Red Wave coming in Maryland!

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Why would ANYONE vote for Hogan?

Republicans won’t vote for a republican who acts like a democrat. Democrats won’t vote for a republican who acts like a democrat when there’s an actual democrat to vote for instead. Who is Hogan’s constituency? He doesn’t have one.

How was he governor for two terms?

2 Democratic opponents who weren't good candidates, and a Democratic supermajority in the General Assembly.

[Anonymous]

Larry Hogan just referred to abortion as an “emotional issue” for women 🤢
Stick a fork in his campaign.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Why would ANYONE vote for Hogan?

Republicans won’t vote for a republican who acts like a democrat. Democrats won’t vote for a republican who acts like a democrat when there’s an actual democrat to vote for instead. Who is Hogan’s constituency? He doesn’t have one.

How was he governor for two terms?

2 Democratic opponents who weren't good candidates, and a Democratic supermajority in the General Assembly.

+1 2014 was a genuine red wave year (that 2024 will not be) and Brown wasn’t a great opponent. Then he was an incumbent who had done a decent job and Jealous was a much worse opponent.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Why would ANYONE vote for Hogan?

Republicans won’t vote for a republican who acts like a democrat. Democrats won’t vote for a republican who acts like a democrat when there’s an actual democrat to vote for instead. Who is Hogan’s constituency? He doesn’t have one.

How was he governor for two terms?

2 Democratic opponents who weren't good candidates, and a Democratic supermajority in the General Assembly.

+1 2014 was a genuine red wave year (that 2024 will not be) and Brown wasn’t a great opponent. Then he was an incumbent who had done a decent job and Jealous was a much worse opponent.

+ this was the best analysis in this entire thread.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Larry Hogan just referred to abortion as an “emotional issue” for women 🤢
Stick a fork in his campaign.

Wut? Oh well, so much for Hogan.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Larry Hogan just referred to abortion as an “emotional issue” for women 🤢
Stick a fork in his campaign.

Wow. Republicans really all do suck.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Larry Hogan just referred to abortion as an “emotional issue” for women 🤢
Stick a fork in his campaign.

What was the context? Did he mean "issue" like "topic"?

As in, "abortion can be an emotional topic, especially for women who have faced an unwanted pregnancy"

That doesnt sound so bad?

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Larry Hogan just referred to abortion as an “emotional issue” for women 🤢
Stick a fork in his campaign.

What was the context? Did he mean "issue" like "topic"?

As in, "abortion can be an emotional topic, especially for women who have faced an unwanted pregnancy"

That doesnt sound so bad?

It doesn't sound so bad, if you don't live in a society where, for hundreds of years, women have been discounted as being "too emotional" for voting, holding elective office, pursuing careers, and generally being adults who get to make their own decisions for themselves.

[Anonymous]

Maryland is on pace to have its own red wave, in relative terms.

Hogan tied with Alsobrooks currently, if you look at the poll with fewer undecided voters, and among all polls Alsobrooks has a ceiling of 46%. I think Hogan wins this one.

But if you look at the poll where Alsobrooks is ahead, it shows Harris winning by a lot less that many people would expect, with 10% of voters up for grabs. This poll has Harris up by only 21 points… which is a significant drop from Biden winning by 33 points in 2020. She also runs behind Biden did earlier this year, as Maryland was the one state that actually liked Biden enough for his approval to remain above water. It actually looks like Maryland preferred Biden over Harris. Anyways I don’t remember the last time the Dem candidate won MD by less than 20 points.

And now you have a poll that shows the 6th can be flipped! It’s a TINY poll, but it shows Parrott AHEAD of Delaney. And A. Delaney is loaded with her husband’s money, and she’s a pro-business moderate, so it really does generally look like voters prefer the Republican candidate.
https://marylandmatters.org/2024/09/05/poll-parrott-delaney-locked-in-tight-contest-for-congressional-seat/

Add to this, the Montgomery County Executive term limits ballot question is most certainly going to pass. This will make Elrich the lamest lame duck in existence. He may as well retire to Cuba and let Madaleno run things through the end. This will set up, if not Blair, someone like Andrew Friedson to run and win in 2026 which is the furthest right we can expect in the county.

It’s all in relative terms, but Maryland is making a lurch to the center-right this year.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Larry Hogan just referred to abortion as an “emotional issue” for women 🤢
Stick a fork in his campaign.

Wow. Republicans really all do suck.

Your comment proves his point.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Maryland is on pace to have its own red wave, in relative terms.

Hogan tied with Alsobrooks currently, if you look at the poll with fewer undecided voters, and among all polls Alsobrooks has a ceiling of 46%. I think Hogan wins this one.

But if you look at the poll where Alsobrooks is ahead, it shows Harris winning by a lot less that many people would expect, with 10% of voters up for grabs. This poll has Harris up by only 21 points… which is a significant drop from Biden winning by 33 points in 2020. She also runs behind Biden did earlier this year, as Maryland was the one state that actually liked Biden enough for his approval to remain above water. It actually looks like Maryland preferred Biden over Harris. Anyways I don’t remember the last time the Dem candidate won MD by less than 20 points.

And now you have a poll that shows the 6th can be flipped! It’s a TINY poll, but it shows Parrott AHEAD of Delaney. And A. Delaney is loaded with her husband’s money, and she’s a pro-business moderate, so it really does generally look like voters prefer the Republican candidate.
https://marylandmatters.org/2024/09/05/poll-parrott-delaney-locked-in-tight-contest-for-congressional-seat/

Add to this, the Montgomery County Executive term limits ballot question is most certainly going to pass. This will make Elrich the lamest lame duck in existence. He may as well retire to Cuba and let Madaleno run things through the end. This will set up, if not Blair, someone like Andrew Friedson to run and win in 2026 which is the furthest right we can expect in the county.

It’s all in relative terms, but Maryland is making a lurch to the center-right this year.

Friedson is the main driver of this YIMBY missing middle nonsense. I think that, overall, he’s ok, but that might kill his chances in 2026.

[Anonymous]

Sure, OP.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Maryland is on pace to have its own red wave, in relative terms.

Hogan tied with Alsobrooks currently, if you look at the poll with fewer undecided voters, and among all polls Alsobrooks has a ceiling of 46%. I think Hogan wins this one.

But if you look at the poll where Alsobrooks is ahead, it shows Harris winning by a lot less that many people would expect, with 10% of voters up for grabs. This poll has Harris up by only 21 points… which is a significant drop from Biden winning by 33 points in 2020. She also runs behind Biden did earlier this year, as Maryland was the one state that actually liked Biden enough for his approval to remain above water. It actually looks like Maryland preferred Biden over Harris. Anyways I don’t remember the last time the Dem candidate won MD by less than 20 points.

And now you have a poll that shows the 6th can be flipped! It’s a TINY poll, but it shows Parrott AHEAD of Delaney. And A. Delaney is loaded with her husband’s money, and she’s a pro-business moderate, so it really does generally look like voters prefer the Republican candidate.
https://marylandmatters.org/2024/09/05/poll-parrott-delaney-locked-in-tight-contest-for-congressional-seat/

Add to this, the Montgomery County Executive term limits ballot question is most certainly going to pass. This will make Elrich the lamest lame duck in existence. He may as well retire to Cuba and let Madaleno run things through the end. This will set up, if not Blair, someone like Andrew Friedson to run and win in 2026 which is the furthest right we can expect in the county.

It’s all in relative terms, but Maryland is making a lurch to the center-right this year.

Friedson is the main driver of this YIMBY missing middle nonsense. I think that, overall, he’s ok, but that might kill his chances in 2026.

No doubt he is shaking in his shoes.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Larry Hogan just referred to abortion as an “emotional issue” for women 🤢
Stick a fork in his campaign.

Wut? Oh well, so much for Hogan.

I wouldn't count him out. lots of voters who only care about what they think someone will do to their taxes.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Larry Hogan just referred to abortion as an “emotional issue” for women 🤢
Stick a fork in his campaign.

Wut? Oh well, so much for Hogan.

I wouldn't count him out. lots of voters who only care about what they think someone will do to their taxes.

When are you posting from? In 2024, when I'm posting from, he's running for US Senate, not Maryland governor. As 1 of 100 senators, he wouldn't do anything.