Violent crime in DC lowest in 30 years - watch it soar under Trump

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:These statistics are dubious due to underreporting of violent crime and a completely incompetent prosecutors office. IMO, the only reliable indicator of violent crime is the murder rate. Being murdered is a more objective indicator of crime that is less subject to manipulation and underreporting.

IMO is a very different qualifier to “everyone knows”

I doubt many women would agree with you that rape doesn’t count.

What is the evidence that crime is anymore u deported in DC than elsewhere?

[Anonymous]

^^^
The Metropolitan Police Department recorded about 27,000 criminal offenses in 2022. Given the population, the Washington DC crime rate is approximately 40.3 crimes per 1,000 residents. By comparison, the national average is about 23 per 1,000.Jul 15, 2024

Everything is relative. Violent crime is still higher in DC than most other US cities but relative to itself violent crime has gone down.

In fact violent crime has been down throughout the US since 2020
https://www.factcheck.org/2024/10/crime-stats-still-show-a-decline-since-2020/


Watch it soar (especially hate crimes against immigrants and people of color) under Trump as it did by the end of his first term.

https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3102652

[Anonymous]

Hi Bowser. You are a moron who has created a crime ridden hell.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:^^^

Homicide rates are not the only stats used for determining violent crime rates.

The FBI's Uniform Crime Reports (UCR) are used to calculate violent crime rates in the District of Columbia:
Violent crime: Includes murder, rape and sexual assault, robbery, and assault
Crime rate: Calculated as the number of crimes per 100,000 people

The Metropolitan Police Department (MPD) uses the DC Code Offense definitions to calculate violent crime rates in Washington, D.C. The MPD's crime data is available through a variety of sources, including:

DC Crime Cards
An online mapping application that provides up-to-date information on violent crime, including homicides, arrests, and firearm recoveries; and

Open Data DC catalog
Provides other crime data, including robbery and carjacking trends, marijuana arrests, and more

Crime rates are calculated by dividing the number of crimes by the population and multiplying by 100,000. The FBI's Uniform Crime Reports (UCR) are the most common data source for crime statistics, listing the number of crimes reported to the police and the number of arrests made.

Other data sources for measuring crime include: victimization survey data and self-reported data

Everyone knows that homicide is the only police stat that is trustworthy. David Simon even did a whole season of The Wire about it.

DC already jukes the stats on “violent crime” in quite obvious ways, for example, only reporting stats for ADW but not for simple and aggravated assault, which is data they are presumably providing to the FBI.

Nono don’t think everyone knows that. Please cite your source.

Everyone I know considers rape, car jacking and armed robberies to represent violent crime: the only thing u replicable about rape stats is that they are heavily under reported .

It is great that you think carjacking is serious. Show me where in the reported violent crime stats this “lowest in 30 years” story is based on do they report carjacking?
https://mpdc.dc.gov/dailycrime

[Anonymous]

Crime is obviously down from the 2021-2023 bloodbath.

But by gilding the Lilly and saying it's the lowest in 30 years even as the murder rate is significantly higher than a decade ago (seriously no one believes this) is akin to Ballou High School's graduation scandal and the lofty claims just making everything worse.

[Anonymous]

Fixed it reported crime is the lowest in 30 years and AUSA has prosecuted the lowest number of cases. If not for January 6th folks would probably be single digits.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Fixed it reported crime is the lowest in 30 years and AUSA has prosecuted the lowest number of cases. If not for January 6th folks would probably be single digits.

Is that the actual explanation?

There were more murders in 2024 than any year from 2005-2020, so the claim is clearly horsesht.

[Anonymous]

If it doesn’t will you give Trump the credit or does he just get the blame?

[Anonymous]

Guys the op is sh!tposting, FYI

[Anonymous]

OP - I don't think crime statistics really matter to most posters here. They hate cities, including the District, and will argue to the end that urban areas are miserable and dangerous.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:OP - I don't think crime statistics really matter to most posters here. They hate cities, including the District, and will argue to the end that urban areas are miserable and dangerous.

Love DC and remember what it was like in the 10s. Every year saw improvement. Then a massive, staggering decline accompanied by lies that what we could all see and experience wasn’t happening. Would love to get back to the previous era.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:OP - I don't think crime statistics really matter to most posters here. They hate cities, including the District, and will argue to the end that urban areas are miserable and dangerous.

Love DC and remember what it was like in the 10s. Every year saw improvement. Then a massive, staggering decline accompanied by lies that what we could all see and experience wasn’t happening. Would love to get back to the previous era.

This exactly

[Anonymous]

Criminologist here:

Homicide is a good indicator of violent crime because there is always a body. Other violent crimes go underreported.

They go underreported even more when police legitimacy is down.

Homicide is becoming less of a good indicator, though, because people are being saved in ERs more often. Triage medicine has advanced significantly, particularly because of physicians and other medical staff have been gaining experience in wars that have plagued most of this century. Shot spotter technology helps get first responders to the scene more quickly as well, increasing survival odds.

Federal changes in policy don't have a ton of impact on local crime and safety. What I do see increasing, however, is vigilante "justice" to some, terrorism to others, like the killing of the United HealthCare CEO. Killing judges. Killing other people in positions of power. I do hope I'm wrong. But as government legitimacy continues to decline, that's what we will likely see.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:OP - I don't think crime statistics really matter to most posters here. They hate cities, including the District, and will argue to the end that urban areas are miserable and dangerous.

Correct

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:These statistics are dubious due to underreporting of violent crime and a completely incompetent prosecutors office. IMO, the only reliable indicator of violent crime is the murder rate. Being murdered is a more objective indicator of crime that is less subject to manipulation and underreporting.

What is your data to suggest an sudden increase in underreporting of VIOLENT crime other than your opinion?