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Republican wishful thinking. They are trying to cast doubt where there really isn't any. The polls that show Baldwin with less than a +7 advantage are low rated, politically leaning pollsters. Trafalgar is rated #279 out of 282 pollsters that 538 rates. They have 0.7 stars out of 3.0 and their accuracy is always questionable. GS Strategy Group (the group that did the latest Cook Political Report) is rated #211 out of 282 pollsters. AtlasIntel is a better rated pollsters at #22, but still not one of the best. #1 rated NYT/Siena, #3 rated Marquette, #6 rated Marist each rate her at +7 or +8. The qualify of pollsters matter and choosing low quality, biased pollsters who are known to put their thumb on the scales, use biased questions and biased polling samples is only propaganda and not actual polling. |
| Dobbs effect. [/twitter]https://x.com/ryanstruyk/status/1842014177122029971[twitter] |
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Rasmussen is junk polling. 538 has him at -0.3 stars out of 3 and gives him a low transparency score. He's not rated by 538 in the top 282. He's in the unrated list below the top 282, but he's essentially >300 out of 282. He's very Republican biased and does not give out too much information about his polling techniques, so it's hard to see how he puts his thumb on the scale. Essentially, you can view Rasmussen as a GOP political operative and treat his "polls" as propaganda. |