2022 Senate Map

[Anonymous]

Generic Ballot (National)
Dem 39%
Rep 37%
6/15-6/17 by Engine Insights (B)
1012 A

Generic Ballot (National)
Dem 43%
Rep 39%
6/10-6/13 by YouGov (B+)
1246 RV

Suffolk Univ./USA Today poll:
Biden: 39% approve/58% disapprove
Including 47% strongly disapprove
Generic ballot:
Democrats 40%
Republicans 40%
Indys break 32-27% for Dems, 40% undecided
(June 12-15, 1,000 RVs)

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:In my community people are secret democrats.
We have to hide who we are, because the republicans are so volatile. They’ve lost their grip on facts and reality. So many Trump flags are still on people’s lawns. But democrats are here. We are just very quiet.
- Ohioan

I know plenty of people in TX who feel the same

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Here's the Trump-backed Republican running against Mark Kelly in Arizona shoving a 73 year old man to the ground - after saying some really disgusting racist things a couple days before, things that no doubt the most intelligent DCUMers will be here supporting in 1, 2, 3...

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/trump-backed-senate-candidate-blake-masters-blames-gun-violence-black-rcna32290

Turns out this 73-YO is not your run-of-the-mill activist.

He wanted to become famous........

Democrats in this thread "well, it's not true and the guy is a scum, so we're now going to pretend it never happened and move on"

The leading republican candidate for senate in MO kidnapped a woman he was having an affair with, tied her up in his basement, and took naked pictures of her to blackmail her. The republican nominee in GA put a gun to his ex-wife's head and threatened to shoot her. But sure, let's focus on some random dude no one has ever heard of.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:More polls here: don’t believe the hype on the right.

But we saw these same types of Senate polls in 2020 and the R’s generally ended up winning. Whether that was due to “voting irregularities” the likes of which they’re always projecting onto Democrats, or inaccurate polling, or both, the R’s always seem to do better than their polling.

I’m pretty confident in Fetterman in PA though. Dr. Oz is a lightweight and an opportunist. The rest, I dunno, I think they’re all 50-50 tossups.

The frequency with which Republicans outstrip their polling, no matter how many times pollsters have adjusted their polling to be friendly to Republican candidates (“we overpolled educated people!”), coupled with the GOP penchant for projection, suggests that there is something to the idea that the vote tallies are not on the up and up.

That said, it’s pretty clear that while things are tough right now, there’s no red wave. No one wants the GOP’s fascism.

Oh and where is that pp who, on another thread, chided me for saying that Republican voters are extremists? Look at how McMullin is polling well behind Lee, even with the full force of the Utah Democratic vote behind him? That means that state’s Republicans are flat out effing crazy.

It's no longer acceptable to be a republican in certain circles. So maybe you tell a pollster you're undecided or that you're going to vote for a democrat. But when you're marking the ballot, maybe you care more about $5 a gallon gasoline or 8% inflation or your 401k getting obliterated than you do about trans rights or abortion rights. Or maybe you really do support the GOP on wedge issues. Either way, you're voting R in private.

Would love to hear what the party of no policy ideas expects to do about those issues you name: price of gas (global), inflation (supply chain/covid) and your 401k (readjustment).

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:More polls here: don’t believe the hype on the right.

But we saw these same types of Senate polls in 2020 and the R’s generally ended up winning. Whether that was due to “voting irregularities” the likes of which they’re always projecting onto Democrats, or inaccurate polling, or both, the R’s always seem to do better than their polling.

I’m pretty confident in Fetterman in PA though. Dr. Oz is a lightweight and an opportunist. The rest, I dunno, I think they’re all 50-50 tossups.

The frequency with which Republicans outstrip their polling, no matter how many times pollsters have adjusted their polling to be friendly to Republican candidates (“we overpolled educated people!”), coupled with the GOP penchant for projection, suggests that there is something to the idea that the vote tallies are not on the up and up.

That said, it’s pretty clear that while things are tough right now, there’s no red wave. No one wants the GOP’s fascism.

Oh and where is that pp who, on another thread, chided me for saying that Republican voters are extremists? Look at how McMullin is polling well behind Lee, even with the full force of the Utah Democratic vote behind him? That means that state’s Republicans are flat out effing crazy.

It's no longer acceptable to be a republican in certain circles. So maybe you tell a pollster you're undecided or that you're going to vote for a democrat. But when you're marking the ballot, maybe you care more about $5 a gallon gasoline or 8% inflation or your 401k getting obliterated than you do about trans rights or abortion rights. Or maybe you really do support the GOP on wedge issues. Either way, you're voting R in private.

Would love to hear what the party of no policy ideas expects to do about those issues you name: price of gas (global), inflation (supply chain/covid) and your 401k (readjustment).

I hear two senators will lose their seats when Texas leaves. Good news and good riddance.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:More polls here: don’t believe the hype on the right.

But we saw these same types of Senate polls in 2020 and the R’s generally ended up winning. Whether that was due to “voting irregularities” the likes of which they’re always projecting onto Democrats, or inaccurate polling, or both, the R’s always seem to do better than their polling.

I’m pretty confident in Fetterman in PA though. Dr. Oz is a lightweight and an opportunist. The rest, I dunno, I think they’re all 50-50 tossups.

The frequency with which Republicans outstrip their polling, no matter how many times pollsters have adjusted their polling to be friendly to Republican candidates (“we overpolled educated people!”), coupled with the GOP penchant for projection, suggests that there is something to the idea that the vote tallies are not on the up and up.

That said, it’s pretty clear that while things are tough right now, there’s no red wave. No one wants the GOP’s fascism.

Oh and where is that pp who, on another thread, chided me for saying that Republican voters are extremists? Look at how McMullin is polling well behind Lee, even with the full force of the Utah Democratic vote behind him? That means that state’s Republicans are flat out effing crazy.

It's no longer acceptable to be a republican in certain circles. So maybe you tell a pollster you're undecided or that you're going to vote for a democrat. But when you're marking the ballot, maybe you care more about $5 a gallon gasoline or 8% inflation or your 401k getting obliterated than you do about trans rights or abortion rights. Or maybe you really do support the GOP on wedge issues. Either way, you're voting R in private.

Would love to hear what the party of no policy ideas expects to do about those issues you name: price of gas (global), inflation (supply chain/covid) and your 401k (readjustment).

It doesn't matter. we all know they won't but the voting will go "well, something needs to change" and then that's why Rs will win.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:In my community people are secret democrats.
We have to hide who we are, because the republicans are so volatile. They’ve lost their grip on facts and reality. So many Trump flags are still on people’s lawns. But democrats are here. We are just very quiet.
- Ohioan

I know plenty of people in TX who feel the same

I’ve got blue family in a red part of a blue state who keep it quiet, too. Republicans always think they’re some special, hunted and harassed group when they’re usually the ones doing the hunting and harassing.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Here's the Trump-backed Republican running against Mark Kelly in Arizona shoving a 73 year old man to the ground - after saying some really disgusting racist things a couple days before, things that no doubt the most intelligent DCUMers will be here supporting in 1, 2, 3...

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/trump-backed-senate-candidate-blake-masters-blames-gun-violence-black-rcna32290

Turns out this 73-YO is not your run-of-the-mill activist.

He wanted to become famous........

Democrats in this thread "well, it's not true and the guy is a scum, so we're now going to pretend it never happened and move on"

The leading republican candidate for senate in MO kidnapped a woman he was having an affair with, tied her up in his basement, and took naked pictures of her to blackmail her. The republican nominee in GA put a gun to his ex-wife's head and threatened to shoot her. But sure, let's focus on some random dude no one has ever heard of.

+1
Republicans elevate pedophiles, rapists and domestic abusers. They celebrate domestic terrorism, sedition and treason.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:More polls here: don’t believe the hype on the right.

But we saw these same types of Senate polls in 2020 and the R’s generally ended up winning. Whether that was due to “voting irregularities” the likes of which they’re always projecting onto Democrats, or inaccurate polling, or both, the R’s always seem to do better than their polling.

I’m pretty confident in Fetterman in PA though. Dr. Oz is a lightweight and an opportunist. The rest, I dunno, I think they’re all 50-50 tossups.

The frequency with which Republicans outstrip their polling, no matter how many times pollsters have adjusted their polling to be friendly to Republican candidates (“we overpolled educated people!”), coupled with the GOP penchant for projection, suggests that there is something to the idea that the vote tallies are not on the up and up.

That said, it’s pretty clear that while things are tough right now, there’s no red wave. No one wants the GOP’s fascism.

Oh and where is that pp who, on another thread, chided me for saying that Republican voters are extremists? Look at how McMullin is polling well behind Lee, even with the full force of the Utah Democratic vote behind him? That means that state’s Republicans are flat out effing crazy.

It's no longer acceptable to be a republican in certain circles. So maybe you tell a pollster you're undecided or that you're going to vote for a democrat. But when you're marking the ballot, maybe you care more about $5 a gallon gasoline or 8% inflation or your 401k getting obliterated than you do about trans rights or abortion rights. Or maybe you really do support the GOP on wedge issues. Either way, you're voting R in private.

Would love to hear what the party of no policy ideas expects to do about those issues you name: price of gas (global), inflation (supply chain/covid) and your 401k (readjustment).

It doesn't matter. we all know they won't but the voting will go "well, something needs to change" and then that's why Rs will win.

I swear, this country is schizo. Doesn't know what it wants. And has collective amnesia.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Generic Ballot (National)
Dem 39%
Rep 37%
6/15-6/17 by Engine Insights (B)
1012 A

Generic Ballot (National)
Dem 43%
Rep 39%
6/10-6/13 by YouGov (B+)
1246 RV

Suffolk Univ./USA Today poll:
Biden: 39% approve/58% disapprove
Including 47% strongly disapprove
Generic ballot:
Democrats 40%
Republicans 40%
Indys break 32-27% for Dems, 40% undecided
(June 12-15, 1,000 RVs)

I’ve been assured that it was a red wave! but this looks like a blue tide.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Here's the Trump-backed Republican running against Mark Kelly in Arizona shoving a 73 year old man to the ground - after saying some really disgusting racist things a couple days before, things that no doubt the most intelligent DCUMers will be here supporting in 1, 2, 3...

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/trump-backed-senate-candidate-blake-masters-blames-gun-violence-black-rcna32290

Turns out this 73-YO is not your run-of-the-mill activist.

He wanted to become famous........

Democrats in this thread "well, it's not true and the guy is a scum, so we're now going to pretend it never happened and move on"

The leading republican candidate for senate in MO kidnapped a woman he was having an affair with, tied her up in his basement, and took naked pictures of her to blackmail her. The republican nominee in GA put a gun to his ex-wife's head and threatened to shoot her. But sure, let's focus on some random dude no one has ever heard of.

Jebus forgave them, so it's all good

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:More polls here: don’t believe the hype on the right.

But we saw these same types of Senate polls in 2020 and the R’s generally ended up winning. Whether that was due to “voting irregularities” the likes of which they’re always projecting onto Democrats, or inaccurate polling, or both, the R’s always seem to do better than their polling.

I’m pretty confident in Fetterman in PA though. Dr. Oz is a lightweight and an opportunist. The rest, I dunno, I think they’re all 50-50 tossups.

The frequency with which Republicans outstrip their polling, no matter how many times pollsters have adjusted their polling to be friendly to Republican candidates (“we overpolled educated people!”), coupled with the GOP penchant for projection, suggests that there is something to the idea that the vote tallies are not on the up and up.

That said, it’s pretty clear that while things are tough right now, there’s no red wave. No one wants the GOP’s fascism.

Oh and where is that pp who, on another thread, chided me for saying that Republican voters are extremists? Look at how McMullin is polling well behind Lee, even with the full force of the Utah Democratic vote behind him? That means that state’s Republicans are flat out effing crazy.

It's no longer acceptable to be a republican in certain circles. So maybe you tell a pollster you're undecided or that you're going to vote for a democrat. But when you're marking the ballot, maybe you care more about $5 a gallon gasoline or 8% inflation or your 401k getting obliterated than you do about trans rights or abortion rights. Or maybe you really do support the GOP on wedge issues. Either way, you're voting R in private.

Would love to hear what the party of no policy ideas expects to do about those issues you name: price of gas (global), inflation (supply chain/covid) and your 401k (readjustment).

It doesn't matter. we all know they won't but the voting will go "well, something needs to change" and then that's why Rs will win.

I swear, this country is schizo. Doesn't know what it wants. And has collective amnesia.

We give rural states outsized power and they know exactly what they care about- guns and the bible. That's how they vote every election and it leaves democrats with a narrow window that they make worse by doing everything possible to alienate their old socially conservative union base in the rust belt.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:More polls here: don’t believe the hype on the right.

But we saw these same types of Senate polls in 2020 and the R’s generally ended up winning. Whether that was due to “voting irregularities” the likes of which they’re always projecting onto Democrats, or inaccurate polling, or both, the R’s always seem to do better than their polling.

I’m pretty confident in Fetterman in PA though. Dr. Oz is a lightweight and an opportunist. The rest, I dunno, I think they’re all 50-50 tossups.

The frequency with which Republicans outstrip their polling, no matter how many times pollsters have adjusted their polling to be friendly to Republican candidates (“we overpolled educated people!”), coupled with the GOP penchant for projection, suggests that there is something to the idea that the vote tallies are not on the up and up.

That said, it’s pretty clear that while things are tough right now, there’s no red wave. No one wants the GOP’s fascism.

Oh and where is that pp who, on another thread, chided me for saying that Republican voters are extremists? Look at how McMullin is polling well behind Lee, even with the full force of the Utah Democratic vote behind him? That means that state’s Republicans are flat out effing crazy.

It's no longer acceptable to be a republican in certain circles. So maybe you tell a pollster you're undecided or that you're going to vote for a democrat. But when you're marking the ballot, maybe you care more about $5 a gallon gasoline or 8% inflation or your 401k getting obliterated than you do about trans rights or abortion rights. Or maybe you really do support the GOP on wedge issues. Either way, you're voting R in private.

Would love to hear what the party of no policy ideas expects to do about those issues you name: price of gas (global), inflation (supply chain/covid) and your 401k (readjustment).

It doesn't matter. we all know they won't but the voting will go "well, something needs to change" and then that's why Rs will win.

I swear, this country is schizo. Doesn't know what it wants. And has collective amnesia.

We give rural states outsized power and they know exactly what they care about- guns and the bible. That's how they vote every election and it leaves democrats with a narrow window that they make worse by doing everything possible to alienate their old socially conservative union base in the rust belt.

It’s funny. That old socially conservative union base has become toxically anti-union, anti-environment (now that their rivers aren’t actually on fire and the air isn’t thick with visible smog) and, if they’re anything like the bastion of STIs in Florida, the Villages, they’re not particularly conservative in their behavior. Who the hell is opposed to gun control and infrastructure? Who wanted children to go hungry during covid?

[Anonymous]

Poll taken before Ron Johnson’s very bad day yesterday.

[Anonymous]

🤷