What are your political predictions for 2024?

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Eric Adams will get indicted and refuse to step down.

Eric Adams and other Black Mayors will endorse Trump this November.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Eric Adams will get indicted and refuse to step down.

Eric Adams and other Black Mayors will endorse Trump this November.

You left out the entire prediction:

Donald Trump makes both public and private statements about his support for Adams and how “unfairly” he has been treated. He drops hints both obvious and subtle that his DOJ would drop the case against him.
Then Adams endorses Trump.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Eric Adams will get indicted and refuse to step down.

Eric Adams and other Black Mayors will endorse Trump this November.

If he wants to get run out of NY like trump was run out of NY then sure.

[Anonymous]

Oops

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Eric Adams will get indicted and refuse to step down.

Eric Adams and other Black Mayors will endorse Trump this November.

LOL no they won’t. Say what you will about Biden but he has a pretty good rep with Black voters, especially older and moderate Black voters who are one of the Democratic Party pillars. In the 2020 primaries Biden was on his back foot until the SC primary which he won handily. Thats also the first primary with a high number of Black voters.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Eric Adams will get indicted and refuse to step down.

Eric Adams and other Black Mayors will endorse Trump this November.

LOL no they won’t. Say what you will about Biden but he has a pretty good rep with Black voters, especially older and moderate Black voters who are one of the Democratic Party pillars. In the 2020 primaries Biden was on his back foot until the SC primary which he won handily. Thats also the first primary with a high number of Black voters.

Charlemagne tha God has been telling his listeners not to vote for Biden.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Eric Adams will get indicted and refuse to step down.

Eric Adams and other Black Mayors will endorse Trump this November.

LOL no they won’t. Say what you will about Biden but he has a pretty good rep with Black voters, especially older and moderate Black voters who are one of the Democratic Party pillars. In the 2020 primaries Biden was on his back foot until the SC primary which he won handily. Thats also the first primary with a high number of Black voters.

Biden will get the clear majority of the black voters. He owes his presidency to black voters and his deal with Clyburn is why he won the nomination and he paid back with appointing endless numbers of dubiously qualified black people to government roles and judgeships. See Kamala Harris as a prime example. So the black voters will turn out for him. Quid pro quo. Just like black voters always turn out for the Democrats regardless of what happens.

But the main issue is the actual turnout level. 2020 saw record turnout of black voters, even more black voters than Saint Obama got, which was astonishing. But all it takes is a small drop in turnout and boom there goes all the swing states. Say goodbye to Georgia and Wisconsin at a minimum. A depressed turnout in Philadelphia can hand Pennsylvania to Turnip. That's all it takes, just a small 1-2% turnout drop in black voters. Turnip lost three key swing states by only 45,000 votes and thus the electoral college.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Eric Adams will get indicted and refuse to step down.

Eric Adams and other Black Mayors will endorse Trump this November.

LOL no they won’t. Say what you will about Biden but he has a pretty good rep with Black voters, especially older and moderate Black voters who are one of the Democratic Party pillars. In the 2020 primaries Biden was on his back foot until the SC primary which he won handily. Thats also the first primary with a high number of Black voters.

Charlemagne tha God has been telling his listeners not to vote for Biden.

Black Women age 50+ aren’t listening to that guy lol.

I do agree that depressed turnout in general could be an issue this time around because who’s excited about Trump vs. Biden. And low turnout does tend to favor R’s in general. But turnout in the midterms has been pretty high, so if D’s can keep up the momentum about abortion rights and low unemployment, they can win in 2024 and it won’t be particularly close.

[Anonymous]

My prediction is that I will do everything in my power to elect Democrats. If you don't know what to do to save democracy, check out this article from David Pepper on how to enlarge your personal footprint for impact and influence. We all have a role to play. Just complaining on an anonymous forum won't cut it.

https://davidpepper.substack.com/p/new-years-resolution

[Anonymous]

My prediction is that Trump will allege widescale 2024 election fraud weeks before election day. His handlers will try to get him to stop talking about it because it could suppress GOP vote (i.e., why stand in line to vote in a fraudulent election). But his ego will need to proactively hedge a loss.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Eric Adams will get indicted and refuse to step down.

Eric Adams and other Black Mayors will endorse Trump this November.

LOL no they won’t. Say what you will about Biden but he has a pretty good rep with Black voters, especially older and moderate Black voters who are one of the Democratic Party pillars. In the 2020 primaries Biden was on his back foot until the SC primary which he won handily. Thats also the first primary with a high number of Black voters.

Biden will get the clear majority of the black voters. He owes his presidency to black voters and his deal with Clyburn is why he won the nomination and he paid back with appointing endless numbers of dubiously qualified black people to government roles and judgeships. See Kamala Harris as a prime example. So the black voters will turn out for him. Quid pro quo. Just like black voters always turn out for the Democrats regardless of what happens.

But the main issue is the actual turnout level. 2020 saw record turnout of black voters, even more black voters than Saint Obama got, which was astonishing. But all it takes is a small drop in turnout and boom there goes all the swing states. Say goodbye to Georgia and Wisconsin at a minimum. A depressed turnout in Philadelphia can hand Pennsylvania to Turnip. That's all it takes, just a small 1-2% turnout drop in black voters. Turnip lost three key swing states by only 45,000 votes and thus the electoral college.

Kamala Harris was an effective AG for the republic of California and an elected US Senator. How was she unqualified?

How many Biden appointed judges had the dubious honor of not being ABA rated? How many does that compare to Trump, who the GOP fecklessly went ahead and confirmed?

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:My prediction is that Trump will allege widescale 2024 election fraud weeks before election day. His handlers will try to get him to stop talking about it because it could suppress GOP vote (i.e., why stand in line to vote in a fraudulent election). But his ego will need to proactively hedge a loss.

He is already teeing it up. And the funny thing is, if he somehow doesn't get the GOP nomination, his wrath will turn to the party and the party nominee before his attention goes to the general election.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:My prediction is that Trump will allege widescale 2024 election fraud weeks before election day. His handlers will try to get him to stop talking about it because it could suppress GOP vote (i.e., why stand in line to vote in a fraudulent election). But his ego will need to proactively hedge a loss.

He is already teeing it up. And the funny thing is, if he somehow doesn't get the GOP nomination, his wrath will turn to the party and the party nominee before his attention goes to the general election.

Pretty please.🙏

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Eric Adams will get indicted and refuse to step down.

Eric Adams and other Black Mayors will endorse Trump this November.

You left out the entire prediction:

Donald Trump makes both public and private statements about his support for Adams and how “unfairly” he has been treated. He drops hints both obvious and subtle that his DOJ would drop the case against him.
Then Adams endorses Trump.

Interesting. Do you live in NYC? I'm not sure Adams could withstand that.

Can't stand the guy. First time I didn't vote for mayor or really anyone at the top of the ticket. That said, I have voted for a LOT of Dems over the years because I am not voting GOP. Well, almost voted for Carol Schwartz, but passed on that. Didn't vote for Catania for AL because he was complicated. Seems like light years ago.

[Anonymous]

Prediction: The squeeze will be on for the US Dollar. More and more countries will stop bidding for treasuries and bonds at auctions. The 10, 15 and 30 year bonds are already being shunned and there are few bidders at auctions as countries don't believe the US has much longer stability-wise.

Most buyers are purchasing 2 and 5 year bonds at most given the risk.

The US will have to rollover 7 Trillion dollars in US treasury debt this year and interest rates will go higher to attract buyers. Note: word on the street is, they are having trouble attracting interest in selling $150 Billion in bonds already. How are they going to refinance $7 TRILLION?