2024 POTUS - polling only

[Anonymous]

The polls in 2022 were pretty accurate. The polls in 2020 were awful. Democrats were overestimated across the board.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Are these polls as accurate as in 2022?

Didn’t the 2022 polls overstate R support? That was the supposed “red wave” that never materialized.

Why would it materialize? This thing is over. Trump lost last time and that was before he crushed roe and before he tried his coup and before he tried to kill his VP and had to get a new repellent one, and before he tanked the immigration bill and before a number of other failures. So many are going to get out there and crawl over broken glass to get rid of him. More then last time. And they have already decided this and don't need to see polls or answer polls or pay any attention to polls to do it.

What are you talking about? NBC reported earlier that Trump is polling 2 points ahead of Harris. I don't think DCUM allows us to post that but you are way off.

[Anonymous]

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Wow. It’s only because he’s running against such a weak candidate, though.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Wow. It’s only because he’s running against such a weak candidate, though.

And yet he’s still not ahead

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Wow. It’s only because he’s running against such a weak candidate, though.

And yet he’s still not ahead

Who cares? If it’s a close election, he will win the electoral college in a landslide.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Wow. It’s only because he’s running against such a weak candidate, though.

And yet he’s still not ahead

Who cares? If it’s a close election, he will win the electoral college in a landslide.

Maybe, but right now, Harris is likely to be winning the vote of those who are not being covered by polling.

As 2022 and 2023 have shown, since the collapse of RvW, under-30 and women non-voters registered in record numbers and voted in record numbers for Democrats. The 2022 red wave stalled to a red ebb. 2023, an off-year election had the 2nd best election turnout for an odd-year in those areas where any reproductive rights were on the ballot. At this point, in a presidential election with the man on the ballot who proudly crows that he overturned RvW, and record new voter registrations at record levels in the swing states, there are a whole bunch of statistically non-tabulated voters that are going to be coming out to vote to protect their health and reproductive rights.

And, frankly, the Vance albatross will continue to drag the Trump ticket with those very groups. Trump's selection of Vance as a running mate has actually pushed more young and women voters to register to vote for the first time. And these are voters who were never included in polling before.

Additionally, Harris has close to 4 times the money available to campaign and flood the airways and social media with her messaging which is only encouraging young turnout. Trump has also turned off many seniors and he currently has some of his lowest support from seniors in the 8 years he's been running for President.

Also, black, Latino and Asian support has been waning for Trump.

In fact, the only place he remains strong is the white male vote and he has not been gaining ground there. So, he has about the same level of support that he has always had.

[Anonymous]

[Anonymous]

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Does Nate Silver own shares in DJT that he’s trying to dump?

[Anonymous]

https://polymarket.com/elections

Polymarkets has Trump inching further ahead of Harris.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:https://polymarket.com/elections

Polymarkets has Trump inching further ahead of Harris.

Gambling addict Nate Silver and MAGA funder, Peter Thiel really like this crypto-betting site!

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:The polls in 2022 were pretty accurate. The polls in 2020 were awful. Democrats were overestimated across the board.

"Red wave" 2022 was pretty accurate?

[Anonymous]

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

I know I am. I know my friends and family are. Lots of Democratic voters I know were resigned to voting for President Biden (sorry, President Biden) but they weren’t excited. Now they’re excited. A rising tide lifts all boats.