Coronavirus good Uplifting and hopeful news only

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Virus mutating into a less virulent form is the theory now for densely populated areas. That jibes with the fact that most of these places are experiencing an inverse relationship b/w cases and hosptializations (i.e. cases going up but hospitalizations are going down). There are pockets in the US, though, where this is not occurring (AZ, etc)

True.

No it's not true. There's no evidence for this. If anything the virus looks more dangerous than previously thought. It's not a simple respiratory virus, it's a virus that can attack multiple organs, including the brain.

All those people who've "only" lost their sense of taste and smell? That shows neurological involvement. I wouldn't rush out and try to get infected as no one knows the long-term effects of infection.

Too much Lysol and sanitizers.

[Anonymous]

WoW!!!

Reported on June 21st

Coronavirus is weakening, could die out on its own without a vaccine and patients now survive infections that would have killed them at start of the pandemic, claims Italian expert

Professor Matteo Bassetti has again claimed the virus is getting weaker
Said it may have mutated and weakened or people infected with small amounts


The coronavirus, once an 'aggressive tiger' of a disease, has weakened and become more like a wild cat, according to a top Italian doctor.

Professor Matteo Bassetti said he is convinced the virus is 'changing in severity' and patients are now surviving infections that would have killed them before.
And if the virus's weakening is true, Covid-19 could even disappear without a for a vaccine by becoming so weak it dies out on its own, he claimed.
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-8444151/Coronavirus-withered-aggressive-tiger-wild-cat-Italian-scientist-claims.html?ito=social-twitter_mailonline&__twitter_impression=true

This has been previously reported in Reuters and now reconfirmed in many other outlets.
https://www.reuters.com/article/us-health-coronavirus-italy-virus/new-coronavirus-losing-potency-top-italian-doctor-says-idUSKBN2370OQ

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Virus mutating into a less virulent form is the theory now for densely populated areas. That jibes with the fact that most of these places are experiencing an inverse relationship b/w cases and hosptializations (i.e. cases going up but hospitalizations are going down). There are pockets in the US, though, where this is not occurring (AZ, etc)

True.

No it's not true. There's no evidence for this. If anything the virus looks more dangerous than previously thought. It's not a simple respiratory virus, it's a virus that can attack multiple organs, including the brain.

All those people who've "only" lost their sense of taste and smell? That shows neurological involvement. I wouldn't rush out and try to get infected as no one knows the long-term effects of infection.

The theory comes from the factual evidence that this is how many other viruses, to included coronavirus, have mutated. If you think of the ‘goal’ of a virus it is to get you to walk around and infect a lot of other people. So it doesn’t make sense for it to render you immobile and quickly kill you. When it jumped from animals to humans, it wasn’t primed for humans, so naturally it would acclimate you a new host by mutating into a less deadly virus. Unfortunately or fortunately, however you want to look at it, the virus doesn’t seem to be mutating that quickly, so it’s likely a vaccine will be more effective than, say, the flu vaccine any given year.

[Anonymous]

The Fairfax Health District reported only 9 new cases today. 9.

Keep wearing those masks!

[Anonymous]

Japan done with Covid.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:The Fairfax Health District reported only 9 new cases today. 9.

Keep wearing those masks!

Great news!!

[Anonymous]

Anything?

[Anonymous]

This study projects that a population can reach herd immunity after 43% of a population has been infected. This is consistent with what we've seen in Europe, as the virus starts waning in areas that have had 40% or so infection rates.

https://www.studyfinds.org/herd-immunity-covid-19-not-so-far-off-after-all-new-model-shows/

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:This study projects that a population can reach herd immunity after 43% of a population has been infected. This is consistent with what we've seen in Europe, as the virus starts waning in areas that have had 40% or so infection rates.

https://www.studyfinds.org/herd-immunity-covid-19-not-so-far-off-after-all-new-model-shows/

That’s interesting! I saw that CDC estimates between 5-8% of American population have been exposed and we are in June. Wondering where we will be this fall ?

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:This study projects that a population can reach herd immunity after 43% of a population has been infected. This is consistent with what we've seen in Europe, as the virus starts waning in areas that have had 40% or so infection rates.

https://www.studyfinds.org/herd-immunity-covid-19-not-so-far-off-after-all-new-model-shows/

That’s interesting! I saw that CDC estimates between 5-8% of American population have been exposed and we are in June. Wondering where we will be this fall ?

I think, at least for a country as big as the US, it's better to think of it in terms of 50 different states or better yet, think of it on the level of individual metro areas. NYC and to a lesser extent, much of the rest of the northeast, are probably at or close to that level. (Apparently serology testing is missing large swaths of cases but it's impossible to say how much. NYC has reported ~23% positive on serology tests but that is likely undercounting). However, that doesn't mean much for the rest of the country, where as we are now seeing, there are plenty of hospitable new hosts to infect.

I personally am hopeful that hard-hit areas won't see much of a Wave 2 - but we need to continue to be cautious and wear masks!

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:This study projects that a population can reach herd immunity after 43% of a population has been infected. This is consistent with what we've seen in Europe, as the virus starts waning in areas that have had 40% or so infection rates.

https://www.studyfinds.org/herd-immunity-covid-19-not-so-far-off-after-all-new-model-shows/

That’s interesting! I saw that CDC estimates between 5-8% of American population have been exposed and we are in June. Wondering where we will be this fall ?

I think, at least for a country as big as the US, it's better to think of it in terms of 50 different states or better yet, think of it on the level of individual metro areas. NYC and to a lesser extent, much of the rest of the northeast, are probably at or close to that level. (Apparently serology testing is missing large swaths of cases but it's impossible to say how much. NYC has reported ~23% positive on serology tests but that is likely undercounting). However, that doesn't mean much for the rest of the country, where as we are now seeing, there are plenty of hospitable new hosts to infect.

I personally am hopeful that hard-hit areas won't see much of a Wave 2 - but we need to continue to be cautious and wear masks!

The good news is that the spread in the areas that are seeing surges now appears to be in a much younger population. It's either that we're doing a better job of testing younger people, or older people are being more cautious and younger people are not.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:This study projects that a population can reach herd immunity after 43% of a population has been infected. This is consistent with what we've seen in Europe, as the virus starts waning in areas that have had 40% or so infection rates.

https://www.studyfinds.org/herd-immunity-covid-19-not-so-far-off-after-all-new-model-shows/

That’s interesting! I saw that CDC estimates between 5-8% of American population have been exposed and we are in June. Wondering where we will be this fall ?

I think, at least for a country as big as the US, it's better to think of it in terms of 50 different states or better yet, think of it on the level of individual metro areas. NYC and to a lesser extent, much of the rest of the northeast, are probably at or close to that level. (Apparently serology testing is missing large swaths of cases but it's impossible to say how much. NYC has reported ~23% positive on serology tests but that is likely undercounting). However, that doesn't mean much for the rest of the country, where as we are now seeing, there are plenty of hospitable new hosts to infect.

I personally am hopeful that hard-hit areas won't see much of a Wave 2 - but we need to continue to be cautious and wear masks!

The good news is that the spread in the areas that are seeing surges now appears to be in a much younger population. It's either that we're doing a better job of testing younger people, or older people are being more cautious and younger people are not.

I think younger people are tired of being cooped up and aren't particularly worried if they get it. I'm 53 and can't speak for them but that's what i think.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:This study projects that a population can reach herd immunity after 43% of a population has been infected. This is consistent with what we've seen in Europe, as the virus starts waning in areas that have had 40% or so infection rates.

https://www.studyfinds.org/herd-immunity-covid-19-not-so-far-off-after-all-new-model-shows/

That’s interesting! I saw that CDC estimates between 5-8% of American population have been exposed and we are in June. Wondering where we will be this fall ?

A genius comp sci grad at MIT put together this website and it now forecasts into October. it was more accurate than the CHME forecast. It says by October we will be at 9% as a whole, but my state of Maryland will be at 12% and NY will be at 17%.

https://covid19-projections.com

[Anonymous]

The Arlington Health District’s 7 day average for positivity test rates is now down to less than 3% from a high of 40% in April.

[Anonymous]

https://www.reuters.com/article/us-health-coronavirus-china-vaccine/cansinos-covid-19-vaccine-candidate-approved-for-military-use-in-china-idUSKBN2400DZ

Vaccine Approved

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/science/coronavirus-vaccine-tracker.html