| Really, really hoping to see Cruz go down! Such a jerk. |
| I can’t see Slotkin losing in MI. She has a lot of momentum the last week of the election. |
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I think the main questions at this point:
-can Tester hold off Sheehy -Does the Puerto Rican and Haitian Vote impact the Florida Senate vote -Can Osborne pull it off in NE -Any chance Allred pulls off the Texas Miracle? The rest of the Dems, IMO, will hold on. |
This is why I’m not voting for Hogan- I don’t want my senator to be the attention whore “will he/won’t he,” constantly on the various cable news shows. He would never get a leadership position among senate Rs because of his RINO reputation but will absolutely try and leverage his faux moderate power. |
Until the GOP starts running national candidates who aren't bat$hit insane, there's no point in voting for moderate Republicans-- they have no power in the party and will be used for their vote and then primaries the first chance they get. If you care about retain a moderate middle the key is maintain a "big tent" in the Democratic party and vote for Dems who are more centrist when you get the chance. They will have more if a voice. And if/when the GOP figures out it's MAGA problem and returns to Romney-esque politics, those moderate Dems may flip to the GOP. But as long as the GOP is beholden to Trump and MAGA, there's no such thing as a moderate Republican. That's why so many Republicans have simply left the party. You cannot argue with stupid. |
Unfortunately it is unlikely that Tester will be reelected. I have a good college friend who has been a political campaign manager. He has a friend who is running the Tester campaign and my friend went out last week to support his friend. He was doing campaign office work and even spent some time canvassing and doing other work to help his friend manage the campaign. His friend said internal polling showed that Tester was not doing well, even with traditional support groups. His friend even told him before going out that the campaign was not doing well enough and if he wanted to change plans to go and support another campaign, he should consider that. My friend still went to Montana and helped the Tester campaign. I haven't spoken to him since he returned, so I don't have an update, but two weeks ago, things were not looking good on the internal front. |
Sheehy has a few unforced errors and the broader MAGA issue may still manifest. I get it that he is in trouble, but no one knows how "conservative" women, even in states like Montana, are going to vote. |
The Montana ballot has a separate state amendment about abortion as a separate voting line item. Given that voters and women voters can vote on the separate abortion amendment I think it is not as relevant to the senate or presidential choices. The bigger issue by far for Montanans is the economy. Montanans are hard, hard workers but Californians have been buying up housing ever since Covid making housing costs unaffordable for local born and raised Montanans. There is a lot of poverty in Montana and families struggling to pay the bills. Given the fact that Tester has been in office forever and is heavily aligned with Schumer I think Sheehy will take it due to people looking for change and a better economy. |
Funny. Isn’t Sheehy a California ahole that came in a bought up a bunch of the state? |
Which presidential candidate has offered as policy federal money to push 6,000,000 more housing units? What is Sheehy or Trump's plan for more housing or more affordable housing? |
Sheehy is not going to help the economy lol that’s absurd |
Montanans don't want 6 million more housing units. They already have 4 and 5 story apartment buildings and townhouses that were built by California developers that are standing empty. Montanans want to be able to buy a 3 bedroom, 2 bath house that does not have to be big. They want a garage with a shop. They want a yard to park their RV and boat. Understand due to the severe winters carports are not practical but the California developers are building developments with carports. |