
Ebola is direct contact, bodily fluid based virus via broken skin or mucous membranes, in the nose, mouth, or eyes. You need very close physical contact for it to spread. It is not contagious until symptoms develop and it remains contagious even after the patient has died. It is not airborne. Coronavirus is airborne. At the moment there are indications that it can be spread even while a person has no symptoms, which would make it more contagious than SARS (CDC Press conference just made that comparison). It has already spread to over a dozen countries and there have been human-to-human transmissions in Europe and Asia (not China). Ebola is more deadly, but the fact the coronavirus is airbone and (maybe) passing when people do not have symptoms is what troubles many professionals. African public health officials have said "If the latest coronavirus virus is transmitted like MERS or SARS, then it transmits like a the common cold. It is therefore likely to be much more infectious than Ebola." -- http://theconversation.com/perspectives-from-kenya-and-ghana-on-coronavirus-preparations-130488 |
Ha. I think I saw a map on CNN and it said Anchorage. |
Tell me, which would you rather have? The flu or Ebola? I don't think it matters how easy it is to transmit if the virus itself isn't that bad. |
It's almost like you "want" it to be worse than Ebola. You're sick. Ebola is devastating. The death rate is high. Victims die from bleeding internally. People won't even go near the victims for (reasonable) fear of catching it. To compare the Coronavirus to Ebola is stupid. You're just on here spreading BS fear. Admit it. |
2 people being tested in DC today. |
Three more people who also work at this German company have now tested positive. https://www.spiegel.de/wissenschaft/medizin/coronavirus-drei-weitere-faelle-in-bayern-bestaetigt-a-99fbe5d4-0e47-464e-a75e-362481fad33a |
She said she didn’t feel ill until she was going home. Can you trust that? Nope |
Here's news of a man in Japan who felt ill two weeks ago, went to get medical attention but wasn't spotted as a possible coronavirus case, so he went back home. Went back to the hospital 5 days later.
https://twitter.com/HelenBranswell/status/1222160575863623681 |
He was a bus driver and probably infected from driving a busload of Wuhan tourists around. That was Jan 14th. Of COURSE this virus is spreading human to human, outside of China. That should not be a suprise to anyone.
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So that might be an Ro of 4? One woman infected 4 people through casual contact. How infectious is seasonal flu? I think it is an R0 of 1.3 or so? |
r0 numbers are given as an average. There will many who do not spread it and then a superspreader who spreads to 10 or something. It's an average. At present, most are using an r0 of 2.3-2.6 or so, based on numbers provided to the WHO by the Chinese public health authorities. Current flu rates are 1.4 or so. |
I've seen an R0 for flu of 1 to2. May depend on the strain. SARS is 3. From what I've been reading it looks like this is at least as infectious as SARS. But SARS is not infectious until symptoms appear, whereas this may not be the case for Wuhan virus. Still a lot more to learn here. |
Canada reports a third case in Vancouver in addition to the two in Toronto. |
Just saw a second story--it appears the Vancouver case is presumptive but not yet confirmed. |
The basic reproductive ratio of 2019-nCOV (2.6-2.9) is higher than the 2014 Ebola in Guinea (1.5) |