2024 POTUS - polling only

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Trump will be crushed in the popular vote. God willing, he will lose the electoral college as well or we are headed backwards again.

He could lose the popular vote by 10 million and still become POTUS. Sobering.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Atlas is A+ rated poll.

In this poll, Trump's lead comes from ages 30-45 being substantially more pro-Trump than both 18-29 and 46-64.
Seems a bit sus.

https://cdn.atlasintel.org/ad0b0406-5255-4f29-8469-77371b5d6bef.pdf

30-45 leans very conservative - this came out in the NYTimes Siena poll as well.

Another story

Trump is not getting 63% of veterans. Nope. Not gonna happen.

Men 18-29 deleting spam text polls. Numbers will be higher.

And women married to conservative men who tell their husbands they are voting for Trump, and will answer polls that they are voting for Trump, but will actually vote for Harris. The women's vote will be much higher for Harris than for Trump than polls show.

Women are roughly 55% of those likely to vote vs 45% of men.

There are also record new voter registrations of young 18-30 year old voters who will be voting first time this election. And 18-30 trend about 65-80% Democratic. Harris and Walz are visiting college towns and getting young voters hyped and getting many of them to register to vote.

There are likely more hidden or uncounted Harris voters than hidden Trump voters.

This is what we told ourselves before Hillary lost. Truth is that there are many women who actually support Trump.

There were all those women at Trump rallies in 2016 with those T-shirts saying Donald Trump can grab my pu**y.

[Anonymous]

Polls tonight look great.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Trump will be crushed in the popular vote. God willing, he will lose the electoral college as well or we are headed backwards again.

So tired of minority rule. The vast majority of people want Roe v Wade. The vast majority of people want common sense gun laws.

This. There was something in the economist that a Democrat needs to have over 55% of the popular vote to win the electoral college.

Amending the constitution is a non-starter, but it’s not clear to me why more states don’t apportion their electoral college votes in line with that state’s popular vote tally. I think Colorado already does this?

No, Economist wrote that Harris needs a 5pt polling margin to *guarantee* a victory, not 55% (10pt margin) to win.

https://www.economist.com...der-to-win

PP. My bad. Appreciate the correction. Still it’s messed up that the Democratic Party candidate needs to get significantly more votes to win.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Atlas is A+ rated poll.

In this poll, Trump's lead comes from ages 30-45 being substantially more pro-Trump than both 18-29 and 46-64.
Seems a bit sus.

https://cdn.atlasintel.org/ad0b0406-5255-4f29-8469-77371b5d6bef.pdf

30-45 leans very conservative - this came out in the NYTimes Siena poll as well.

Another story

Trump is not getting 63% of veterans. Nope. Not gonna happen.

Men 18-29 deleting spam text polls. Numbers will be higher.

And women married to conservative men who tell their husbands they are voting for Trump, and will answer polls that they are voting for Trump, but will actually vote for Harris. The women's vote will be much higher for Harris than for Trump than polls show.

Women are roughly 55% of those likely to vote vs 45% of men.

There are also record new voter registrations of young 18-30 year old voters who will be voting first time this election. And 18-30 trend about 65-80% Democratic. Harris and Walz are visiting college towns and getting young voters hyped and getting many of them to register to vote.

There are likely more hidden or uncounted Harris voters than hidden Trump voters.

This is what we told ourselves before Hillary lost. Truth is that there are many women who actually support Trump.

There are many parallels to 2016.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Atlas is A+ rated poll.

In this poll, Trump's lead comes from ages 30-45 being substantially more pro-Trump than both 18-29 and 46-64.
Seems a bit sus.

https://cdn.atlasintel.org/ad0b0406-5255-4f29-8469-77371b5d6bef.pdf

30-45 leans very conservative - this came out in the NYTimes Siena poll as well.

Another story

Trump is not getting 63% of veterans. Nope. Not gonna happen.

Men 18-29 deleting spam text polls. Numbers will be higher.

And women married to conservative men who tell their husbands they are voting for Trump, and will answer polls that they are voting for Trump, but will actually vote for Harris. The women's vote will be much higher for Harris than for Trump than polls show.

Women are roughly 55% of those likely to vote vs 45% of men.

There are also record new voter registrations of young 18-30 year old voters who will be voting first time this election. And 18-30 trend about 65-80% Democratic. Harris and Walz are visiting college towns and getting young voters hyped and getting many of them to register to vote.

There are likely more hidden or uncounted Harris voters than hidden Trump voters.

This is what we told ourselves before Hillary lost. Truth is that there are many women who actually support Trump.

There are many parallels to 2016.

Dobbs changed everything. But that doesn’t mean we should let up keep volunteering. Keep donating keep encouraging friends and families to vote for Harris and vote early.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Atlas is A+ rated poll.

In this poll, Trump's lead comes from ages 30-45 being substantially more pro-Trump than both 18-29 and 46-64.
Seems a bit sus.

https://cdn.atlasintel.org/ad0b0406-5255-4f29-8469-77371b5d6bef.pdf

30-45 leans very conservative - this came out in the NYTimes Siena poll as well.

Another story

Trump is not getting 63% of veterans. Nope. Not gonna happen.

Men 18-29 deleting spam text polls. Numbers will be higher.

And women married to conservative men who tell their husbands they are voting for Trump, and will answer polls that they are voting for Trump, but will actually vote for Harris. The women's vote will be much higher for Harris than for Trump than polls show.

Women are roughly 55% of those likely to vote vs 45% of men.

There are also record new voter registrations of young 18-30 year old voters who will be voting first time this election. And 18-30 trend about 65-80% Democratic. Harris and Walz are visiting college towns and getting young voters hyped and getting many of them to register to vote.

There are likely more hidden or uncounted Harris voters than hidden Trump voters.

This is what we told ourselves before Hillary lost. Truth is that there are many women who actually support Trump.

There are many parallels to 2016.

Dobbs changed everything. But that doesn’t mean we should let up keep volunteering. Keep donating keep encouraging friends and families to vote for Harris and vote early.

And the insurrection. We also have all the ugly details about the Stormy Daniels affair without any hush money interference. Oh, and the criminal convictions. Oh, and the defamation case he lost for lying about assaulting e jean Carroll.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Atlas is A+ rated poll.

In this poll, Trump's lead comes from ages 30-45 being substantially more pro-Trump than both 18-29 and 46-64.
Seems a bit sus.

https://cdn.atlasintel.org/ad0b0406-5255-4f29-8469-77371b5d6bef.pdf

30-45 leans very conservative - this came out in the NYTimes Siena poll as well.

Another story

Trump is not getting 63% of veterans. Nope. Not gonna happen.

Men 18-29 deleting spam text polls. Numbers will be higher.

And women married to conservative men who tell their husbands they are voting for Trump, and will answer polls that they are voting for Trump, but will actually vote for Harris. The women's vote will be much higher for Harris than for Trump than polls show.

Women are roughly 55% of those likely to vote vs 45% of men.

There are also record new voter registrations of young 18-30 year old voters who will be voting first time this election. And 18-30 trend about 65-80% Democratic. Harris and Walz are visiting college towns and getting young voters hyped and getting many of them to register to vote.

There are likely more hidden or uncounted Harris voters than hidden Trump voters.

This is what we told ourselves before Hillary lost. Truth is that there are many women who actually support Trump.

There are many parallels to 2016.

Dobbs changed everything. But that doesn’t mean we should let up keep volunteering. Keep donating keep encouraging friends and families to vote for Harris and vote early.

And the insurrection. We also have all the ugly details about the Stormy Daniels affair without any hush money interference. Oh, and the criminal convictions. Oh, and the defamation case he lost for lying about assaulting e jean Carroll.

And four years under Trump, which were a disaster. He's not the new, shiny thing anymore.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Atlas is A+ rated poll.

In this poll, Trump's lead comes from ages 30-45 being substantially more pro-Trump than both 18-29 and 46-64.
Seems a bit sus.

https://cdn.atlasintel.org/ad0b0406-5255-4f29-8469-77371b5d6bef.pdf

30-45 leans very conservative - this came out in the NYTimes Siena poll as well.

Another story

Trump is not getting 63% of veterans. Nope. Not gonna happen.

Men 18-29 deleting spam text polls. Numbers will be higher.

And women married to conservative men who tell their husbands they are voting for Trump, and will answer polls that they are voting for Trump, but will actually vote for Harris. The women's vote will be much higher for Harris than for Trump than polls show.

Women are roughly 55% of those likely to vote vs 45% of men.

There are also record new voter registrations of young 18-30 year old voters who will be voting first time this election. And 18-30 trend about 65-80% Democratic. Harris and Walz are visiting college towns and getting young voters hyped and getting many of them to register to vote.

There are likely more hidden or uncounted Harris voters than hidden Trump voters.

This is what we told ourselves before Hillary lost. Truth is that there are many women who actually support Trump.

There are many parallels to 2016.

Dobbs changed everything. But that doesn’t mean we should let up keep volunteering. Keep donating keep encouraging friends and families to vote for Harris and vote early.

I also have to wonder about Trump’s increasingly overt racism and whether even the staunchest GOP voters want to be associated with that.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Atlas is A+ rated poll.

In this poll, Trump's lead comes from ages 30-45 being substantially more pro-Trump than both 18-29 and 46-64.
Seems a bit sus.

https://cdn.atlasintel.org/ad0b0406-5255-4f29-8469-77371b5d6bef.pdf

30-45 leans very conservative - this came out in the NYTimes Siena poll as well.

Another story

Trump is not getting 63% of veterans. Nope. Not gonna happen.

Men 18-29 deleting spam text polls. Numbers will be higher.

And women married to conservative men who tell their husbands they are voting for Trump, and will answer polls that they are voting for Trump, but will actually vote for Harris. The women's vote will be much higher for Harris than for Trump than polls show.

Women are roughly 55% of those likely to vote vs 45% of men.

There are also record new voter registrations of young 18-30 year old voters who will be voting first time this election. And 18-30 trend about 65-80% Democratic. Harris and Walz are visiting college towns and getting young voters hyped and getting many of them to register to vote.

There are likely more hidden or uncounted Harris voters than hidden Trump voters.

This is what we told ourselves before Hillary lost. Truth is that there are many women who actually support Trump.

There are many parallels to 2016.

Dobbs changed everything. But that doesn’t mean we should let up keep volunteering. Keep donating keep encouraging friends and families to vote for Harris and vote early.

I also have to wonder about Trump’s increasingly overt racism and whether even the staunchest GOP voters want to be associated with that.

Magix 8 ball appears to say yes.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:this bodes well for Harris

lol, poll oversampled Democrats. Recalled 2020 vote was 48% Biden, 41.7% Trump. Biden did not win the state by more than 6 points.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Polls tonight look great.

Yes, there’s a USA Today Pennsylvania poll that just came out showing her ahead by 3 points. It’s a small sample size but it’s a high quality poll. It was done after debate so looks like she’s getting a bump from the debate.

[Anonymous]

Amazing to think people would believe that Harris would do better than Biden, a middle class guy from Pennsylvania, known as “Scranton Joe”.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Amazing to think people would believe that Harris would do better than Biden, a middle class guy from Pennsylvania, known as “Scranton Joe”.

"Scranton Joe" was showing signs that he wasn't up to the next four years as POTUS. That was clear from the debate, and that was why all polls showed Trump ahead of Biden.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Amazing to think people would believe that Harris would do better than Biden, a middle class guy from Pennsylvania, known as “Scranton Joe”.

"Scranton Joe" was showing signs that he wasn't up to the next four years as POTUS. That was clear from the debate, and that was why all polls showed Trump ahead of Biden.

In 2020, he didn’t have those concerns. He was an attractive candidate to some voters who for Trump in 2020, a moderate blue collar guy. Kamala Harris does not have that appeal. She is more like Hillary Clinton.