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Have you all been looking at Nebraska?
The independent Candidate is tied with Deb Fischer (R). He has promised he won't cave towards either party. https://nebraskaexaminer.com/2024/05/15/dan-osborn-spurns-democrats-other-parties-whose-help-he-sought-in-senate-race/ |
| Don Osborn may have a chance to do the unthinkable |
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According to this, Kari Lake is down 11. If this holds, Arizona should move to the D column. I can't imagine there are *that many* ticket splitters.
https://www.newsweek.com/kari-lake-suffers-polling-blow-arizona-1936759 |
The crazies like Lake and Trump need to get crushed. It’s the only way the republicans will wake up and rid themselves of this cancer. |
It’s horrifying imagining Kari Lake as a Senator. What a joke. I really hope the good people of AZ continue to show up and vote….we need them. |
In this political climate, he has a good chance. I still think it wouldn't be a waste of time for Walz to do a little campaigning in Nebraska. Those two additional electoral votes could be valuable. |
Walz (and probably Harris too) will definitely have events in Omaha, that electoral vote is crucial. Not sure if Osborn will want to join, though. He seems actually independent, not independent but endorsed by Democrats like that guy in Alaska in one of the recent cycles. |
| Allred in Texas is closing the gap with Cruz. I just sent him some money. That would be incredible if he could unseat Cruz. Texas is a big diverse state that used to have a significant Dem presence (remember Bob Strauss and Ann Richards?). The time has maybe come for Texas Democrats to reclaim their place. Allred seems like a great guy and Cruz is such a weasel. |
We get fooled by the polling every year. I do not believe that the pollsters have solved the undercounting Trump voters issues that we have had every election since 2016. Trump is still the favorite and it will be extremely close. That will make all the Republicans over perform along with him. |
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Nevada is moving from toss-up to lean Democratic. Incumbent, Rosen, increased her lead in polling from +7% to +18% over Brown since last polling in May.
https://gazette.com/news/wex/cook-political-report-moves-nevada-senate-race-to-lean-democrat-as-polls-move-left/article_8a8153a6-5f44-5a50-871a-7fbb809fbb6c.html
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Honestly, I think there is a subset of Trump voters intentional don't respond to poll or lie about who they are voting for to mess with Democrats. It helps Republicans to win by giving Dems a false sense of security. |
I dont think they have solved the fools at the GOP decided to overturn Roe and are going to get smashed on election day. |