Wuhan virus (coronavirus) arrives in the USA

Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:Doubt we will be out of the woods by summer.

https://time.com/5790880/coronavirus-warm-weather-summer/


Good article. Thanks for posting.
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:This guy (a PhD from Duke) has a daily 30 min video every day on youtube that will answer many of your questions


[youtube] https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CNQB-Q67DpE[/youtube]


Dude is an economics blogger, not an epidemiologist.



Don't need to be an epidemiologist to collect reports from the ground around the world and compile it into a 30 min video. Think he's a lot more informative than we hear via MSM.
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:Doubt we will be out of the woods by summer.

https://time.com/5790880/coronavirus-warm-weather-summer/


Thar
That is some seriously pseudoscience BS.

Here is areal science for you.MANY RESEARCH PAPERS WRITTEN ON THE TOPIC.


Here.. one of THE MANY papers written on the topic of survival of different coronaviruses outside the host, what strongly affects spreading, hence, epidemic as a whole.

Environmental survival and microbicide inactivation of coronaviruses

The effect of relative humidity (RH) and air temperature has been studied on the airborne survival of experimentally aerosolized human coronavirus 229E [22]. As is true for enveloped viruses in general, 229E survived better at 30-50% RH than at 80% RH when the air temperature was about 20°C. Under these conditions, the half-lives of the virus at 30%, 50% and 80% RH were 27, 67 and 3 hours, respectively. Lowering the air temperature to 6°C increased the half-lives of the virus at 30% and 50% RH to 34 and 103 hours, respectively. But the lower air temperature produced the most dra- matic effect on virus survival at 80% RH and changed its half-life from 3 to over 86 hours.


And that is science in the purest of the forms.


http://eknygos.lsmuni.lt/springer/106/201-212.pdf
Anonymous
Not a scientist, but my understanding of the weather factor is this:
Many viruses cannot survive on hard surfaces for as long when the temperature is higher. Weeks ago I saw some inital research on covid19 indicating that it would live longer on a hard surface in cold temps versus warm temps. But the ambient temp doesnt make much difference for person to person transmission. So warmer weather should help a bit, depending on how big a factor transmission from things like door handles, touch screens, etc. is.
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:Not a scientist, but my understanding of the weather factor is this:
Many viruses cannot survive on hard surfaces for as long when the temperature is higher. Weeks ago I saw some inital research on covid19 indicating that it would live longer on a hard surface in cold temps versus warm temps. But the ambient temp doesnt make much difference for person to person transmission. So warmer weather should help a bit, depending on how big a factor transmission from things like door handles, touch screens, etc. is.


Sounds about right. It’s about time. Buying time for humankind.
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:Doubt we will be out of the woods by summer.

https://time.com/5790880/coronavirus-warm-weather-summer/


Good article. Thanks for posting.


Useless article.
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:China reports its lowest new case number since January 22.

125 new cases, 31 deaths

Almost all are in Hubei province. This is excellent news.


IF that is fantastic. We need to bring in their experts. We’re lost.
Anonymous
Does anyone know if disinfectants like Lysol and Bleach kill the coronavirus?
Anonymous
ER MD calls our CDC at the 0:55 min mark...

Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:Does anyone know if disinfectants like Lysol and Bleach kill the coronavirus?


There are suggestions, but no definite answers yet.
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:Not a scientist, but my understanding of the weather factor is this:
Many viruses cannot survive on hard surfaces for as long when the temperature is higher. Weeks ago I saw some inital research on covid19 indicating that it would live longer on a hard surface in cold temps versus warm temps. But the ambient temp doesnt make much difference for person to person transmission. So warmer weather should help a bit, depending on how big a factor transmission from things like door handles, touch screens, etc. is.


Sounds about right. It’s about time. Buying time for humankind.


Isn’t that only for the northern hemisphere though? And with our interconnectedness, won’t people from South America, etc, be flying to the US and spreading it around?
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:China reports its lowest new case number since January 22.

125 new cases, 31 deaths

Almost all are in Hubei province. This is excellent news.


IF that is fantastic. We need to bring in their experts. We’re lost.


Clarification: terrible about the deaths. Good on the lower numbers.
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:Not a scientist, but my understanding of the weather factor is this:
Many viruses cannot survive on hard surfaces for as long when the temperature is higher. Weeks ago I saw some inital research on covid19 indicating that it would live longer on a hard surface in cold temps versus warm temps. But the ambient temp doesnt make much difference for person to person transmission. So warmer weather should help a bit, depending on how big a factor transmission from things like door handles, touch screens, etc. is.


Sounds about right. It’s about time. Buying time for humankind.


The coronavirus MERS is not seasonal and swept Saudi Arabia. The fact is we don't know if novel coronavirus will exhibit seasonal behavior or not because, well, it's novel.

We can, of course, hope.
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:Isn't the actual mortality rate potentially much lower than the 2-3% discussed in the media? The death rate being reported is based on the number of diagnosed cases, but presumably there are probably thousands of additional undiagnosed cases where people had no or mild enough symptoms that they never were officially diagnosed.


No, it's higher. You have to compare recovered vs deaths. Currently that's 6%. China tested WAY more than any other country is. I also read that asymptomatic people later did get it too.


Can't really be known in the middle of the epidemic, when the #s are fluid. China's is more mature, so maybe closer to a real number, but so many factors will play into each country's outcomes.
Anonymous
First cases in Massachusetts and Georgia, both related to travel to Italy.

MA has one case; in GA it's a couple who toured Milan.
Forum Index » Health and Medicine
Go to: