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Independent Dan Osborne has taken his first polling lead ahead of GOP incumbent Deb Fisher. Dems are smartly not running a candidate.
https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/independent-overtakes-republican-senator-in-red-state-new-poll/ar-AA1rbL4M?ocid=emmx-mmx-feeds |
Yes! |
| Let’s see the poll on Election Day when Fischer wins reelection by a big margin. |
| They are desperate because they know they are losing in Montana and probably Ohio. Florida and Texas will reject the far-left liberal candidates as well. |
Neither candidate is far left - and while neither is LIKELY to win, neither is clearly not going to win. Ds picked smart candidates for both those races. Brown is polling pretty well in Ohio. I wouldn't want my life to depend on him winning but I also wouldn't bet against him. Yeah, Montana isn't looking great! It's not impossible, though. |
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Brown is going to win.
If tester wins, it will be by less than 1% Rick Scott and Ted Cruz are wildly unpopular and there is an outside chance they could both get caught in a blue wave. |
We would all be better off if Cruz doesn’t get reelected. |
Yeah. Florida is not likely. But the trajectory of the polls is not good for the GOP this year. And Helene will bring home the message that Florida’s MAGA heaven governance doesn’t have any meat on the bones. Who cares what books are in the library when your state’s infrastructure just got washed away. |
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I wonder about Texas. Nobody likes Ted Cruz as a person, and Colin Allred is a likeable NFL linebacker.
https://www.newsweek.com/texas-senate-election-ted-cruz-colin-allred-1957284 |
https://www.axios.com/2024/09/24/senate-republicans-mcconnell-nrsc-montana-ohio Tester will lose. Trump will beat Harris by at least 15% in Montana. It will be impossible for Tester to find enough ticket splitters to prevail. He’s been a reliable Democrat vote, not Joe Manchin during his time in the Senate. Trump is up by around 10% in the polls in Ohio. Moreno was down in the race against Brown, because he had low name recognition. He has begun his ad blitz and is pulling close to even in the polls. Brown is an incumbent who can’t crack 50% in the polls. The last time Brown was on the ballot in a Presidential election year, he got the same percentage of the vote as Obama (2012). He will also not be able to find enough ticket splitters to win if Trump wins Ohio by a big margin. |
Oooh damn they really don’t like her breaking her only two terms pledge |