Reply to Coronavirus good Uplifting and hopeful news only

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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]This study projects that a population can reach herd immunity after 43% of a population has been infected.  This is consistent with what we've seen in Europe, as the virus starts waning in areas that have had 40% or so infection rates.

https://www.studyfinds.org/herd-immunity-covid-19-not-so-far-off-after-all-new-model-shows/[/quote]

That’s interesting! I saw that CDC estimates between 5-8% of American population have been exposed and we are in June. Wondering where we will be this fall ? [/quote]

I think, at least for a country as big as the US, it's better to think of it in terms of 50 different states or better yet, think of it on the level of individual metro areas. NYC and to a lesser extent, much of the rest of the northeast, are probably at or close to that level. (Apparently serology testing is missing large swaths of cases but it's impossible to say how much. NYC has reported ~23% positive on serology tests but that is likely undercounting). However, that doesn't mean much for the rest of the country, where as we are now seeing, there are plenty of hospitable new hosts to infect.

I personally am hopeful that hard-hit areas won't see much of a Wave 2 - but we need to continue to be cautious and wear masks![/quote]

The good news is that the spread in the areas that are seeing surges now appears to be in a much younger population.  It's either that we're doing a better job of testing younger people, or older people are being more cautious and younger people are not.  [/quote]

I think younger people are tired of being cooped up and aren't particularly worried if they get it. I'm 53 and can't speak for them but that's what i think.[/quote]

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