Allan Lichtman predicts Harris will win

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Nobody likes Harris but we have to stop Trump.

I like Harris. The more I learn about her, the more I like. I was focused on other candidates during the 2020 primaries, and Vice Presidents are generally invisible. I'm pleasantly surprised. Of course, she's helped by the fact that "not ancient" and "fairly normal" are like a breath of fresh air in this country.

This.
She is just so normal! It’s great.

Normal people don’t have a 92% staff turnover.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Nobody likes Harris but we have to stop Trump.

I like Harris. The more I learn about her, the more I like. I was focused on other candidates during the 2020 primaries, and Vice Presidents are generally invisible. I'm pleasantly surprised. Of course, she's helped by the fact that "not ancient" and "fairly normal" are like a breath of fresh air in this country.

This.
She is just so normal! It’s great.

Normal people don’t have a 92% staff turnover.

Not only did Trump have a worse turnover, but he also almost had his VP hanged.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Nobody likes Harris but we have to stop Trump.

I like Harris. The more I learn about her, the more I like. I was focused on other candidates during the 2020 primaries, and Vice Presidents are generally invisible. I'm pleasantly surprised. Of course, she's helped by the fact that "not ancient" and "fairly normal" are like a breath of fresh air in this country.

This.
She is just so normal! It’s great.

Normal people don’t have a 92% staff turnover.

And Trump's turnover is way better:

https://www.statista.com/chart/15071/how-does-trumps-turnover-compare-to-other-presidents/

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Nobody likes Harris but we have to stop Trump.

I like Harris. The more I learn about her, the more I like. I was focused on other candidates during the 2020 primaries, and Vice Presidents are generally invisible. I'm pleasantly surprised. Of course, she's helped by the fact that "not ancient" and "fairly normal" are like a breath of fresh air in this country.

This.
She is just so normal! It’s great.

Normal people don’t have a 92% staff turnover.

Not only did Trump have a worse turnover, but he also almost had his VP hanged.

Sooooo, they’re both not normal, maybe?

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Opinions are like a**holes, everyone's got one. I support Harris and, I guess, I'm happier that this guy is predicting Harris than if he was predicting Trump, but this is ultimately worthless.

Vote for Harris. Persuade your friends to vote for Harris. Donate to her campaign if you have the means. Join up with a group organizing post card writing campaigns to swing states. Look for ways to help down ballot. Polls and predictions are just masturbation at this point.

This is more than just an opinion. He used 13 keys that he analyzes.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Nobody likes Harris but we have to stop Trump.

Wow, not sure why you think you can speak for everyone . I like her and so do many people I know.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Nobody likes Harris but we have to stop Trump.

Wow, not sure why you think you can speak for everyone . I like her and so do many people I know.

She was historically unpopular until the media went to work on the vibe campaign. She hit her ceiling at the convention and is coming back to earth the more she speaks publicly.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Nobody likes Harris but we have to stop Trump.

Speak for yourself. I love Harris and I can’t wait to vote for her!

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Political Science has long had physics envy.

But political science cannot quantify all the variables in the human and historical experience.

Weird shit happens at odd times. And there’s no formula for that.

I think Harris will win. And I can point to data in Michigan or Wisconsin or wherever and it all seems logical.

And then Pearl Harbor happens. Or Kennedy gets assassinated. Or 9/11 happens.

And your little PhD models are useless. Because human beings remain unpredictable

The best we can manage are patterns, not predictions

You know a prediction is just a guess about what will happen in the future, right?

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Nobody likes Harris but we have to stop Trump.

Wow, not sure why you think you can speak for everyone . I like her and so do many people I know.

She was historically unpopular until the media went to work on the vibe campaign. She hit her ceiling at the convention and is coming back to earth the more she speaks publicly.

She’s a great public speaker so I’m not sure what you’re talking about.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Nobody likes Harris but we have to stop Trump.

Wow, not sure why you think you can speak for everyone . I like her and so do many people I know.

She was historically unpopular until the media went to work on the vibe campaign. She hit her ceiling at the convention and is coming back to earth the more she speaks publicly.

She’s a great public speaker so I’m not sure what you’re talking about.

Her campaign, would seem, to think otherwise. Can you imagine that first strategy meeting where her staff explained to her she was going to do one, and only one, press interview during her “historic” presidential campaign? That must have been quite the conversation.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Nobody likes Harris but we have to stop Trump.

Wow, not sure why you think you can speak for everyone . I like her and so do many people I know.

She was historically unpopular until the media went to work on the vibe campaign. She hit her ceiling at the convention and is coming back to earth the more she speaks publicly.

She’s a great public speaker so I’m not sure what you’re talking about.

It’s candidate envy. The GOP should have gone with Haley.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Nobody likes Harris but we have to stop Trump.

I like Harris. The more I learn about her, the more I like. I was focused on other candidates during the 2020 primaries, and Vice Presidents are generally invisible. I'm pleasantly surprised. Of course, she's helped by the fact that "not ancient" and "fairly normal" are like a breath of fresh air in this country.

This.
She is just so normal! It’s great.

Normal people don’t have a 92% staff turnover.

And Trump's turnover is way better:

https://www.statista.com/chart/15071/how-does-trumps-turnover-compare-to-other-presidents/

+1 The best turnover. There’s nothing else like it.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Nobody likes Harris but we have to stop Trump.

I like Harris. The more I learn about her, the more I like. I was focused on other candidates during the 2020 primaries, and Vice Presidents are generally invisible. I'm pleasantly surprised. Of course, she's helped by the fact that "not ancient" and "fairly normal" are like a breath of fresh air in this country.

This.
She is just so normal! It’s great.

Normal people don’t have a 92% staff turnover.

Not only did Trump have a worse turnover, but he also almost had his VP hanged.

Sooooo, they’re both not normal, maybe?

Those are our options - weird and more weird.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Nobody likes Harris but we have to stop Trump.

I like Harris. The more I learn about her, the more I like. I was focused on other candidates during the 2020 primaries, and Vice Presidents are generally invisible. I'm pleasantly surprised. Of course, she's helped by the fact that "not ancient" and "fairly normal" are like a breath of fresh air in this country.

This.
She is just so normal! It’s great.

Normal people don’t have a 92% staff turnover.

And Trump's turnover is way better:

https://www.statista.com/chart/15071/how-does-trumps-turnover-compare-to-other-presidents/

+1 The best turnover. There’s nothing else like it.

"I had the best numbers. Just ask those people who worked for me."



And let's not forget that some like 90% of his former cabinet members don't want to return.