US coronavirus cases top 10,000 and on the same or worse curve than Italy

[Anonymous]

Houston's numbers are almost completely un-reported on the national clock

https://www.nbcnews.com/news/us-news/houston-hasn-t-reported-surge-coronavirus-cases-its-hospitals-tell-n1175291

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:
You are insufferable. Stop trying to gloat and come back in three months when the data will be more clear. Everybody knows what exponential growth is. Millions of Americans will not die from this.

DP. By the end of next week, we are on track to have over 10000 dead.

We don't have to wait 3 months to see catastrophe. It is here already.

If deaths double every three days we are headed for 8k deaths by end of week but more disturbingly 500k cases. Those increasing cases numbers fuel the death rate. In nine days we will have three doublings to a million cases. We are at the point where things are really bad but in another 7-9 days we will be in catastrophic territory.

Well your math was wrong. As of yesterday (April 5th) per the CDC, there were 304k cases and 7600 deaths. I even gave you an extra day on these predictions because “end of week” when you posted this would have been April 4th. But hey, 300k, 500k, what’s the difference?

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:
You are insufferable. Stop trying to gloat and come back in three months when the data will be more clear. Everybody knows what exponential growth is. Millions of Americans will not die from this.

DP. By the end of next week, we are on track to have over 10000 dead.

We don't have to wait 3 months to see catastrophe. It is here already.

If deaths double every three days we are headed for 8k deaths by end of week but more disturbingly 500k cases. Those increasing cases numbers fuel the death rate. In nine days we will have three doublings to a million cases. We are at the point where things are really bad but in another 7-9 days we will be in catastrophic territory.

Well your math was wrong. As of yesterday (April 5th) per the CDC, there were 304k cases and 7600 deaths. I even gave you an extra day on these predictions because “end of week” when you posted this would have been April 4th. But hey, 300k, 500k, what’s the difference?

Huh? We’re at 9700 dead now. Will cross 10,000 today.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:
You are insufferable. Stop trying to gloat and come back in three months when the data will be more clear. Everybody knows what exponential growth is. Millions of Americans will not die from this.

DP. By the end of next week, we are on track to have over 10000 dead.

We don't have to wait 3 months to see catastrophe. It is here already.

If deaths double every three days we are headed for 8k deaths by end of week but more disturbingly 500k cases. Those increasing cases numbers fuel the death rate. In nine days we will have three doublings to a million cases. We are at the point where things are really bad but in another 7-9 days we will be in catastrophic territory.

Well your math was wrong. As of yesterday (April 5th) per the CDC, there were 304k cases and 7600 deaths. I even gave you an extra day on these predictions because “end of week” when you posted this would have been April 4th. But hey, 300k, 500k, what’s the difference?

Huh? We’re at 9700 dead now. Will cross 10,000 today.

Yeah today! But “end of week” when PP posted was April 4th. Not today. And we’re nowhere near 500k infected.

[Anonymous]

We are finally beginning to see the demographic breakdown of those directly affected by the virus, whether infections or deaths. Needless to say, and not surprising, African Americans in every jurisdiction are disproportionately impacted.

I don't blame Trump for the virus, but is it is crystal clear the intent of the malicious and tepid response.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:We are finally beginning to see the demographic breakdown of those directly affected by the virus, whether infections or deaths. Needless to say, and not surprising, African Americans in every jurisdiction are disproportionately impacted.

I don't blame Trump for the virus, but is it is crystal clear the intent of the malicious and tepid response.

So you’re saying Trump responded slowly to kill black people? If so, you are delusional.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:
You are insufferable. Stop trying to gloat and come back in three months when the data will be more clear. Everybody knows what exponential growth is. Millions of Americans will not die from this.

DP. By the end of next week, we are on track to have over 10000 dead.

We don't have to wait 3 months to see catastrophe. It is here already.

If deaths double every three days we are headed for 8k deaths by end of week but more disturbingly 500k cases. Those increasing cases numbers fuel the death rate. In nine days we will have three doublings to a million cases. We are at the point where things are really bad but in another 7-9 days we will be in catastrophic territory.

Well your math was wrong. As of yesterday (April 5th) per the CDC, there were 304k cases and 7600 deaths. I even gave you an extra day on these predictions because “end of week” when you posted this would have been April 4th. But hey, 300k, 500k, what’s the difference?

Huh? We’re at 9700 dead now. Will cross 10,000 today.

Yeah today! But “end of week” when PP posted was April 4th. Not today. And we’re nowhere near 500k infected.

We don't know how many are infected because we still don't have wide scale testing

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:
You are insufferable. Stop trying to gloat and come back in three months when the data will be more clear. Everybody knows what exponential growth is. Millions of Americans will not die from this.

DP. By the end of next week, we are on track to have over 10000 dead.

We don't have to wait 3 months to see catastrophe. It is here already.

If deaths double every three days we are headed for 8k deaths by end of week but more disturbingly 500k cases. Those increasing cases numbers fuel the death rate. In nine days we will have three doublings to a million cases. We are at the point where things are really bad but in another 7-9 days we will be in catastrophic territory.

Well your math was wrong. As of yesterday (April 5th) per the CDC, there were 304k cases and 7600 deaths. I even gave you an extra day on these predictions because “end of week” when you posted this would have been April 4th. But hey, 300k, 500k, what’s the difference?

Huh? We’re at 9700 dead now. Will cross 10,000 today.

Yeah today! But “end of week” when PP posted was April 4th. Not today. And we’re nowhere near 500k infected.

We don't know how many are infected because we still don't have wide scale testing

And if we did, it would probably show that the disease is far less deadly than we have been led to believe. We will never know how many were actually infected. It will be an estimate.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:
You are insufferable. Stop trying to gloat and come back in three months when the data will be more clear. Everybody knows what exponential growth is. Millions of Americans will not die from this.

DP. By the end of next week, we are on track to have over 10000 dead.

We don't have to wait 3 months to see catastrophe. It is here already.

If deaths double every three days we are headed for 8k deaths by end of week but more disturbingly 500k cases. Those increasing cases numbers fuel the death rate. In nine days we will have three doublings to a million cases. We are at the point where things are really bad but in another 7-9 days we will be in catastrophic territory.

Well your math was wrong. As of yesterday (April 5th) per the CDC, there were 304k cases and 7600 deaths. I even gave you an extra day on these predictions because “end of week” when you posted this would have been April 4th. But hey, 300k, 500k, what’s the difference?

Huh? We’re at 9700 dead now. Will cross 10,000 today.

Yeah today! But “end of week” when PP posted was April 4th. Not today. And we’re nowhere near 500k infected.

We don’t test!!! With the exception of a handful of coastal states, there is little testing. Many states in the south are operating blindly, unable to estimate or prep.

[Anonymous]

Why do I sense some of the Democrats are cheering for this death toll for the simple goal of not letting Trump serve another 4 years? Should we be calling this the Election Year Virus?

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Why do I sense some of the Democrats are cheering for this death toll for the simple goal of not letting Trump serve another 4 years? Should we be calling this the Election Year Virus?

It’s pathetic and troubling, though not all that surprising.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:
You are insufferable. Stop trying to gloat and come back in three months when the data will be more clear. Everybody knows what exponential growth is. Millions of Americans will not die from this.

DP. By the end of next week, we are on track to have over 10000 dead.

We don't have to wait 3 months to see catastrophe. It is here already.

If deaths double every three days we are headed for 8k deaths by end of week but more disturbingly 500k cases. Those increasing cases numbers fuel the death rate. In nine days we will have three doublings to a million cases. We are at the point where things are really bad but in another 7-9 days we will be in catastrophic territory.

Well your math was wrong. As of yesterday (April 5th) per the CDC, there were 304k cases and 7600 deaths. I even gave you an extra day on these predictions because “end of week” when you posted this would have been April 4th. But hey, 300k, 500k, what’s the difference?

Huh? We’re at 9700 dead now. Will cross 10,000 today.

Yeah today! But “end of week” when PP posted was April 4th. Not today. And we’re nowhere near 500k infected.

We don't know how many are infected because we still don't have wide scale testing

And if we did, it would probably show that the disease is far less deadly than we have been led to believe. We will never know how many were actually infected. It will be an estimate.

You are wrong. Blind testing in Iceland revealed that only 1% of those tested had the virus. People would like to believe that this virus is wide-spread and most people are asymptomatic, but the truth is penetration is low. Once penetration goes above 10% to 15% it’s catastrophic.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:
You are insufferable. Stop trying to gloat and come back in three months when the data will be more clear. Everybody knows what exponential growth is. Millions of Americans will not die from this.

DP. By the end of next week, we are on track to have over 10000 dead.

We don't have to wait 3 months to see catastrophe. It is here already.

If deaths double every three days we are headed for 8k deaths by end of week but more disturbingly 500k cases. Those increasing cases numbers fuel the death rate. In nine days we will have three doublings to a million cases. We are at the point where things are really bad but in another 7-9 days we will be in catastrophic territory.

Well your math was wrong. As of yesterday (April 5th) per the CDC, there were 304k cases and 7600 deaths. I even gave you an extra day on these predictions because “end of week” when you posted this would have been April 4th. But hey, 300k, 500k, what’s the difference?

Huh? We’re at 9700 dead now. Will cross 10,000 today.

Yeah today! But “end of week” when PP posted was April 4th. Not today. And we’re nowhere near 500k infected.

We don't know how many are infected because we still don't have wide scale testing

And if we did, it would probably show that the disease is far less deadly than we have been led to believe. We will never know how many were actually infected. It will be an estimate.

I refuse to engage in this round and round with death cult devotees. The point is that when someone says "we're nowhere near 500k infected" that person is wrong for epistemological reasons. We cannot know how many people are infected. There could be 20 million people infected for all we know.

And I know you think you're making some kind of "ah ha! gotcha!" point by saying we might learn that this disease is less fatal than we think - or fear - it is now. It would be fantastic to discover that this disease is less deadly than we feared! It would be FREAKING UNBELIEVABLE to be able to open society up again. But we CANNOT BECAUSE WE DON'T HAVE FLIPPING TESTING YOU NIMWIT.

In any case your "gotcha" works less well when New York City is literally burying the dead in public parks because there's so many they can't do anything else with them.

In short, go lick a doorknob.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:
You are insufferable. Stop trying to gloat and come back in three months when the data will be more clear. Everybody knows what exponential growth is. Millions of Americans will not die from this.

DP. By the end of next week, we are on track to have over 10000 dead.

We don't have to wait 3 months to see catastrophe. It is here already.

If deaths double every three days we are headed for 8k deaths by end of week but more disturbingly 500k cases. Those increasing cases numbers fuel the death rate. In nine days we will have three doublings to a million cases. We are at the point where things are really bad but in another 7-9 days we will be in catastrophic territory.

Well your math was wrong. As of yesterday (April 5th) per the CDC, there were 304k cases and 7600 deaths. I even gave you an extra day on these predictions because “end of week” when you posted this would have been April 4th. But hey, 300k, 500k, what’s the difference?

Huh? We’re at 9700 dead now. Will cross 10,000 today.

Yeah today! But “end of week” when PP posted was April 4th. Not today. And we’re nowhere near 500k infected.

We don't know how many are infected because we still don't have wide scale testing

And if we did, it would probably show that the disease is far less deadly than we have been led to believe. We will never know how many were actually infected. It will be an estimate.

You are wrong. Blind testing in Iceland revealed that only 1% of those tested had the virus. People would like to believe that this virus is wide-spread and most people are asymptomatic, but the truth is penetration is low. Once penetration goes above 10% to 15% it’s catastrophic.

Um, even the Iceland tests you are referring to had a 50% asymptomatic rate...

It seems you yourself have some beliefs to which you are clinging.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:
You are insufferable. Stop trying to gloat and come back in three months when the data will be more clear. Everybody knows what exponential growth is. Millions of Americans will not die from this.

DP. By the end of next week, we are on track to have over 10000 dead.

We don't have to wait 3 months to see catastrophe. It is here already.

If deaths double every three days we are headed for 8k deaths by end of week but more disturbingly 500k cases. Those increasing cases numbers fuel the death rate. In nine days we will have three doublings to a million cases. We are at the point where things are really bad but in another 7-9 days we will be in catastrophic territory.

Well your math was wrong. As of yesterday (April 5th) per the CDC, there were 304k cases and 7600 deaths. I even gave you an extra day on these predictions because “end of week” when you posted this would have been April 4th. But hey, 300k, 500k, what’s the difference?

Huh? We’re at 9700 dead now. Will cross 10,000 today.

Yeah today! But “end of week” when PP posted was April 4th. Not today. And we’re nowhere near 500k infected.

We don't know how many are infected because we still don't have wide scale testing

And if we did, it would probably show that the disease is far less deadly than we have been led to believe. We will never know how many were actually infected. It will be an estimate.

I refuse to engage in this round and round with death cult devotees. The point is that when someone says "we're nowhere near 500k infected" that person is wrong for epistemological reasons. We cannot know how many people are infected. There could be 20 million people infected for all we know.

And I know you think you're making some kind of "ah ha! gotcha!" point by saying we might learn that this disease is less fatal than we think - or fear - it is now. It would be fantastic to discover that this disease is less deadly than we feared! It would be FREAKING UNBELIEVABLE to be able to open society up again. But we CANNOT BECAUSE WE DON'T HAVE FLIPPING TESTING YOU NIMWIT.

In any case your "gotcha" works less well when New York City is literally burying the dead in public parks because there's so many they can't do anything else with them.

In short, go lick a doorknob.

Lol, a good and relaxed morning to you too!

We have plenty of examples from around the world, contemporaneous analysis and precedent from previous outbreaks. It is a judgement call, not a “more data” question at this point.

Also, CAPS JUST BECAUSE!!!