Demi could win it. I wouldn't be surprised. Great performance, even better narrative, and surging at just the right time. |
I think Zoe will win it, meatier role and now has momentum with the Globes win. |
I'm hoping that Fiennes gets BAFTA, Domingo gets Critics Choice, Chalamet gets SAG, and Brody...well, he did indeed do everything in this role, so I suppose he should win the Oscar, but I am just not a fan. |
Interesting, not much agreement on the top 5. Jolie is falling off some of the lists. Then some have her or Kidman, but not both. Some have Torres or Jean-Baptiste, but not both. Most have Madison, Gascon, and Erivo, and many now have Moore. Tight race! I think Madison, Gascon, and Moore but not sure about the other two. Would love for it to be Torres and Jean-Baptiste, but that seems unlikely. |
SAG nominations tomorrow should give us a better understanding. I like when the race is all over the place too lol.
In theory Torres should be lock since she won the GG best drama but they also expanded their Latin membership. It could be Nicole/Angelina split votes allowing for her to over take. The love the industry has for Emilia Pérez is perplexing. |
It's just because it's something new and different, and features trans representation (if problematically according to a number of trans activists). |
Daniel Craig was amazing in "Queer" - it needs to get more nods in general. I haven't seen The Brutalist yet but it drops into my screeners next week (I'm a voting member) even though I plan to see it on the big screen, too. |
Wtf were those SAG nominations? What do they have against Nicole? |
I’m kind of shocked that both Pamela Anderson and Demi Moore maintained slots. They both have the same dark horse narrative with Demi Moore picking up huge momentum from her GG acceptance speech. |
I expected Moore to get a slot, but am really surprised by Anderson over Kidman, Jolie, Jean-Baptiste, and Torres. I do think the underdog narrative is effective in her case but I don't think she's as strong an actress. Given that Jolie was on just about every list until the BAFTA longlist omission, I also wonder if this doesn't have to do with her general unpopularity among friends of Brad, Jen, and Laura. Kidman wasn't on as many lists, but I did think she'd make it on. Other weird choices--Lily Gladstone for Under the Bridge and Nicola Coughlan for Bridgerton. Why? |
I had the *impression* (purely based on photos) that the veteran actresses did not exactly welcome Pammy into the club at the many precursor events held so far. *If* that is true, I hope she allows herself to cackle with a little satisfaction right now. |
Here are the SAG nominations:
https://www.hollywoodreporter.com/movies/movie-news/2025-sag-awards-nominations-nominees-list-1236104098/ |
I don't think so since Spencer didn't do well at SAG either. I think Kristen only made the BAFTA longlist since it was longer. Nicole is popular in Hollywood too and should've made it. She was stacking up the awards that Angelina didn't have. It's ludicrous Anderson made it over her. She won the NB and the Volpi Cup. It seems like they knocked off the old actress (Angelina,Kate, Nicole) for newer ones. |
Best Supporting Actress is unexpected as well. Surprised at Barbaro and especially Curtis over Rossellini. But glad Deadwyler made it in. |
Agree. You'd think her peers of all people would have respected the difficulty of that particular role. |