Wuhan virus (coronavirus) arrives in the USA

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:For every 100 people reading this, 15 will be in the hospital and 2 will be dead in six months.

You are assuming a 100 percent infection rate.

Consider that the Diamond Princess, a very closed and relatively cramped environment, had a less than 20% infection rate. It will be far less than that in more spacious and open environments.

The diamond princess has only been infected a month. The people reading this thread will run into infected people for months or even a year or two until an effective vaccine is developed.

[Anonymous]

There seems to be an outbreak in a long term care facility in Washington State. It may be time for large scale closures, home isolation, and travel restrictions that area!

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:For every 100 people reading this, 15 will be in the hospital and 2 will be dead in six months.

You are assuming a 100 percent infection rate.

Consider that the Diamond Princess, a very closed and relatively cramped environment, had a less than 20% infection rate. It will be far less than that in more spacious and open environments.

The diamond princess has only been infected a month. The people reading this thread will run into infected people for months or even a year or two until an effective vaccine is developed.

But that does not mean 100 percent of all people will become infected. For various reasons, many people will not even if they are exposed to people with the disease. The highest infection rate I've seen is 30 percent.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:For every 100 people reading this, 15 will be in the hospital and 2 will be dead in six months.

You are assuming a 100 percent infection rate.

Consider that the Diamond Princess, a very closed and relatively cramped environment, had a less than 20% infection rate. It will be far less than that in more spacious and open environments.

The diamond princess has only been infected a month. The people reading this thread will run into infected people for months or even a year or two until an effective vaccine is developed.

But that does not mean 100 percent of all people will become infected. For various reasons, many people will not even if they are exposed to people with the disease. The highest infection rate I've seen is 30 percent.

Np. You aren’t understanding. This is going to be around yearly now like the cold and flu viruses are.

I would think that 100% of adults have had the flu. After a year or two everyone will have had corona

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:For every 100 people reading this, 15 will be in the hospital and 2 will be dead in six months.

You are assuming a 100 percent infection rate.

Consider that the Diamond Princess, a very closed and relatively cramped environment, had a less than 20% infection rate. It will be far less than that in more spacious and open environments.

The diamond princess has only been infected a month. The people reading this thread will run into infected people for months or even a year or two until an effective vaccine is developed.

But that does not mean 100 percent of all people will become infected. For various reasons, many people will not even if they are exposed to people with the disease. The highest infection rate I've seen is 30 percent.

Your 30% is wrong. They were saying 60% now they’re saying “30% of the world population in the next 12 months”. You are ignoring the one year thing. I believe they lowered it to 30% to stop the panic the same way they won’t call it a pandemic (among other things).

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:For every 100 people reading this, 15 will be in the hospital and 2 will be dead in six months.

You are assuming a 100 percent infection rate.

Consider that the Diamond Princess, a very closed and relatively cramped environment, had a less than 20% infection rate. It will be far less than that in more spacious and open environments.

The diamond princess has only been infected a month. The people reading this thread will run into infected people for months or even a year or two until an effective vaccine is developed.

But that does not mean 100 percent of all people will become infected. For various reasons, many people will not even if they are exposed to people with the disease. The highest infection rate I've seen is 30 percent.

Your 30% is wrong. They were saying 60% now they’re saying “30% of the world population in the next 12 months”. You are ignoring the one year thing. I believe they lowered it to 30% to stop the panic the same way they won’t call it a pandemic (among other things).

And it’s possible that you can get it twice.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:For every 100 people reading this, 15 will be in the hospital and 2 will be dead in six months.

You are assuming a 100 percent infection rate.

Consider that the Diamond Princess, a very closed and relatively cramped environment, had a less than 20% infection rate. It will be far less than that in more spacious and open environments.

The diamond princess has only been infected a month. The people reading this thread will run into infected people for months or even a year or two until an effective vaccine is developed.

But that does not mean 100 percent of all people will become infected. For various reasons, many people will not even if they are exposed to people with the disease. The highest infection rate I've seen is 30 percent.

Your 30% is wrong. They were saying 60% now they’re saying “30% of the world population in the next 12 months”. You are ignoring the one year thing. I believe they lowered it to 30% to stop the panic the same way they won’t call it a pandemic (among other things).

I haven't seen infection rate for COVID-19 discussed much.

Dr. John Campbell, who does a daily youtube broadcast on COVID-19, mentioned a 30% infection rate on his broadcast for either yesterday or today. He is a dispassionate analyst of the data who does not mince harsh facts. In the absence of better information, I go his view.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:For every 100 people reading this, 15 will be in the hospital and 2 will be dead in six months.

You are assuming a 100 percent infection rate.

Consider that the Diamond Princess, a very closed and relatively cramped environment, had a less than 20% infection rate. It will be far less than that in more spacious and open environments.

The diamond princess has only been infected a month. The people reading this thread will run into infected people for months or even a year or two until an effective vaccine is developed.

But that does not mean 100 percent of all people will become infected. For various reasons, many people will not even if they are exposed to people with the disease. The highest infection rate I've seen is 30 percent.

Your 30% is wrong. They were saying 60% now they’re saying “30% of the world population in the next 12 months”. You are ignoring the one year thing. I believe they lowered it to 30% to stop the panic the same way they won’t call it a pandemic (among other things).

And it’s possible that you can get it twice.

There was the report from Japan, but Dr. Fauci seemed to rebut it today and I've seen skepticism from other sources.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:For every 100 people reading this, 15 will be in the hospital and 2 will be dead in six months.

You are assuming a 100 percent infection rate.

Consider that the Diamond Princess, a very closed and relatively cramped environment, had a less than 20% infection rate. It will be far less than that in more spacious and open environments.

The diamond princess has only been infected a month. The people reading this thread will run into infected people for months or even a year or two until an effective vaccine is developed.

But that does not mean 100 percent of all people will become infected. For various reasons, many people will not even if they are exposed to people with the disease. The highest infection rate I've seen is 30 percent.

Np. You aren’t understanding. This is going to be around yearly now like the cold and flu viruses are.

We don’t know this; we don’t know anything yet. You are stating things as if they are proven facts but this is a novel virus and so much is yet to be determined.

I would think that 100% of adults have had the flu. After a year or two everyone will have had corona

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:For every 100 people reading this, 15 will be in the hospital and 2 will be dead in six months.

Interesting. What other talents do you have besides pulling random stats out of your ass?

Yeah this is where it came from.

The op assumes that everyone will get this while in china it was like what 0.0000000000000007% of population.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:For every 100 people reading this, 15 will be in the hospital and 2 will be dead in six months.

You are assuming a 100 percent infection rate.

Consider that the Diamond Princess, a very closed and relatively cramped environment, had a less than 20% infection rate. It will be far less than that in more spacious and open environments.

The diamond princess has only been infected a month. The people reading this thread will run into infected people for months or even a year or two until an effective vaccine is developed.

But that does not mean 100 percent of all people will become infected. For various reasons, many people will not even if they are exposed to people with the disease. The highest infection rate I've seen is 30 percent.

Your 30% is wrong. They were saying 60% now they’re saying “30% of the world population in the next 12 months”. You are ignoring the one year thing. I believe they lowered it to 30% to stop the panic the same way they won’t call it a pandemic (among other things).

And it’s possible that you can get it twice.

There was the report from Japan, but Dr. Fauci seemed to rebut it today and I've seen skepticism from other sources.

Yeah ONE case in......88 000...... right. Very reliable. They must fudge up the test, first or second.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:For every 100 people reading this, 15 will be in the hospital and 2 will be dead in six months.

You are assuming a 100 percent infection rate.

Consider that the Diamond Princess, a very closed and relatively cramped environment, had a less than 20% infection rate. It will be far less than that in more spacious and open environments.

The diamond princess has only been infected a month. The people reading this thread will run into infected people for months or even a year or two until an effective vaccine is developed.

But that does not mean 100 percent of all people will become infected. For various reasons, many people will not even if they are exposed to people with the disease. The highest infection rate I've seen is 30 percent.

Your 30% is wrong. They were saying 60% now they’re saying “30% of the world population in the next 12 months”. You are ignoring the one year thing. I believe they lowered it to 30% to stop the panic the same way they won’t call it a pandemic (among other things).

I haven't seen infection rate for COVID-19 discussed much.

Dr. John Campbell, who does a daily youtube broadcast on COVID-19, mentioned a 30% infection rate on his broadcast for either yesterday or today. He is a dispassionate analyst of the data who does not mince harsh facts. In the absence of better information, I go his view.

Dude, don't let adults do tour math for you. Go fetch the calculator from your back pack and put this..
China...population... 1.39 billion.. 70 000 cases.. check how many percent of the population is/ was infected.
If you got 40%...
I give you F in math.

Now do this...
World population... 7billion..... total cases up to today 86 000 cases..
Now calculate percentage...



Btw..42 326 recovered cases!,,,
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:For every 100 people reading this, 15 will be in the hospital and 2 will be dead in six months.

You are assuming a 100 percent infection rate.

Consider that the Diamond Princess, a very closed and relatively cramped environment, had a less than 20% infection rate. It will be far less than that in more spacious and open environments.

The diamond princess has only been infected a month. The people reading this thread will run into infected people for months or even a year or two until an effective vaccine is developed.

. That boat was a stew pot.

[Anonymous]

Australia reports its first death, former Diamond Princess passenger.

This brings the ship's total to 705 cases and 7 deaths, yielding a case fatality rate, so far, of 1%.

[Anonymous]

Hospital sources in Iran tell BBC that the number of deaths in that country is at least 6 times what has been reported.

The story appeared yesterday when deaths stood at 34, while sources gave it as 210.

Iran's numbers for today stand at 593 cases and 43 deaths. The death number is the highest outside China, but it would be more like 250 if one extrapolates for today based on what the hospital sources have reported.

If we assume a 5% death rate given how swamped the health system is and the shortage of supplies, that would indicate something like 5,000 cases. The number would be 10,000 with a 2.5% death rate and 25,000 with a 1% death rate.

All of these are within ranges estimated by various experts analyzing flight patterns between Iran and countries it has exported cases to. Some estimates range into the tens of thousands of cases.

https://www.bbc.com/news/world-middle-east-51673053