Allan Lichtman predicts Harris will win

[Anonymous]

AND Obama won with the name Obama!!!!

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:You know Hillary was better at policy than politics. Bill was the politician. Kamala is a politician. You gotta be able to sell your lies as a politician. It's an amazing gift Bill had - that charisma. That ability to sell. Hillary wasn't likeable. Likeability is number one must have in sales. People like Kamala. I personally do not but she can connect in a way Hillary never could.

People like the idea of Kamala. But the actual Kamala is incredibly socially awkward and apparently a very nasty boss.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:AND Obama won with the name Obama!!!!

To be fair, low information voters thought he was Irish.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:You know Hillary was better at policy than politics. Bill was the politician. Kamala is a politician. You gotta be able to sell your lies as a politician. It's an amazing gift Bill had - that charisma. That ability to sell. Hillary wasn't likeable. Likeability is number one must have in sales. People like Kamala. I personally do not but she can connect in a way Hillary never could.

People like the idea of Kamala. But the actual Kamala is incredibly socially awkward and apparently a very nasty boss.

And?

Apparently you haven't been observing either Trump or Vance. Both are incredibly awkward, and we all know Trump is a very nasty boss. Over half of his former reports have declared for Harris.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:You know Hillary was better at policy than politics. Bill was the politician. Kamala is a politician. You gotta be able to sell your lies as a politician. It's an amazing gift Bill had - that charisma. That ability to sell. Hillary wasn't likeable. Likeability is number one must have in sales. People like Kamala. I personally do not but she can connect in a way Hillary never could.

People like the idea of Kamala. But the actual Kamala is incredibly socially awkward and apparently a very nasty boss.

Every single decision, choice and action that has taken place since the moment Biden announced he was standing down as been flawless. The rollout of the Harris campaign, getting the other potential Dem contenders to line up behind her rather than challenge her, the execution of the first speeches from Atlanta etc, the Convention, the fundraising, the choice of Walz - flawless. Absolutely flawless.

If what we have seen of her execution since the end of June represents her executive abilities, then I don't care if she is a nasty boss. She is getting it done.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Nobody likes Harris but we have to stop Trump.

I like Harris. The more I learn about her, the more I like. I was focused on other candidates during the 2020 primaries, and Vice Presidents are generally invisible. I'm pleasantly surprised. Of course, she's helped by the fact that "not ancient" and "fairly normal" are like a breath of fresh air in this country.

This.
She is just so normal! It’s great.

Normal people don’t have a 92% staff turnover.

And Trump's turnover is way better:

https://www.statista.com/chart/15071/how-does-trumps-turnover-compare-to-other-presidents/

+1 The best turnover. There’s nothing else like it.

"I had the best numbers. Just ask those people who worked for me."



And let's not forget that some like 90% of his former cabinet members don't want to return.

Not only that the 91% don't want to return, but those 91% (40 out of 44 former White House staff under Trump) will not endorse him. 91% of the people who worked for him as POTUS do not think he should return to the job.

So, if the people who worked as his staff don't believe he should return to the job, why do so many MAGA think he should? It's just crazy that he is polling as well as he is with the information we have from his only term in office.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:You know Hillary was better at policy than politics. Bill was the politician. Kamala is a politician. You gotta be able to sell your lies as a politician. It's an amazing gift Bill had - that charisma. That ability to sell. Hillary wasn't likeable. Likeability is number one must have in sales. People like Kamala. I personally do not but she can connect in a way Hillary never could.

People like the idea of Kamala. But the actual Kamala is incredibly socially awkward and apparently a very nasty boss.

Every single decision, choice and action that has taken place since the moment Biden announced he was standing down as been flawless. The rollout of the Harris campaign, getting the other potential Dem contenders to line up behind her rather than challenge her, the execution of the first speeches from Atlanta etc, the Convention, the fundraising, the choice of Walz - flawless. Absolutely flawless.

If what we have seen of her execution since the end of June represents her executive abilities, then I don't care if she is a nasty boss. She is getting it done.

Right. But all that was contingent on the media playing along, which of course they have.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:You know Hillary was better at policy than politics. Bill was the politician. Kamala is a politician. You gotta be able to sell your lies as a politician. It's an amazing gift Bill had - that charisma. That ability to sell. Hillary wasn't likeable. Likeability is number one must have in sales. People like Kamala. I personally do not but she can connect in a way Hillary never could.

People like the idea of Kamala. But the actual Kamala is incredibly socially awkward and apparently a very nasty boss.

Every single decision, choice and action that has taken place since the moment Biden announced he was standing down as been flawless. The rollout of the Harris campaign, getting the other potential Dem contenders to line up behind her rather than challenge her, the execution of the first speeches from Atlanta etc, the Convention, the fundraising, the choice of Walz - flawless. Absolutely flawless.

If what we have seen of her execution since the end of June represents her executive abilities, then I don't care if she is a nasty boss. She is getting it done.

+1

And as every single woman who has been a boss knows: we’re all “nasty” bosses.

I’m sure Harris is a perfectly reasonable boss. But at the end of the day, she needs her team to get things done the way she wants.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Any fool can see that (barring any crazy event close to election day) Kamala is going to win. I mean the amount of money she's raised, Trump's age and legal issues, Vance selection, economy is still above board, etc. You don't really have to be that academic or brilliant to see this.

Every Democrat remembers 2016. No one is complacent. Trump is the Ivermectin sloughed-off lining of someone’s gut in a toilet, but he still might win.

But it's not 2016. Key considerations that swing the tide to Dems this time around:

1. Trump has had a shot. In 2016 he was a shiny new thing - nuts and over the top, lots of drama and weird - but an outsider people were willing to try out. He represented in 2016 a hope for a lot of people, right or wrong. The anger was tangible and he was the populist candidate in a sense. No longer. We know what he stands for.

2. Trump has serious legal issues this time around - conviction in 2024 v none in 2016.

3. Hillary had her own drama. She was never the most popular person as Dems would like to believe. She had been in the rodeo so everyone knew her name but she wasn't exactly a star. She ran a horrible campaign in the sense that her and her team went in to play a game they never prepped for. Overconfident, no prep and never saw the loss coming. We've all experienced 2016 and it's 2024 now.

Kamala has the distinct advantage over Trump.

Trump has the biggest advantage - A white man in America.

Obama won as a black man. Not sure the advantage is still there.

Do you seriously think Obama could’ve gotten anywhere near the White House if he were as stupid and disgusting as Trump? When you’re white, you can get away with being as dumb as W and Palin. So it isn’t just the white males who get away with being unqualified and failing upward. Imagine having the audacity to refer to “DEI” as an insult and yet your party allows uneducated white person after uneducated white person to fail upward?

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:AND Obama won with the name Obama!!!!

Hussein Obama!

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:You know Hillary was better at policy than politics. Bill was the politician. Kamala is a politician. You gotta be able to sell your lies as a politician. It's an amazing gift Bill had - that charisma. That ability to sell. Hillary wasn't likeable. Likeability is number one must have in sales. People like Kamala. I personally do not but she can connect in a way Hillary never could.

People like the idea of Kamala. But the actual Kamala is incredibly socially awkward and apparently a very nasty boss.

Every single decision, choice and action that has taken place since the moment Biden announced he was standing down as been flawless. The rollout of the Harris campaign, getting the other potential Dem contenders to line up behind her rather than challenge her, the execution of the first speeches from Atlanta etc, the Convention, the fundraising, the choice of Walz - flawless. Absolutely flawless.

If what we have seen of her execution since the end of June represents her executive abilities, then I don't care if she is a nasty boss. She is getting it done.

Right. But all that was contingent on the media playing along, which of course they have.

Bullshit. They have their thumb on the scale for Trump. Watch one of his incoherent streams of consciousness. Then watch the press clean it up when they refuse to quote him verbatim but, instead, translate the gibberish into something sort of coherent.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Nobody likes Harris but we have to stop Trump.

I like Harris. The more I learn about her, the more I like. I was focused on other candidates during the 2020 primaries, and Vice Presidents are generally invisible. I'm pleasantly surprised. Of course, she's helped by the fact that "not ancient" and "fairly normal" are like a breath of fresh air in this country.

This.
She is just so normal! It’s great.

Normal people don’t have a 92% staff turnover.

Pence had 89% turnover.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:You know Hillary was better at policy than politics. Bill was the politician. Kamala is a politician. You gotta be able to sell your lies as a politician. It's an amazing gift Bill had - that charisma. That ability to sell. Hillary wasn't likeable. Likeability is number one must have in sales. People like Kamala. I personally do not but she can connect in a way Hillary never could.

People like the idea of Kamala. But the actual Kamala is incredibly socially awkward and apparently a very nasty boss.

Every single decision, choice and action that has taken place since the moment Biden announced he was standing down as been flawless. The rollout of the Harris campaign, getting the other potential Dem contenders to line up behind her rather than challenge her, the execution of the first speeches from Atlanta etc, the Convention, the fundraising, the choice of Walz - flawless. Absolutely flawless.

If what we have seen of her execution since the end of June represents her executive abilities, then I don't care if she is a nasty boss. She is getting it done.

+1

And as every single woman who has been a boss knows: we’re all “nasty” bosses.

I’m sure Harris is a perfectly reasonable boss. But at the end of the day, she needs her team to get things done the way she wants.

89% of her staff quit her.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:You know Hillary was better at policy than politics. Bill was the politician. Kamala is a politician. You gotta be able to sell your lies as a politician. It's an amazing gift Bill had - that charisma. That ability to sell. Hillary wasn't likeable. Likeability is number one must have in sales. People like Kamala. I personally do not but she can connect in a way Hillary never could.

People like the idea of Kamala. But the actual Kamala is incredibly socially awkward and apparently a very nasty boss.

Every single decision, choice and action that has taken place since the moment Biden announced he was standing down as been flawless. The rollout of the Harris campaign, getting the other potential Dem contenders to line up behind her rather than challenge her, the execution of the first speeches from Atlanta etc, the Convention, the fundraising, the choice of Walz - flawless. Absolutely flawless.

If what we have seen of her execution since the end of June represents her executive abilities, then I don't care if she is a nasty boss. She is getting it done.

+1 And someone who is socially awkward doesn’t make a hundred calls in a day and get everyone in the entire party on their side. This is fiction.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:You know Hillary was better at policy than politics. Bill was the politician. Kamala is a politician. You gotta be able to sell your lies as a politician. It's an amazing gift Bill had - that charisma. That ability to sell. Hillary wasn't likeable. Likeability is number one must have in sales. People like Kamala. I personally do not but she can connect in a way Hillary never could.

People like the idea of Kamala. But the actual Kamala is incredibly socially awkward and apparently a very nasty boss.

DP - oh I totally agree! But that's why she's a great politician most people want to see what they want to see and are too dumb to look at the whole picture. They see a diversity candidate who isn't Trump and a Dem. Enough for them to vote in. And then there is the blinded Dems who believe she'll be a rockstar because she's a Dem! That's about it.

A politician just has to talk the talk and she absolutely does it. She's gotten to VP office - she's good.