game over if that happens.

It's shaping up nicely right now. And there's still the Vance debate to look forward to. That man is an anvil for Trump. The more he's in the public eye, the better.

I wish I could share your optimism. The 4-6% polls reflect a debate bump that will likely be temporary. And as another poster alluded, who knows what will happen in the news cycle between now and then.

[Anonymous]

It's shaping up nicely right now. And there's still the Vance debate to look forward to. That man is an anvil for Trump. The more he's in the public eye, the better.

I wish I could share your optimism. The 4-6% polls reflect a debate bump that will likely be temporary. And as another poster alluded, who knows what will happen in the news cycle between now and then.

Plenty of time for Trump|Vance to spew lies and hate to their detriment. Keep the faith!

[Anonymous]

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:The national polls all look really good for Harris. Up by 4-6 generally. And even some non-competitive states are looking possible. The Des Moines Register has Trump up by only 4 in Iowa. In Georgia, he's up by 1. In NC, just 2. Florida is in play. And with both abortion and legal weed on the ballot there, Democrats have a real shot of taking Florida. Game over if that happens.

It's shaping up nicely right now. And there's still the Vance debate to look forward to. That man is an anvil for Trump. The more he's in the public eye, the better.

Except there will be a false flag "illegal immigrant" terrorist attack - Trump has been seeding and projecting that for months, and who knows what other effery they will try between now and then.

Not inconceivable at all.
I think what’s going against that sort of shenanigans now though is that it’s expected. The Springfield thing is running into heavy headwinds because it is so ugly and obvious. Not to count any chickens but we are all much more aware.