Anecdotal, but I'm hearing the ED results are worse this year across the board.

[Anonymous]

Hearing about deferrals and rejections at our private

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:The demographic cliff hasn't really fallen off much yet, but people read articles and got their hopes up

Demographic cliff is next year, class of 2027.

There is no cliff, it’s a gradual decline over six years that takes us back to 2012 numbers. Internationals will be back in three.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Demographically, things should start getting easier with this graduating class. Add the reduction of foreign students and the reduction of aid keeping out some international and poor students, your chances of admission have improved, I don't know why the improvement would be particularly concentrated in early decision at the most selective colleges.

Nope. It's next year's class (current juniors) that will reap the reward of a big drop off in applicants.

Correct.

Class of 2026 is the highest point of the demographic mountain, before the big drop off begins with class of 2027.

There's not going to be some "big drop off" idk what's up with the dramatics

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Our public doing as usual. Kids getting deferred from Princeton. In at places like CMU and Middlebury unhooked with average stats.

Nonsense, unhooked with average stats do not get into either school.

Hmm. You’d be surprised at some of the in state Midd stats.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:The demographic cliff hasn't really fallen off much yet, but people read articles and got their hopes up

Demographic cliff is next year, class of 2027.

It starts with birth year 2008 which is mostly class of 2026 (unless you redshirted your kid).

That’s news to all the 2007s Sept-Dec current seniors.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:The demographic cliff hasn't really fallen off much yet, but people read articles and got their hopes up

Demographic cliff is next year, class of 2027.

It starts with birth year 2008 which is mostly class of 2026 (unless you redshirted your kid).

That’s news to all the 2007s Sept-Dec current seniors.

+100 not red-shirted, on-time 2007

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Demographically, things should start getting easier with this graduating class. Add the reduction of foreign students and the reduction of aid keeping out some international and poor students, your chances of admission have improved, I don't know why the improvement would be particularly concentrated in early decision at the most selective colleges.

The reduction of foreign students should help to balance out class of 2026 being the largest senior class and the peak of the post 911 baby boom.

It was supposed to be the last really difficult admissions year before senior class enrollment starts to drop, but with fewer foreign students it might not be so bad.

One unusual annecdote at my kid's high school is that the UVA acceptances that dropped this past week are all/mostly female. Even guys with better stats than the girls accepted did not get in.

It seems like UVA is still UVA-ing, at least in regards to male acceptances.

UVA took boys from our private. Roughly 6 of them vs 1 girl. Other girls had better stats but no go.

[Anonymous]

Emory and BC took all boys from our private. No girls at all. Very tough year for ED and particularly for girls.

[Anonymous]

Says everyone, every single year.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Emory and BC took all boys from our private. No girls at all. Very tough year for ED and particularly for girls.

Perhaps they’re emphasizing test scores more this year.

[Anonymous]

Strong boys get picked up early in ED.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Strong boys get picked up early in ED.

As do "ok" boys to places like BC and Emory. The ones from our private are B+ students. But they are full pay and well-prepared and most importantly, they are male and will keep the gender ratio somewhat balanced.
Meanwhile as a girl you need an ED GPA that is several points higher.

[Anonymous]

They are bad for non-athlete/non-institutional priority students at our private at the very high status schools. Although we have athletes getting into Princeton, Georgetown, LACs etc. But it does seem like a very large number of more average students at our private are all getting in ED to WashU.

Seems like WashU is absolutely the right play for ED1 and ED2!

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Our public doing as usual. Kids getting deferred from Princeton. In at places like CMU and Middlebury unhooked with average stats.

Nonsense, unhooked with average stats do not get into either school.

Hmm. You’d be surprised at some of the in state Midd stats.

In state as in Vermont?

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Our public doing as usual. Kids getting deferred from Princeton. In at places like CMU and Middlebury unhooked with average stats.

Nonsense, unhooked with average stats do not get into either school.

Hmm. You’d be surprised at some of the in state Midd stats.

It sure what you are trying to say but let’s roll with it.

There are typically about 100 kids from Vermont enrolled at Middlebury in any given year.

Most are the children of staff at Middlebury or UVM.

A decent number of them attended boarding school.

They at Midd, it is highly unlikely that they are somehow “Midd” candidates. Do you actually anything to back your assertion?

Finally, if Middlebury was actually giving a bit of a break to kids from Vermont who by and large go to rural schools I would say good for them.