Betting Markets

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Looks like odds have tilted even more to Trumps favor.

https://www.forbes.com/sites/dereksaul/2024/11/05/election-betting-odds-trump-leads-harris-as-voting-enters-final-hours/

Are they watching turnout or something else? Trying to figure out how nervous I should be... I thought things were looking good for Harris.

Peter Theil is heavily connected to Polymarket.

But they are all up,
Not just poly market

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Looks like odds have tilted even more to Trumps favor.

https://www.forbes.com/sites/dereksaul/2024/11/05/election-betting-odds-trump-leads-harris-as-voting-enters-final-hours/

Are they watching turnout or something else? Trying to figure out how nervous I should be... I thought things were looking good for Harris.

Peter Theil is heavily connected to Polymarket.

But they are all up,
Not just poly market

None of these are useful. They are limited trade. something like 20% of the Trump money on Polymarket is one french guy, who can't sell his share because it would tank the market. This is not like the US Stock market, it's limited trading.

I trust the US Stock market more, and bond trading was up today - which is more indicative of the strategies that they want in place if SHE wins. That's real money. And it wasn't drastic either.

[Anonymous]

Trump is surging on both PredictIt (62-43) and Polymarket (70-30). About an hour ago, Harris had the momentum.

[Anonymous]

The FBI today raided the apartment of the CEO of Polymarket, Shayne Coplan, and seized his electronics. I'm sure it's nothing.
https://nypost.com/2024/11/13/business/fbi-seizes-polymarket-ceos-phone-electronics-after-betting-platform-predicts-trump-win-source/?utm_campaign=nypost&utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social

[Anonymous]

I love how the headline was sculpted to generate maximum outrage and conspiracies on social media.

"FBI seizes Polymarket CEO’s phone, electronics after betting platform predicts Trump win: source"

The NY Post is such a trash paper.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Looks like odds have tilted even more to Trumps favor.

https://www.forbes.com/sites/dereksaul/2024/11/05/election-betting-odds-trump-leads-harris-as-voting-enters-final-hours/

Are they watching turnout or something else? Trying to figure out how nervous I should be... I thought things were looking good for Harris.

Peter Theil is heavily connected to Polymarket.

But they are all up,
Not just poly market

None of these are useful. They are limited trade. something like 20% of the Trump money on Polymarket is one french guy, who can't sell his share because it would tank the market. This is not like the US Stock market, it's limited trading.

I trust the US Stock market more, and bond trading was up today - which is more indicative of the strategies that they want in place if SHE wins. That's real money. And it wasn't drastic either.

I guess the FBI won't be raiding your home.

[Anonymous]

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:The FBI today raided the apartment of the CEO of Polymarket, Shayne Coplan, and seized his electronics. I'm sure it's nothing.
https://nypost.com/2024/11/13/business/fbi-seizes-polymarket-ceos-phone-electronics-after-betting-platform-predicts-trump-win-source/?utm_campaign=nypost&utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social

It's for running an illegal gambling operation for US residents. It's not for Thiel and Elon fixing the vote.

[Anonymous]

And money laundering. This guy is only in his mid 20s and has paid substantial penalties in the past for running an illegal swaps markets.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Looks like odds have tilted even more to Trumps favor.

https://www.forbes.com/sites/dereksaul/2024/11/05/election-betting-odds-trump-leads-harris-as-voting-enters-final-hours/

Are they watching turnout or something else? Trying to figure out how nervous I should be... I thought things were looking good for Harris.

Peter Theil is heavily connected to Polymarket.

But they are all up,
Not just poly market

None of these are useful. They are limited trade. something like 20% of the Trump money on Polymarket is one french guy, who can't sell his share because it would tank the market. This is not like the US Stock market, it's limited trading.

I trust the US Stock market more, and bond trading was up today - which is more indicative of the strategies that they want in place if SHE wins. That's real money. And it wasn't drastic either.

This didn’t age well!