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Just to close this entertaining colloquy off--at least on my end--I will take that you think the 3rd ranked team in IAAM could use Coppermine's top 2 (or maybe 3) on their future rosters as at least one point of agreement. That said, if you are looking for more lacrosse "skill" at the 7th grade level than what Coppermine is showing--a team that didn't drop the ball (like at all) in an 11-5 blitzing of one of the top 4 teams in the region in MD United during a driving rain yesterday--than I'm not sure you are being realistic. Before someone else says it--back to DMV focus... What is the early line on Stars v Pride matchup this weekend? |
You are obviously a Coppermine parent, as you watched their game in great detail, in the rain...at Moose Lodge, and have come here to sing their praises. Which is fine, congratulations to your daughter on a great season. But that being the case, excuse me if I take what you have to say with a hefty grain of salt. Anytime I've seen Coppermine play, which is a decent number of times, they've been just as mistake prone as any other top team, but they have the speed and aggression to recover. If they didn't drop the ball, their two top girls probably weren't passing it much -- which tracks. Anyway, there's one thing we can agree on - let's get back to the DMV. |
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The pride/stars game is one that is hard to predict. Even though the scores against common opponents make it look like pride 'should' win. I don't think they will be able to stop stars from scoring. So, unless pride controls all of the draws, whoever has the ball last may be the winner. |
How did you come up with a Stars 1 goal win prediction here? I get that rivalry games often mean you toss out some of the prior stats, but if you look at common opponents (and for the sake of argument make Heroes Green and Coppermine equivalent) in NGLL, Stars is -11 Goal Differential and Pride is +21. And that is with throwing out Stars worst game against MDU and Pride's 10 goal win over HoCo. Is there some matchup analysis, a group of new players, or some other factor behind your assessment? |
Next Level, Heroes White, and FCA held Stars under 10 goals. |
Thanks for the analysis bitter Hero’s Dad |
Any time Coppermine Dad. See you in the playoffs. |
Pride had 2 big goal scoring games (+10 vs hoco and +15 vs NL when they were on spring break). They each beat skywalkers by 2, and While pride scored more against FCA, Stars held them to 1 less goal. Pride does better against the top teams than stars does, but they do similarly against average teams. So they will play each other close. |
Pride also beat Hero's White 15-4 yesterday and Stars beat them 9-8 first game of the season. |
Already threw out the HoCo score, and Stars beat SW by 1, not 2. You have to completely ignore the Heroes White and NL games to get to your analysis... That seems flawed. |
Yes, that is what I am saying. If you exclude 5 of the 7 regular season games and focus only on the games with FCA and Skywalkers but ignore the margin of victory in each of the games, then Stars and Pride should play each other close and therefore I think Stars will win by one goal. |
| Makes sense…. |
| This is pretty funny. |
I can’t imagine these dads when their daughters are in high school. 1/2 the kids on my DS’s HoCo elite middle school team played JV in high school and won’t play D1. NGLL 2028 is not that deep. Relax, your heart health is far more important. |