So DC having exactly 100 murders from January 1, 2025 until the NG showed up in early August and then only having 27 murders from when they showed up until the end of 2025 was just a magical coincidence? Is the city being on track to have the lowest murder rate in recorded history this year just a magical coincidence as well? If it wasn’t the NG that caused it to drop what was it? The city government throwing money at additional programs when the city has a $1 billion budget deficit? Please enlighten us as to what you think caused this historic drop in murders that just happened to coincide exactly with the appearance of the NG. You just stating out of hand that the NG wasn’t a factor doesn’t make it so. |
Over the same period, violent crime has fallen in many cities - by even greater percentages - in cities that did not get NG deployments. Moreover, the recent decline in violent crime in DC continues a trend that not only began before the NG were deployed, but even before Trump took office. Exactly why crime is falling so sharply in some many cities is something of a mystery. If, by chance, your interest in this topic extends beyond partisan point-scoring, you can point your browser here to learn more: https://jasher.substack.com/ |
Wow! So crime just magically rolled back in the whole country on August 12, 2025, when the NG showed up and took DC from having 100 murders from 1/1/2025 to 8/11/2025 to 127 total murders for the year in 2025? That is an amazing coincidence!! That really should be studied. Thanks for the reading. I’m sure 3,000+ soldiers being stationed in DC didn’t lead to one less murder since they came and the article you posted will underscore this indisputable fact. Thanks for enlightening me! |
Keep in mind you're dealing with one of the people that probably kept claiming crime wasn't rising a few years back. |
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Anyone who wants to ground their opinions about DC crime in empirical analysis rather than partisan horseshit could do worse than read this in its entirety: https://www.niskanencenter.org/washington-dc-crime-decline-and-its-lessons-for-american-policing/#efficient-policing-vs-the-national-guard-a-cost-effectiveness-comparison
If there are any parts of you don’t understand, feel free to ask. |
Who claimed that? Source your statements. I’ll wait. |
Yeah, it doesn’t say that there presence had no affect on crime, just that they aren’t as cost effective as employing more MPD officers. It’s funny how liberals on here are libertarians concerned about government largesse only when it concerns saving people in DC from getting murdered. |
Is reading really that hard?
Yes, it appears that the NG presence induced a reduction in property crime, but I believe you were specifically concerned with murders. So, to answer your earlier question (“So DC having exactly 100 murders from January 1, 2025 until the NG showed up in early August and then only having 27 murders from when they showed up until the end of 2025 was just a magical coincidence?”), yes, it appears so. |
There is absolutely no way to definitively prove the point that’s made in the article because to do so would require being able to enter some alternate dimension where from August 12, 2025, the NG wasn’t there and there were the same amount of murders (27) from then until the end of the year. You know that right? |
I remember a time when those who were completely ignorant of a particular topic would have the common decency not to represent that as a qualification. |
| Does anyone else want to see Trump try to do this? And finally we get fired up and take to the streets and fight this. DC has been under siege for too long |
DC has no meaningful representation in Congress. If you take to the streets and fight this, what exactly is your plan? |
Please cite where the study talks specifically about murder stats and does not group it in a “Other (violent crime)”category (see Figure 7), which in and of itself seems troubling that they’re trying to minimize the murder stats by hiding them in this larger category. Murder stats, as anyone who knows crime reporting can tell you, is the biggest indicator of crime because these figures cannot be fudged by politically motivated actors in law enforcement. It is extremely odd that the authors don’t even talk about the murder rate specifically, and it leads me to believe they’re doing so to further a narrative and not actually look into this issue from a nonpartisan, ideologically neutral perspective. Also, the authors state that they can trust MPD data about other violent crimes that aren’t reported to the FBI, like murder stats, which is laughable because the MPD has around a dozen high ranking officers facing indictments for forging crime data to make it seem like the overall crime rate was lower in the past. |
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Good.
People complain about Trump but DC erected a statue to Marion Barry, Jr. |
Go read up on the No True Scotsman fallacy and get back to us when you've realized that there is no information whatsoever that could ever convince yourself that you were wrong. |