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Reply to "What are your political predictions for 2024?"
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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]The immigration issue is going to torpedo the Democrats. [/quote] Not nearly as much as the abortion issue will torpedo the Republicans. The Democrats are currently riding a wave of being the lesser of two evils and that's not likely to subside by the 2024 elections. So far, the November 2022 and November 2023 election cycles have shown that the abortion issue has been a major issue for voters. For a mid-term and an off-year election, any state that has had abortion rights at the ballot box has seen a huge increase in voters under 35 (the largest segment that normally has low voter turnout) and suburban women, which has traditionally been the make or break demographic. In both demographics, the high turnout rate has been voting overwhelming Democratic to enshrine reproductive rights. Kansas had record turnouts in 2022 and the deep red state voted for a Constitutional amendment protecting abortion rights. Same in Ohio 2023. In Kentucky, another deep red state, Democrat Andy Beshear won reelection as governor running on a ticket to protect women's reproductive rights. In Virginia, prior to the election, Republican controlled House and a Democratic controlled Senate. With abortion rights as a major platform issue, November 2023, saw the Democrats win both chambers of the Virginia legislature. With the overturning of Roe v Wade, abortion rights has become the dominant election decider. And Biden and the Democrats will be riding this to a third straight Democratic winning election.[/quote]
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