What are your political predictions for 2024?

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:So far my prediction is that overwhelming majority of these big predictions the rest of you have made won't pan out.

This! And we don’t need debates. We know where both candidates stand:
Biden got us through COVID successfully and economy is up, inflation down.

Trump wants to stay out of prison, be a king and will yank our economy (and let Putin take Ukraine).

My money’s on Biden.

The economy is “up?”

Inflation is “down?”

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:So far my prediction is that overwhelming majority of these big predictions the rest of you have made won't pan out.

This! And we don’t need debates. We know where both candidates stand:
Biden got us through COVID successfully and economy is up, inflation down.

Trump wants to stay out of prison, be a king and will yank our economy (and let Putin take Ukraine).

My money’s on Biden.

The economy is “up?”

Inflation is “down?”

Did you just wake from a coma? Yes and yes
Also gas prices are good.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:So far my prediction is that overwhelming majority of these big predictions the rest of you have made won't pan out.

This! And we don’t need debates. We know where both candidates stand:
Biden got us through COVID successfully and economy is up, inflation down.

Trump wants to stay out of prison, be a king and will yank our economy (and let Putin take Ukraine).

My money’s on Biden.

The economy is “up?”

Inflation is “down?”

Did you just wake from a coma? Yes and yes
Also gas prices are good.

PP must just sit in their basement listening to Trump say gas is still 8 bucks a gallon. There are stations where it’s less than $2 now.

[Anonymous]

The immigration issue is going to torpedo the Democrats.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Why will 4 occur?

Third party candidate will capture a few electoral votes.

That hasn’t happened since 1948. Which 3rd party candidate could win at least one state?

Don’t have to win a state. Some have proportional allotments.

Nebraska and Maine are going to trump/Biden.

Be serious.

Citizens of Maine are embarrassed by the attention brought to their state by kicking Trump off the primary ballot. 3rd party candidate is going to do very well in Maine.

Citizen of Maine here (ha) who is not embarassed.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:The immigration issue is going to torpedo the Democrats.

My prediction is that House Republicans will scream we need to "fix" immigration but will put forth no policy that has a chance in he11 passing. They then MAGA will scream "Biden isn't fixing immigration" because they have no idea how government works.

Here's a tip: Congress needs to draft a bill, the Senate needs to pass it, then the President signs it. Biden can't "fix" immigration. Mike Johnson needs to bring him a bill to sign. Where is that bill?

[Anonymous]

For reference:

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:There might very well be a brokered republican convention, when TRUMP is found guilty in May in DC.

Let's hope the RNC is able to pull that off and let's hope the DNC can pull this off as well. No way we can make it to 2029 under the leadership (or lack thereof) of one of these two elderly vegetables.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:So far my prediction is that overwhelming majority of these big predictions the rest of you have made won't pan out.

This! And we don’t need debates. We know where both candidates stand:
Biden got us through COVID successfully and economy is up, inflation down.

Trump wants to stay out of prison, be a king and will yank our economy (and let Putin take Ukraine).

My money’s on Biden.

The economy is “up?”

Inflation is “down?”

Did you just wake from a coma? Yes and yes
Also gas prices are good.

PP must just sit in their basement listening to Trump say gas is still 8 bucks a gallon. There are stations where it’s less than $2 now.

I dunno. 3.99 for regular at the Exxon in Oakton yesterday. It’s high.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:So far my prediction is that overwhelming majority of these big predictions the rest of you have made won't pan out.

This! And we don’t need debates. We know where both candidates stand:
Biden got us through COVID successfully and economy is up, inflation down.

Trump wants to stay out of prison, be a king and will yank our economy (and let Putin take Ukraine).

My money’s on Biden.

The economy is “up?”

Inflation is “down?”

Did you just wake from a coma? Yes and yes
Also gas prices are good.

PP must just sit in their basement listening to Trump say gas is still 8 bucks a gallon. There are stations where it’s less than $2 now.

I dunno. 3.99 for regular at the Exxon in Oakton yesterday. It’s high.

I can find plenty of gas stations offering 3.20 or less. Or I could point out the single gas station in my area that’s 3.99 like you did.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:So far my prediction is that overwhelming majority of these big predictions the rest of you have made won't pan out.

This! And we don’t need debates. We know where both candidates stand:
Biden got us through COVID successfully and economy is up, inflation down.

Trump wants to stay out of prison, be a king and will yank our economy (and let Putin take Ukraine).

My money’s on Biden.

The economy is “up?”

Inflation is “down?”

Did you just wake from a coma? Yes and yes
Also gas prices are good.

PP must just sit in their basement listening to Trump say gas is still 8 bucks a gallon. There are stations where it’s less than $2 now.

I dunno. 3.99 for regular at the Exxon in Oakton yesterday. It’s high.

I paid less than three bucks in Rockville last week. Maybe shop around a little?

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:So far my prediction is that overwhelming majority of these big predictions the rest of you have made won't pan out.

This! And we don’t need debates. We know where both candidates stand:
Biden got us through COVID successfully and economy is up, inflation down.

Trump wants to stay out of prison, be a king and will yank our economy (and let Putin take Ukraine).

My money’s on Biden.

The economy is “up?”

Inflation is “down?”

You really need to get your news from somewhere other than Fox News. They are downplaying the economic recovery purely for political theater and to convince people like you that the status quo is still bad, so you'll vote Republican. Here' just a sampling, but most economic sources are in agreement.

The economy is up (recovering from the pandemic which was a situation Biden inherited):
https://www.forbes.com/sites/ankitmishra/2023/12/18/leading-experts-weigh-in-on-growing-the-us-economy-in-2024/?sh=1acf662051a5

The United States economy has rebounded strongly from the Covid-19 recession, aided by a heavy-handed and enduring government policy response. Since the pandemic hit, the U.S. economy has grown by 5.4%, while those of the remaining G7 have only increased by an average of 1.4%.

https://www.usbank.com/investing/financial-perspectives/market-news/economic-recovery-status.html

In the third quarter, the economy expanded at a seasonally adjusted annualized rate of 4.9%, based on the government’s third estimate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP).
[...]

Third quarter GDP results represent a marked improvement over the first half of 2023. The economy generated a 2.2% annualized growth rate in the first quarter, followed by an increase of 2.1% in the second quarter.

“We’ve had three accelerating quarters of economic growth instead of the expected three quarters of slowing growth,” says Rob Haworth, senior investment strategy director at U.S. Bank Wealth Management. “The primary reason is that remains strong, which is driving the surprising level of growth we’ve seen.”

Inflation is down:
https://www2.deloitte.com/xe/en/insights/economy/us-economic-forecast/united-states-outlook-analysis.html

Out of this nettle, danger, we pluck this flower, safety.”
—Henry Hotspur in William Shakespeare’s Henry IV (Part 1, Act 2, Scene 3)

Fed officials might well be feeling like they have managed to follow Hotspur’s advice. The US economy seems to have avoided the pain of a recession while enjoying a pretty significant fall in inflation.

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/01/03/business/economy/inflation-prices.html

Will America’s Good News on Inflation Last?
One of the biggest economic surprises of 2023 was how quickly inflation faded.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:So far my prediction is that overwhelming majority of these big predictions the rest of you have made won't pan out.

This! And we don’t need debates. We know where both candidates stand:
Biden got us through COVID successfully and economy is up, inflation down.

Trump wants to stay out of prison, be a king and will yank our economy (and let Putin take Ukraine).

My money’s on Biden.

The economy is “up?”

Inflation is “down?”

Did you just wake from a coma? Yes and yes
Also gas prices are good.

PP must just sit in their basement listening to Trump say gas is still 8 bucks a gallon. There are stations where it’s less than $2 now.

I dunno. 3.99 for regular at the Exxon in Oakton yesterday. It’s high.

https://www.gasbuddy.com/gaspricemap?lat=38.8809451&lng=-77.3008172&z=13

I am seeing the 3.99 and 3.59 fuel in the oakton place, but the map picture showing many cheaper place.

Rt123 pricyness!!!

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:The immigration issue is going to torpedo the Democrats.

Not nearly as much as the abortion issue will torpedo the Republicans. The Democrats are currently riding a wave of being the lesser of two evils and that's not likely to subside by the 2024 elections.

So far, the November 2022 and November 2023 election cycles have shown that the abortion issue has been a major issue for voters. For a mid-term and an off-year election, any state that has had abortion rights at the ballot box has seen a huge increase in voters under 35 (the largest segment that normally has low voter turnout) and suburban women, which has traditionally been the make or break demographic. In both demographics, the high turnout rate has been voting overwhelming Democratic to enshrine reproductive rights.

Kansas had record turnouts in 2022 and the deep red state voted for a Constitutional amendment protecting abortion rights. Same in Ohio 2023. In Kentucky, another deep red state, Democrat Andy Beshear won reelection as governor running on a ticket to protect women's reproductive rights. In Virginia, prior to the election, Republican controlled House and a Democratic controlled Senate. With abortion rights as a major platform issue, November 2023, saw the Democrats win both chambers of the Virginia legislature.

With the overturning of Roe v Wade, abortion rights has become the dominant election decider. And Biden and the Democrats will be riding this to a third straight Democratic winning election.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:There might very well be a brokered republican convention, when TRUMP is found guilty in May in DC.

Let's hope the RNC is able to pull that off and let's hope the DNC can pull this off as well. No way we can make it to 2029 under the leadership (or lack thereof) of one of these two elderly vegetables.

Biden has said that he is only running against Trump.

If (and it's a big if) any of the four major trials can get a conviction for Trump, then I suspect that the Republicans will finally have to figure out a way to move forward with a non-Trump candidate. If that happens, expect that Biden will be withdrawing and we'll end up with an election without either Trump or Biden.

If Trump manages to stall the process and avoid any convictions before the tickets are decided, then we're looking at Biden vs Trump 2.0.

I like Biden, but these two candidates are very bad for the country, solely based on the fact that both are so far off their prime and neither one is still fully competent to serve four more years as POTUS.