2022 Senate Map

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

I don’t trust the Ohio numbers and NV and GA are too close for comfort.

I'm not sure why. Tim Ryan has a history with Ohio and has solidly won reelection for 18 years. In addition to his district in NE Ohio, you add the Democratic leaning cities of Cleveland, Cincinnati, Columbia and Dayton and there are a lot of Democratic and Independent voters. Especially after the lies that Trump told and the disappointment with him completely ignoring promises like telling unemployed workers in NE Ohio not to leave the area because he was going to bring back the GM plant in Lordstown. That never happened and the area and residents have struggled economically from Trump. There are other stories about how he made promises to Ohio and failed to deliver. JD Vance getting Trump's legacy of failed promises is not a winning platform in Ohio. But Tim Ryan's 20 years of delivering for Ohio is. I can easily see how Ohioans would prefer Tim Ryan to JD Vance.


Ohio's 17th congressional district: Results 2002–2010[46]
Year Democrat Votes Pct Republican Votes Pct Other Party Votes Pct 2002 Timothy J. Ryan 94,441 51% Ann Womer Benjamin 62,188 34% James A. Traficant, Jr. Independent 28,045 15% 2004 Timothy J. Ryan 212,800 77% Frank V. Cusimano 62,871 23% 2006 Timothy J. Ryan 170,369 80% Don Manning II 41,925 20% 2008 Timothy J. Ryan 204,028 78% Duane Grassell[47] 56,003 22%[48] 2010 Timothy J. Ryan 102,758 54% Jim Graham 57,352 30% James A. Traficant, Jr. Independent 30,556 16%
Ohio's 13th congressional district: Results 2012–2020[46]
Year Democrat Votes Pct Republican Votes Pct 2012 Timothy J. Ryan 227,076 72% Marisha Agana 86,269 28% 2014 Timothy J. Ryan 120,230 69% Thomas Pekarek 55,233 31% 2016 Timothy J. Ryan 208,610 68% Richard Morckel 99,377 32% 2018 Timothy J. Ryan 149,271 61% Chris DePizzo 96,225 39% 2020 Timothy J. Ryan 173,631 53% Christina Hagan 148,648 45%

I also don’t trust that Ohio polling based similar polling swinging 5-7% more republican in past elections. Also this chart is worrying. Ryan went from 72% in 2012 to 69, 68, 61, 53 in 2020! That is some drop in the last decade, and show I believe how much redder Ohio has gotten.

Wapo said 3 days ago that they still think Vance is favored to win (which is sad, because he's a billionaire backed empty shirt).
washingtonpost.com/opinions/2022/08/11/ryan-challenging-vance-ohio-senate/

To keep Democrats enthused, there are frequent comparisons of Ryan with Sen. Sherrod Brown, the Ohio Democrat serving his third term in the Senate. Brown has consistently bucked the state’s Republican trend, and Ryan is clearly trying to follow in Brown’s blue-collar, borderline-populist footsteps. Ryan’s a natural people person, a contrast to Vance’s more elitist persona despite his humble roots. But Brown’s success was bolstered by the good fortune of running in strong years for national Democrats — 2006, 2012 and 2018. And Brown’s last two races were against particularly uninspiring opponents, including Josh Mandel in 2012, who was the GOP front-runner this year until Trump endorsed Vance.

Ryan won’t have Brown’s luck. This election is the first midterm of a new president, which typically boosts the opposition party. High inflation should be the top issue, though the Supreme Court decision overturning Roe v. Wade and, now, the FBI’s search of Mar-a-Lago are wild cards.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:come on, NC - pull it together!

One day, but they're another state that seems to have Dems in the lead and then the Republican pulls it out at the last minute. I am worried about NV too-that's a D incumbent that is too close for comfort.

Because R's have gerrymandered the F out of it. THat's why.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:come on, NC - pull it together!

One day, but they're another state that seems to have Dems in the lead and then the Republican pulls it out at the last minute. I am worried about NV too-that's a D incumbent that is too close for comfort.

Because R's have gerrymandered the F out of it. THat's why.

Gerrymandering shouldn't be a problem for a Statewide Senate race. Let's hope Cortez pulls it out!

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:come on, NC - pull it together!

One day, but they're another state that seems to have Dems in the lead and then the Republican pulls it out at the last minute. I am worried about NV too-that's a D incumbent that is too close for comfort.

Because R's have gerrymandered the F out of it. THat's why.

Gerrymandering shouldn't be a problem for a Statewide Senate race. Let's hope Cortez pulls it out!

That's true . . . . my bad.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:come on, NC - pull it together!

One day, but they're another state that seems to have Dems in the lead and then the Republican pulls it out at the last minute. I am worried about NV too-that's a D incumbent that is too close for comfort.

In the North Carolina voters' defense (as someone who lives in North Carolina), the last D candidate, Cal Cunningham, who was running a close Senate race against Thom Tillis was found out - just weeks before the election - to have been having an affair while he was in the military. Up until then, I believe he was favored to win. I'm pretty sure that propelled Tillis over the finish line.

[Anonymous]

[Anonymous]

We need to keep the House. Otherwise weirdos are going to investigate the Jan 6th committee members, plus Wray and Garland. And they'll try to impeach Biden, of course.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

I don’t trust the Ohio numbers and NV and GA are too close for comfort.

I'm not sure why. Tim Ryan has a history with Ohio and has solidly won reelection for 18 years. In addition to his district in NE Ohio, you add the Democratic leaning cities of Cleveland, Cincinnati, Columbia and Dayton and there are a lot of Democratic and Independent voters. Especially after the lies that Trump told and the disappointment with him completely ignoring promises like telling unemployed workers in NE Ohio not to leave the area because he was going to bring back the GM plant in Lordstown. That never happened and the area and residents have struggled economically from Trump. There are other stories about how he made promises to Ohio and failed to deliver. JD Vance getting Trump's legacy of failed promises is not a winning platform in Ohio. But Tim Ryan's 20 years of delivering for Ohio is. I can easily see how Ohioans would prefer Tim Ryan to JD Vance.


Ohio's 17th congressional district: Results 2002–2010[46]
Year Democrat Votes Pct Republican Votes Pct Other Party Votes Pct 2002 Timothy J. Ryan 94,441 51% Ann Womer Benjamin 62,188 34% James A. Traficant, Jr. Independent 28,045 15% 2004 Timothy J. Ryan 212,800 77% Frank V. Cusimano 62,871 23% 2006 Timothy J. Ryan 170,369 80% Don Manning II 41,925 20% 2008 Timothy J. Ryan 204,028 78% Duane Grassell[47] 56,003 22%[48] 2010 Timothy J. Ryan 102,758 54% Jim Graham 57,352 30% James A. Traficant, Jr. Independent 30,556 16%
Ohio's 13th congressional district: Results 2012–2020[46]
Year Democrat Votes Pct Republican Votes Pct 2012 Timothy J. Ryan 227,076 72% Marisha Agana 86,269 28% 2014 Timothy J. Ryan 120,230 69% Thomas Pekarek 55,233 31% 2016 Timothy J. Ryan 208,610 68% Richard Morckel 99,377 32% 2018 Timothy J. Ryan 149,271 61% Chris DePizzo 96,225 39% 2020 Timothy J. Ryan 173,631 53% Christina Hagan 148,648 45%

I also don’t trust that Ohio polling based similar polling swinging 5-7% more republican in past elections. Also this chart is worrying. Ryan went from 72% in 2012 to 69, 68, 61, 53 in 2020! That is some drop in the last decade, and show I believe how much redder Ohio has gotten.

Wapo said 3 days ago that they still think Vance is favored to win (which is sad, because he's a billionaire backed empty shirt).
washingtonpost.com/opinions/2022/08/11/ryan-challenging-vance-ohio-senate/

To keep Democrats enthused, there are frequent comparisons of Ryan with Sen. Sherrod Brown, the Ohio Democrat serving his third term in the Senate. Brown has consistently bucked the state’s Republican trend, and Ryan is clearly trying to follow in Brown’s blue-collar, borderline-populist footsteps. Ryan’s a natural people person, a contrast to Vance’s more elitist persona despite his humble roots. But Brown’s success was bolstered by the good fortune of running in strong years for national Democrats — 2006, 2012 and 2018. And Brown’s last two races were against particularly uninspiring opponents, including Josh Mandel in 2012, who was the GOP front-runner this year until Trump endorsed Vance.

Ryan won’t have Brown’s luck. This election is the first midterm of a new president, which typically boosts the opposition party. High inflation should be the top issue, though the Supreme Court decision overturning Roe v. Wade and, now, the FBI’s search of Mar-a-Lago are wild cards.

No, the Washington Post didn’t say that. You’re quoting a right wing columnist, not a news article.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

I don’t trust the Ohio numbers and NV and GA are too close for comfort.

I'm not sure why. Tim Ryan has a history with Ohio and has solidly won reelection for 18 years. In addition to his district in NE Ohio, you add the Democratic leaning cities of Cleveland, Cincinnati, Columbia and Dayton and there are a lot of Democratic and Independent voters. Especially after the lies that Trump told and the disappointment with him completely ignoring promises like telling unemployed workers in NE Ohio not to leave the area because he was going to bring back the GM plant in Lordstown. That never happened and the area and residents have struggled economically from Trump. There are other stories about how he made promises to Ohio and failed to deliver. JD Vance getting Trump's legacy of failed promises is not a winning platform in Ohio. But Tim Ryan's 20 years of delivering for Ohio is. I can easily see how Ohioans would prefer Tim Ryan to JD Vance.


Ohio's 17th congressional district: Results 2002–2010[46]
Year Democrat Votes Pct Republican Votes Pct Other Party Votes Pct 2002 Timothy J. Ryan 94,441 51% Ann Womer Benjamin 62,188 34% James A. Traficant, Jr. Independent 28,045 15% 2004 Timothy J. Ryan 212,800 77% Frank V. Cusimano 62,871 23% 2006 Timothy J. Ryan 170,369 80% Don Manning II 41,925 20% 2008 Timothy J. Ryan 204,028 78% Duane Grassell[47] 56,003 22%[48] 2010 Timothy J. Ryan 102,758 54% Jim Graham 57,352 30% James A. Traficant, Jr. Independent 30,556 16%
Ohio's 13th congressional district: Results 2012–2020[46]
Year Democrat Votes Pct Republican Votes Pct 2012 Timothy J. Ryan 227,076 72% Marisha Agana 86,269 28% 2014 Timothy J. Ryan 120,230 69% Thomas Pekarek 55,233 31% 2016 Timothy J. Ryan 208,610 68% Richard Morckel 99,377 32% 2018 Timothy J. Ryan 149,271 61% Chris DePizzo 96,225 39% 2020 Timothy J. Ryan 173,631 53% Christina Hagan 148,648 45%

I also don’t trust that Ohio polling based similar polling swinging 5-7% more republican in past elections. Also this chart is worrying. Ryan went from 72% in 2012 to 69, 68, 61, 53 in 2020! That is some drop in the last decade, and show I believe how much redder Ohio has gotten.

Wapo said 3 days ago that they still think Vance is favored to win (which is sad, because he's a billionaire backed empty shirt).
washingtonpost.com/opinions/2022/08/11/ryan-challenging-vance-ohio-senate/

To keep Democrats enthused, there are frequent comparisons of Ryan with Sen. Sherrod Brown, the Ohio Democrat serving his third term in the Senate. Brown has consistently bucked the state’s Republican trend, and Ryan is clearly trying to follow in Brown’s blue-collar, borderline-populist footsteps. Ryan’s a natural people person, a contrast to Vance’s more elitist persona despite his humble roots. But Brown’s success was bolstered by the good fortune of running in strong years for national Democrats — 2006, 2012 and 2018. And Brown’s last two races were against particularly uninspiring opponents, including Josh Mandel in 2012, who was the GOP front-runner this year until Trump endorsed Vance.

Ryan won’t have Brown’s luck. This election is the first midterm of a new president, which typically boosts the opposition party. High inflation should be the top issue, though the Supreme Court decision overturning Roe v. Wade and, now, the FBI’s search of Mar-a-Lago are wild cards.

Did you note that the link you posted is from the Opinions section? That means that it's an editorial, not a news article.

[Anonymous]

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

What does G Elliott Morris have to say about the House?

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:come on, NC - pull it together!

One day, but they're another state that seems to have Dems in the lead and then the Republican pulls it out at the last minute. I am worried about NV too-that's a D incumbent that is too close for comfort.

In the North Carolina voters' defense (as someone who lives in North Carolina), the last D candidate, Cal Cunningham, who was running a close Senate race against Thom Tillis was found out - just weeks before the election - to have been having an affair while he was in the military. Up until then, I believe he was favored to win. I'm pretty sure that propelled Tillis over the finish line.

Hmmm. I don’t recall voters having an issue with someone else who liked grabbing certain parts of the female anatomy.

[Anonymous]

It’s only ok if a Republican does it /s

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:come on, NC - pull it together!

One day, but they're another state that seems to have Dems in the lead and then the Republican pulls it out at the last minute. I am worried about NV too-that's a D incumbent that is too close for comfort.

In the North Carolina voters' defense (as someone who lives in North Carolina), the last D candidate, Cal Cunningham, who was running a close Senate race against Thom Tillis was found out - just weeks before the election - to have been having an affair while he was in the military. Up until then, I believe he was favored to win. I'm pretty sure that propelled Tillis over the finish line.

Hmmm. I don’t recall voters having an issue with someone else who liked grabbing certain parts of the female anatomy.

Not sure what point you think you’re making the point you are IN FACT making, in recent elections:

-Republican voters are 100% cool w/ sexual assault
-Democratic voters are not as cool w/ sexual assault

Weird

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:come on, NC - pull it together!

One day, but they're another state that seems to have Dems in the lead and then the Republican pulls it out at the last minute. I am worried about NV too-that's a D incumbent that is too close for comfort.

In the North Carolina voters' defense (as someone who lives in North Carolina), the last D candidate, Cal Cunningham, who was running a close Senate race against Thom Tillis was found out - just weeks before the election - to have been having an affair while he was in the military. Up until then, I believe he was favored to win. I'm pretty sure that propelled Tillis over the finish line.

Hmmm. I don’t recall voters having an issue with someone else who liked grabbing certain parts of the female anatomy.

Not sure what point you think you’re making the point you are IN FACT making, in recent elections:

-Republican voters are 100% cool w/ sexual assault
-Democratic voters are not as cool w/ sexual assault

Weird

Clinton??