Agree, they're really clueless with what's going on in the Western area from the Toll Road down to 66. Ultimately, I'm willing the bet they'll make some big F-ups in the first draft of the KAA maps, and then it'll be a matter of who's voice is loudest and we'll see where the pieces fall. Then, 5 years from now, they'll go "Oh s***, we underestimated development" and they'll have to added trailers/Mods to KAA. |
I highly doubt they close McLean. The dashboard has them at 2353 students. Even if you move western Great Falls to Herndon, that’s less than 400 kids. you’d have to move great falls elementary also and herndon can’t take on two more elementary schools. especially if they put AAP at herndon MS. that should keep more kids in pyramid than staying for south lakes with their AAP peers. and can marshall and falls church take on 1550+ kids? they will just have to bite the bullet and expand and renovate it |
Fox Mill sends 29 AAP to Oak Hill Crossfield sends 51 to Navy They would go to Carson. McNair does the AAP for Coates and Floris so there should be no big shifts there, except it would take away from McNair. Floris and Fox Mill would add more to South Lakes and take a handful from Westfield. And, there is also the TJ contingent. That is a good sized number off of Carson membership. |
dp. They look like the obvious choices to me based on the map. |
Stone is one of the smallest middle schools in FCPS. Maybe 30-50 kids per year go from Rocky Run to Westfield. Thats not enough numbers to fill a high school even with 600 from Carson. |
| Just looked it up. Stone has fewer than 700 kids. |
| Does scenario move any neighborhoods from CVHS or CHS to Westfield? |
Well, 86 kids go to Rocky Run from Stone. Where do they go to high school? That translates to 160 students. |
I'm not familiar with all the boundaries, but it moves at least part of Bull Run. Maybe all. |
No idea where this 86 per year number is coming from but presumably they go to private HS, TJ or they finagle a transfer to another FCPS HS. I have a sophomore at Westfield and around 40 kids went from RR to Westfield her year. 30-50 is accurate. The class behind hers at the BRES AAP center was so small the center only had one small class every year. |
Half of Bull run already goes to Westfield. |
Only the bit of Bull Run west of 66, about 115 kids. Scenario 3 sends some Lees Corners and the Chantilly portion of Cub Run to Westfield. Scenario 4 sends nothing. The fact that Chantilly is gaining students under scenario 4, I would be shocked if they didn’t lose 2 elementary feeders. Based on the way they’ve been setting up Lees Corner, it’s the most likely candidate for THRU to send to Westfield. They already chiseled it in scenario 3, and they aligned it with the Franklin portion of Cub Run. This is just my reading of tea leaves. |
My kids are at Crossfield - your numbers are way off. It's a small school. |
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South Lakes also goes from 96% capacity to 101% under Scenario 4. I have to believe that Emerald Chase would go to KAA and not South Lakes.
I do think that Oak Hill is at least an option for Westfield. Pulling Floris, Coates, and McNair out does mean you need to backfill a good amount to Westfield some how. Centreville is also listed as needing relief so I assume some will come from there. Bull run maybe? If they take the part of Floris that is west of Centreville rd that doesn't actually have any homes and reassign to Oakhill, then the boundaries with Westfield wouldn't be as bad of an attendance island |
Just to clarify your comment and perhaps what you meant, but there were 86 Stone to Rocky Run transfers last year, so more like 30-50 per grade. |