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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][twitter]https://twitter.com/politics_polls/status/1558938582437560322?s=21&t=2F7ycSLdT8_ADIHdaUxGUQ[/twitter][/quote]
I don’t trust the Ohio numbers and NV and GA are too close for comfort.[/quote]

I'm not sure why.  Tim Ryan has a history with Ohio and has solidly won reelection for 18 years.  In addition to his district in NE Ohio, you add the Democratic leaning cities of Cleveland, Cincinnati, Columbia and Dayton and there are a lot of Democratic and Independent voters.  Especially after the lies that Trump told and the disappointment with him completely ignoring promises like telling unemployed workers in NE Ohio not to leave the area because he was going to bring back the GM plant in Lordstown.  That never happened and the area and residents have struggled economically from Trump.  There are other stories about how he made promises to Ohio and failed to deliver.  JD Vance getting Trump's legacy of failed promises is not a winning platform in Ohio.  But Tim Ryan's 20 years of delivering for Ohio is.  I can easily see how Ohioans would prefer Tim Ryan to JD Vance.

Ohio's 17th congressional district: Results 2002–2010[46]
[code]
Year		Democrat	Votes	Pct		Republican	Votes	Pct		Other	Party	Votes	Pct
2002		Timothy J. Ryan	94,441	51%		Ann Womer Benjamin	62,188	34%		James A. Traficant, Jr.	Independent	28,045	15%
2004		Timothy J. Ryan	212,800	77%		Frank V. Cusimano	62,871	23%					
2006		Timothy J. Ryan	170,369	80%		Don Manning II	41,925	20%					
2008		Timothy J. Ryan	204,028	78%		Duane Grassell[47]	56,003	22%[48]					
2010		Timothy J. Ryan	102,758	54%		Jim Graham	57,352	30%		James A. Traficant, Jr.	Independent	30,556	16%
[/code]
Ohio's 13th congressional district: Results 2012–2020[46]
[code]Year		Democrat	Votes	Pct		Republican	Votes	Pct
2012		Timothy J. Ryan	227,076	72%		Marisha Agana	86,269	28%
2014		Timothy J. Ryan	120,230	69%		Thomas Pekarek	55,233	31%
2016		Timothy J. Ryan	208,610	68%		Richard Morckel	99,377	32%
2018		Timothy J. Ryan	149,271	61%		Chris DePizzo	96,225	39%
2020		Timothy J. Ryan	173,631	53%		Christina Hagan	148,648	45%
[/code][/quote]

I also don’t trust that Ohio polling based similar polling swinging 5-7% more republican in past elections. Also this chart is worrying. Ryan went from 72% in 2012 to 69, 68, 61, 53 in 2020! That is some drop in the last decade, and show I believe how much redder Ohio has gotten.[/quote]

Wapo said 3 days ago that they still think Vance is favored to win (which is sad, because he's a billionaire backed empty shirt).
washingtonpost.com/[b]opinions[/b]/2022/08/11/ryan-challenging-vance-ohio-senate/[/quote]
[quote]
To keep Democrats enthused, there are frequent comparisons of Ryan with Sen. Sherrod Brown, the Ohio Democrat serving his third term in the Senate. Brown has consistently bucked the state’s Republican trend, and Ryan is clearly trying to follow in Brown’s blue-collar, borderline-populist footsteps. Ryan’s a natural people person, a contrast to Vance’s more elitist persona despite his humble roots. But Brown’s success was bolstered by the good fortune of running in strong years for national Democrats — 2006, 2012 and 2018. And Brown’s last two races were against particularly uninspiring opponents, including Josh Mandel in 2012, who was the GOP front-runner this year until Trump endorsed Vance.

Ryan won’t have Brown’s luck. This election is the first midterm of a new president, which typically boosts the opposition party. High inflation should be the top issue, though the Supreme Court decision overturning Roe v. Wade and, now, the FBI’s search of Mar-a-Lago are wild cards. [/quote][/quote]

Did you note that the link you posted is from the Opinions section?  That means that it's an editorial, not a news article. [/quote]

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