2024 POTUS - polling only

[Anonymous]

[Anonymous]

I really don’t understand how polling works nowadays. Does anyone under the age of 70 respond to a poll? Do they still do them by phone? I just hand up if anyone from a pollster calls me.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Excellent. I think that would be 16 electoral college votes from NC in the Harris column. Wise choice.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Excellent. I think that would be 16 electoral college votes from NC in the Harris column. Wise choice.

Nice. Harris is still the underdog, but momentum is on her side.

[Anonymous]

Posters here don’t seem to be taking into account why (some of) the media is pushing a Trump win narrative.
Boosting him in the polls leading up to the election helps MAGA cry about cheating and fraud if/when the vote doesn’t go his way.
They want another coup almost as bad as they wanted the Iraq war.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Posters here don’t seem to be taking into account why (some of) the media is pushing a Trump win narrative.
Boosting him in the polls leading up to the election helps MAGA cry about cheating and fraud if/when the vote doesn’t go his way.
They want another coup almost as bad as they wanted the Iraq war.

Well too bad. If he wins, Harris will concede. If he loses, Biden won't be having him over to settle in. So sorry.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:I really don’t understand how polling works nowadays. Does anyone under the age of 70 respond to a poll? Do they still do them by phone? I just hand up if anyone from a pollster calls me.

They will text you. I got one from CBS/ YOUTUBE/ back in July when Biden was still in office-

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Does Nate Silver own shares in DJT that he’s trying to dump?

Nate Silver works for Peter Thiel, Vance’s mentor.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:The polls in 2022 were pretty accurate. The polls in 2020 were awful. Democrats were overestimated across the board.

Not sure if it was polls or the RCP model, but RCP was predicting a 53-47 Republican majority in the Senate in 2022.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:I really don’t understand how polling works nowadays. Does anyone under the age of 70 respond to a poll? Do they still do them by phone? I just hand up if anyone from a pollster calls me.

They will text you. I got one from CBS/ YOUTUBE/ back in July when Biden was still in office-

How many people respond to texts? I block all that stuff. I just don’t feel like the polls can get an accurate statistically sampling — it’s so skewed to people that either have nothing better to do, or have an agenda attached to inflating their candidates numbers.

[Anonymous]

Morning Consult has Harris up 3 in each blue wall state and tied in the other swing state except AZ.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Morning Consult has Harris up 3 in each blue wall state and tied in the other swing state except AZ.

This is an improvement or tie in every state compared to the last Morning Consult polls. Definitely a loss of momentum, and in some cases momentum for Trump.

[Anonymous]

Huh?

This has Harris is a stronger position across more states than 2 weeks ago.

(unless that was meant to be sarcastic)

[Anonymous]

[Anonymous]

Wow that's very good news for Harris in this latest batch of polls. PA, MI, WI--3 points up is almost outside the margin of error. Fingers crossed on the debate tomorrow.