Violent crime in DC lowest in 30 years - watch it soar under Trump

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:These statistics are dubious due to underreporting of violent crime and a completely incompetent prosecutors office. IMO, the only reliable indicator of violent crime is the murder rate. Being murdered is a more objective indicator of crime that is less subject to manipulation and underreporting.

What is your data to suggest a sudden increase in underreporting of VIOLENT crime other than your opinion?

I called the police after getting held up at gunpoint and they never showed. Eventually it seemed unsafe to stay in the area as a sitting duck. Can’t imagine that’s a unique experience.

[Anonymous]

I cannot stand Donald Trump but I seriously doubt his presidency alone can cause violent crime to go up. It's much more complicated than that. Inflation, on the other hand? Oh yeah if he gets his way, it's getting worse.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:These statistics are dubious due to underreporting of violent crime and a completely incompetent prosecutors office. IMO, the only reliable indicator of violent crime is the murder rate. Being murdered is a more objective indicator of crime that is less subject to manipulation and underreporting.

What is your data to suggest a sudden increase in underreporting of VIOLENT crime other than your opinion?

I called the police after getting held up at gunpoint and they never showed. Eventually it seemed unsafe to stay in the area as a sitting duck. Can’t imagine that’s a unique experience.

I had my home burglarized once and they didn’t even want to file a report. They said that there was no point because these things happen all the time and they would not be able to find the person. I had to demand that they did so I could make an insurance claim.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:It's kind of dumb to lump all of DC together. It would be akin to saying that North Arlington is unsafe because of murders in Alexandria. The stats show that upper NW is as safe as the safest suburbs in this area.

North Arlington and Alexandria are different jurisdictions. DC is one jurisdiction.

[/b]You are correct about the relative safety of NWDC. NWDC is also much whiter than surrounding suburbs.[b]

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Criminologist here:

Homicide is a good indicator of violent crime because there is always a body. Other violent crimes go underreported.

They go underreported even more when police legitimacy is down.

Homicide is becoming less of a good indicator, though, because people are being saved in ERs more often. Triage medicine has advanced significantly, particularly because of physicians and other medical staff have been gaining experience in wars that have plagued most of this century. Shot spotter technology helps get first responders to the scene more quickly as well, increasing survival odds.

Federal changes in policy don't have a ton of impact on local crime and safety. What I do see increasing, however, is vigilante "justice" to some, terrorism to others, like the killing of the United HealthCare CEO. Killing judges. Killing other people in positions of power. I do hope I'm wrong. But as government legitimacy continues to decline, that's what we will likely see.

Stop making so much sense! OP has a narrative to spin.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:OP - I don't think crime statistics really matter to most posters here. They hate cities, including the District, and will argue to the end that urban areas are miserable and dangerous.

No one is arguing that they hate cities. New York City’s homicide rate is 8x lower than DC’s. Boston is probably going to close this year with less than 30 murders and has 650,000 people.

https://www.masslive.com/news/2024/09/bostons-homicide-rate-is-sharply-down-its-not-just-luck.html?outputType=amp

As of Sept. 27, Boston had seen 15 homicides. By the same time in 2023, the number was 30. In 2022, it was 26. In 2021, it was 32, according to data provided by the Boston Police Department.

The capital of the country should be at least as safe as Philadelphia (it’s not) and should aim to be as safe as NYC and Boston. Until then, you shouldn’t be satisfied.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:OP - I don't think crime statistics really matter to most posters here. They hate cities, including the District, and will argue to the end that urban areas are miserable and dangerous.

No one is arguing that they hate cities. New York City’s homicide rate is 8x lower than DC’s. Boston is probably going to close this year with less than 30 murders and has 650,000 people.

https://www.masslive.com/news/2024/09/bostons-homicide-rate-is-sharply-down-its-not-just-luck.html?outputType=amp

As of Sept. 27, Boston had seen 15 homicides. By the same time in 2023, the number was 30. In 2022, it was 26. In 2021, it was 32, according to data provided by the Boston Police Department.

The capital of the country should be at least as safe as Philadelphia (it’s not) and should aim to be as safe as NYC and Boston. Until then, you shouldn’t be satisfied.

NYC's homicide rate might be lower than DC, but assaults are at their highest level since at least 2006 and crimes like robbery and auto theft remain significantly elevated over their levels before the pandemic. The reasons: fewer cops and awful public policy decisions, just like in DC.

https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2024/12/new-york-city-has-lost-control-crime/681149/

[Anonymous]

Lying is easy with statistics.

The most simple way to juke the stats is not fill out official paperwork

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:OP - I don't think crime statistics really matter to most posters here. They hate cities, including the District, and will argue to the end that urban areas are miserable and dangerous.

No one is arguing that they hate cities. New York City’s homicide rate is 8x lower than DC’s. Boston is probably going to close this year with less than 30 murders and has 650,000 people.

https://www.masslive.com/news/2024/09/bostons-homicide-rate-is-sharply-down-its-not-just-luck.html?outputType=amp

As of Sept. 27, Boston had seen 15 homicides. By the same time in 2023, the number was 30. In 2022, it was 26. In 2021, it was 32, according to data provided by the Boston Police Department.

The capital of the country should be at least as safe as Philadelphia (it’s not) and should aim to be as safe as NYC and Boston. Until then, you shouldn’t be satisfied.

NYC's homicide rate might be lower than DC, but assaults are at their highest level since at least 2006 and crimes like robbery and auto theft remain significantly elevated over their levels before the pandemic. The reasons: fewer cops and awful public policy decisions, just like in DC.

https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2024/12/new-york-city-has-lost-control-crime/681149/

We cannot even compare NYC assaults to DC assaults because DC doesn’t even report assaults as violent crime. Talk about juking stats.

[Anonymous]

Only someone stupid enough to actually believe that crime is at its lowest in 30 years (when there were more murders in 2024 than any year from 2005-2020), would also believe that a new administration could cause crime to soar? Double digit IQ we’re dealing with.

[Anonymous]

There's been 484 car jackings so far this year in DC. 343 of them with a firearm. I feel its still unsafe to go to DC especially since my friend was shot and killed from kids in a cross fire. All our friends avoid DC. Seems like no improvement or control. We stop going to the hockey and baseball games years ago.

[Anonymous]

Year to date in DC car jackings. 484.

https://mpdc.dc.gov/page/carjacking

[Anonymous]

Those are the reported ones. There's probably more unreported. Just like the rapes. Lots go unreported.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:There's been 484 car jackings so far this year in DC. 343 of them with a firearm. I feel it’s still unsafe to go to DC especially since my friend was shot and killed from kids in a cross fire. All our friends avoid DC. Seems like no improvement or control. We stop going to the hockey and baseball games years ago.

As long as there are idiots like OP that credulously believe anything the USAO’s office puts out, they can get away with doing an abysmal job that leads to nearly 500 annual carjackings.

[Anonymous]

DC Police officer here.

The bosses are manipulating the stats.

Any questions?