Turns out this 73-YO is not your run-of-the-mill activist. He wanted to become famous........ |
One of the first polls since Dr. Oz was declared the winner of the PA GOP Senate primary. Fetterman leads Oz by 9 points (46-37) with 13% undecided, largely independents.
https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/3524348-fetterman-leads-oz-in-pennsylvania-senate-race-governors-race-tight-poll/ |
But we saw these same types of Senate polls in 2020 and the R’s generally ended up winning. Whether that was due to “voting irregularities” the likes of which they’re always projecting onto Democrats, or inaccurate polling, or both, the R’s always seem to do better than their polling. I’m pretty confident in Fetterman in PA though. Dr. Oz is a lightweight and an opportunist. The rest, I dunno, I think they’re all 50-50 tossups. |
Democrats need to get out and vote.
Republicans need to stop people from voting. |
Warnock is an incumbent. Incumbency in midterms is usually helpful. Herschel Walker is a football player with concussive brain damage. He's in because he has name recognition, but the more he talks, the less confidence people have in him. Raphael Warnock is a pastor and in Georgia, that does carry weight. Ryan in OH is in his 5th term (9 years) in Congress and is popular. JD Vance is a venture capitalist and author with no history in Congress. The only reason that Vance did as well as he did was because of Trump backing, but he really doesn't know what he's doing. As long as Ryan continues to run on his accomplishments and what he's done for OH in the last 10 years, he will gain ground. Vance is vapid and hollow as a candidate. |
The frequency with which Republicans outstrip their polling, no matter how many times pollsters have adjusted their polling to be friendly to Republican candidates (“we overpolled educated people!”), coupled with the GOP penchant for projection, suggests that there is something to the idea that the vote tallies are not on the up and up. That said, it’s pretty clear that while things are tough right now, there’s no red wave. No one wants the GOP’s fascism. Oh and where is that pp who, on another thread, chided me for saying that Republican voters are extremists? Look at how McMullin is polling well behind Lee, even with the full force of the Utah Democratic vote behind him? That means that state’s Republicans are flat out effing crazy. |
We live in volatile times and we have just under 5 months until the election. Persistent inflation will wear on people. A bonafide recession will be disastrous to the Democrats. These polling numbers are bound to fluctuate. |
They might fluctuate. They might fluctuate in the Democrats’ favor, too. |
Democrats in this thread "well, it's not true and the guy is a scum, so we're now going to pretend it never happened and move on" ![]() |
I mean, the whole GOP is populated with registered sex offenders and I don't think it's a good idea to shove any of them down onto the ground at random. |
This idiot hit a woman. He deserved to be knocked down. |
False flag. He’s a Trumper. |
It's no longer acceptable to be a republican in certain circles. So maybe you tell a pollster you're undecided or that you're going to vote for a democrat. But when you're marking the ballot, maybe you care more about $5 a gallon gasoline or 8% inflation or your 401k getting obliterated than you do about trans rights or abortion rights. Or maybe you really do support the GOP on wedge issues. Either way, you're voting R in private. |
In my community people are secret democrats.
We have to hide who we are, because the republicans are so volatile. They’ve lost their grip on facts and reality. So many Trump flags are still on people’s lawns. But democrats are here. We are just very quiet. - Ohioan |