Reply to US coronavirus cases top 10,000 and on the same or worse curve than Italy

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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]
You are insufferable. Stop trying to gloat and come back in three months when the data will be more clear. Everybody knows what exponential growth is. Millions of Americans will not die from this.[/quote]

DP. By the end of next week, we are on track to have over 10000 dead.

We don't have to wait 3 months to see catastrophe.  It is here already.[/quote]

If deaths double every three days we are headed for 8k deaths by end of week but more disturbingly 500k cases.  Those increasing cases numbers fuel the death rate.  In nine days we will have three doublings to a million cases.  We are at the point where things are really bad but in another 7-9 days we will be in catastrophic territory.[/quote]

Well your math was wrong. As of yesterday (April 5th) per the CDC, there were 304k cases and 7600 deaths. I even gave you an extra day on these predictions because “end of week” when you posted this would have been April 4th. But hey, 300k, 500k, what’s the difference?[/quote]

Huh? We’re at 9700 dead now.   Will cross 10,000 today. [/quote]

Yeah today! But “end of week” when PP posted was April 4th. Not today. And we’re nowhere near 500k infected. [/quote]

We don't know how many are infected because we still don't have wide scale testing[/quote]

And if we did, it would probably show that the disease is far less deadly than we have been led to believe. We will never know how many were actually infected. It will be an estimate.[/quote]

You are wrong. Blind testing in Iceland revealed that only 1% of those tested had the virus. People would like to believe that this virus is wide-spread and most people are asymptomatic, but the truth is penetration is low. Once penetration goes above 10% to 15% it’s catastrophic. [/quote]

Um, even the Iceland tests you are referring to had a 50% asymptomatic rate...

It seems you yourself have some beliefs to which you are clinging.[/quote]

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