What are your political predictions for 2024?

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Here are my top 10, with a couple happening in early 2025:
1. Trump is the Republican nominee
2. There are no presidential debates
3. Once again a divided Congress with a Republican controlled Senate and a Democratic house by the slimiest of margins.
4. No one has enough electoral votes for the Presidency in November.
5. Pundits endlessly debate what happens next and Americans are shocked at how the Constitutional process works with no electoral college winner
6. President Trump sworn in January 2025.
7. Crime gets so bad that the Federal Government assumes control of DC
8. Harvard Corporation under mounting pressure fires embattled President Gay.
9. Harvard Corporation gives Harvard President’s job to Kamala Harris in January 2025.
10. Washington’s football team has a new moniker; need the merchandise income to pay for new coaching staff led by Bill Belichick.

Definitely agree with #2. No way does Biden’s campaign allow him to debate.

Trump is pathetic. Someone should tell him that water does not demagnetize magnets!

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:The immigration issue is going to torpedo the Democrats.

Not nearly as much as the abortion issue will torpedo the Republicans. The Democrats are currently riding a wave of being the lesser of two evils and that's not likely to subside by the 2024 elections.

So far, the November 2022 and November 2023 election cycles have shown that the abortion issue has been a major issue for voters. For a mid-term and an off-year election, any state that has had abortion rights at the ballot box has seen a huge increase in voters under 35 (the largest segment that normally has low voter turnout) and suburban women, which has traditionally been the make or break demographic. In both demographics, the high turnout rate has been voting overwhelming Democratic to enshrine reproductive rights.

Kansas had record turnouts in 2022 and the deep red state voted for a Constitutional amendment protecting abortion rights. Same in Ohio 2023. In Kentucky, another deep red state, Democrat Andy Beshear won reelection as governor running on a ticket to protect women's reproductive rights. In Virginia, prior to the election, Republican controlled House and a Democratic controlled Senate. With abortion rights as a major platform issue, November 2023, saw the Democrats win both chambers of the Virginia legislature.

With the overturning of Roe v Wade, abortion rights has become the dominant election decider. And Biden and the Democrats will be riding this to a third straight Democratic winning election.

Just imagine what we could do from an electoral standpoint if we had a viable presidential candidate to run against Trump. Biden still has a chance to beat Trump and I hope he does but man it sure would be fun to watch a legitimate candidate lock in the victory with a 1984 Reagan like landslide crushing of Trump and MAGA! A cozy Rehoboth retirement village is calling your name Joe! lol

I'm the PP you are responding to. I think Biden is correct, though. If Biden doesn't run, Trump holds the upper hand as a former President. Biden can "trump" Trump (pun intended) as the incumbent. So he can cancel out the incumbency between them. And I believe that there are still more anybody-but-Trump voters than anybody-but-Biden voters. So, Biden can cancel out Trump. However, with Trump in the race without Biden, he does hold an edge as he would have the vote of people who vote for incumbency or "experience". There are still many less read voters who will vote for the higher name recognition and they will recognize Trump as a former President, so they will vote for him because he has the experience that a new candidate will not have. There are many people who will vote, but do not pay much attention to issues.

Biden has also implied that he is only running to prevent Trump from regaining the presidency. If Trump were to withdraw or get knocked out of the race, I would guess that Biden would also withdraw from the race.

Are you suggesting that the elderly, bumbling Biden would be more appealing to swing voters in swing states than Whitmer? That's the most ridiculous thing I've heard in 6 weeks. Biden is a big time liability to the party at this point.

No. I am saying that Biden is the only one who can definitely beat Trump. He negates the former President incumbent benefit.

I think that Whitmer is an amazing candidate, but I'm not certain that she can beat the MAGA GOP steamroller. Without Biden in the race, essentially Trump would immediately get a bump from those people who like incumbents or those that are already experienced with the office that they are running for. Biden is the only opponent that can negate that bonus for Trump.

+1. And I know the conventional wisdom is that Hillary Clinton was a terrible candidate, blah, blah, blah, but I don't think you can get away from the fact that some people hated her in part because she's a woman. I think there are people that don't even consciously understand that they don't like her because she's a woman because bias against women runs that deep. The acceptance of Trump's objectively offensive behavior against and around women is also proof of that.

Two old men running against each other is a level playing field.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Regardless of who wins in November, there’s going to a level of politicial violence never before seen in this country.

Well, we all know which party is in favor of guns for self defense. Hope you are on the right side.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Happy New Year! What are your political predictions for 2024?

Women's reproductive rights will be a huge winner for the Dems. Ohio's draconian prosecution of desecration of a corpse when she had a miscarriage at home and the prosecutor doesn't think she was sad enough! All of this even though Ohio has no law about what a woman should do if she has a miscarriage at home.

Ohio Woman Who Miscarried Faces Charge That She Abused Corpse https://www.nytimes.com/2024/01/03/us/brittany-watts-ohio-miscarriage-abortion.html?smid=nytcore-android-share

There is also Idaho's new draconian law.

The Dems should runs ads and talk about this non stop and point out that it was Trump who as appointed three SC judges that have the court the majority to do this.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Happy New Year! What are your political predictions for 2024?

Women's reproductive rights will be a huge winner for the Dems. Ohio's draconian prosecution of desecration of a corpse when she had a miscarriage at home and the prosecutor doesn't think she was sad enough! All of this even though Ohio has no law about what a woman should do if she has a miscarriage at home.

Ohio Woman Who Miscarried Faces Charge That She Abused Corpse https://www.nytimes.com/2024/01/03/us/brittany-watts-ohio-miscarriage-abortion.html?smid=nytcore-android-share

There is also Idaho's new draconian law.

The Dems should runs ads and talk about this non stop and point out that it was Trump who as appointed three SC judges that have the court the majority to do this.

Cool story.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:The immigration issue is going to torpedo the Democrats.

Not nearly as much as the abortion issue will torpedo the Republicans. The Democrats are currently riding a wave of being the lesser of two evils and that's not likely to subside by the 2024 elections.

So far, the November 2022 and November 2023 election cycles have shown that the abortion issue has been a major issue for voters. For a mid-term and an off-year election, any state that has had abortion rights at the ballot box has seen a huge increase in voters under 35 (the largest segment that normally has low voter turnout) and suburban women, which has traditionally been the make or break demographic. In both demographics, the high turnout rate has been voting overwhelming Democratic to enshrine reproductive rights.

Kansas had record turnouts in 2022 and the deep red state voted for a Constitutional amendment protecting abortion rights. Same in Ohio 2023. In Kentucky, another deep red state, Democrat Andy Beshear won reelection as governor running on a ticket to protect women's reproductive rights. In Virginia, prior to the election, Republican controlled House and a Democratic controlled Senate. With abortion rights as a major platform issue, November 2023, saw the Democrats win both chambers of the Virginia legislature.

With the overturning of Roe v Wade, abortion rights has become the dominant election decider. And Biden and the Democrats will be riding this to a third straight Democratic winning election.

Just imagine what we could do from an electoral standpoint if we had a viable presidential candidate to run against Trump. Biden still has a chance to beat Trump and I hope he does but man it sure would be fun to watch a legitimate candidate lock in the victory with a 1984 Reagan like landslide crushing of Trump and MAGA! A cozy Rehoboth retirement village is calling your name Joe! lol

I'm the PP you are responding to. I think Biden is correct, though. If Biden doesn't run, Trump holds the upper hand as a former President. Biden can "trump" Trump (pun intended) as the incumbent. So he can cancel out the incumbency between them. And I believe that there are still more anybody-but-Trump voters than anybody-but-Biden voters. So, Biden can cancel out Trump. However, with Trump in the race without Biden, he does hold an edge as he would have the vote of people who vote for incumbency or "experience". There are still many less read voters who will vote for the higher name recognition and they will recognize Trump as a former President, so they will vote for him because he has the experience that a new candidate will not have. There are many people who will vote, but do not pay much attention to issues.

Biden has also implied that he is only running to prevent Trump from regaining the presidency. If Trump were to withdraw or get knocked out of the race, I would guess that Biden would also withdraw from the race.

Are you suggesting that the elderly, bumbling Biden would be more appealing to swing voters in swing states than Whitmer? That's the most ridiculous thing I've heard in 6 weeks. Biden is a big time liability to the party at this point.

No. I am saying that Biden is the only one who can definitely beat Trump. He negates the former President incumbent benefit.

I think that Whitmer is an amazing candidate, but I'm not certain that she can beat the MAGA GOP steamroller. Without Biden in the race, essentially Trump would immediately get a bump from those people who like incumbents or those that are already experienced with the office that they are running for. Biden is the only opponent that can negate that bonus for Trump.

+1. And I know the conventional wisdom is that Hillary Clinton was a terrible candidate, blah, blah, blah, but I don't think you can get away from the fact that some people hated her in part because she's a woman. I think there are people that don't even consciously understand that they don't like her because she's a woman because bias against women runs that deep. The acceptance of Trump's objectively offensive behavior against and around women is also proof of that.

Two old men running against each other is a level playing field.

I agree with you about Hillary and Zi even know well educated men who said the would never vote for a wiman and she was blamed for Bill Clinton and Monica! Elaine Chao McConnell on a PBS show condemned her for not leaving Bill.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Regardless of who wins in November, there’s going to a level of politicial violence never before seen in this country.

Really? Worse than 600,000 people dying in the civil war?

Or are you not up to that chapter yet?

[Anonymous]

To the PP who is always saying Democrats are dominating Special Elections:

Ok final margins in Virginia special elections tonight

GOP will win SD-9 +28% and HD-48 +41%

[Anonymous]

My prediction is if you democrats keep it up, it's really not going to end well. You just keep raising the ante.

Just an example of what you are going to regret. It's disgusting behavior.


Mike Sington@MikeSington

“Like JFK.” Two journalists caught on hot mic laughing and joking about Trump being assassinated as they wait for him outside appeals court. (Video: AP)

https://twitter.com/MikeSington/status/1744738203616399859

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:My prediction is if you democrats keep it up, it's really not going to end well. You just keep raising the ante.

Just an example of what you are going to regret. It's disgusting behavior.


Mike Sington@MikeSington

“Like JFK.” Two journalists caught on hot mic laughing and joking about Trump being assassinated as they wait for him outside appeals court. (Video: AP)

https://twitter.com/MikeSington/status/1744738203616399859

Isn't Trump the one who "jokes" about jailing and assassinating journalists? I do not condone this behavior, but it seems that if you're going to dish it out you need to be able to take it too.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:My prediction is if you democrats keep it up, it's really not going to end well. You just keep raising the ante.

Just an example of what you are going to regret. It's disgusting behavior.


Mike Sington@MikeSington

“Like JFK.” Two journalists caught on hot mic laughing and joking about Trump being assassinated as they wait for him outside appeals court. (Video: AP)

https://twitter.com/MikeSington/status/1744738203616399859

Isn't Trump the one who "jokes" about jailing and assassinating journalists? I do not condone this behavior, but it seems that if you're going to dish it out you need to be able to take it too.

ITA. And nice try with equating two journalists with Democrats. Come on. Try harder.

[Anonymous]

Trump is only 3 years younger than Biden and in far less shape. He will die before Biden.

[Anonymous]

Nobody accepts the election results, it comes down to <30k votes
the shooting starts, militias roam the streets shooting up people who put up BLM signs.
police and the military lose control
interest rates skyrockets and the debt financing becomes impossible and the government has trouble funding itself as the market runs ahead of printed money hyperinflates the economy
social order collapses and unemployment spikes to 25-30%. Food stamps programs cannot kept up with inflation rates
all major cities are burned to the ground by the hungry and the poor and the rich flee to their bunkers
China takes the chance to strike Taiwan and kick off war world 3
a few carriers get sunk and Kadena gets struck and the US startes attacking into depth in China with B-2s
Nuclear war ensues and the US gets hit with ~500-1000 nukes.
People start entering their vaults in preparation for fallout to clear and the radiation levels to drop

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:My prediction is that Trump will win, which will mean chaos inside the U.S. but one good thing for the outside - the Ukraine war will freeze and people get a break from dying

How is Ukraine being occupied by Russia a good thing?

It’s not but better than endless death and destruction on both sides

[Anonymous]

Trump wins and stops all asylum seeking. Also ends war in Ukraine. Also chaos ensues in all government programs - people can’t get their immigration status changed, no money for food stamps, etc etc