Harris vs Trump poll numbers

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:More on this. The Dems can not win without PA and they are behind right now. Josh Shapiro will be the VP is polling show he can deliver the state.

Not a chance Pa is voting for her.

A Republican hasn’t won anything in PA since Trump in 2016.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:More on this. The Dems can not win without PA and they are behind right now. Josh Shapiro will be the VP is polling show he can deliver the state.

Not a chance Pa is voting for her.

Philadelphia would like a word.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Rasmussen? LOL

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:More on this. The Dems can not win without PA and they are behind right now. Josh Shapiro will be the VP is polling show he can deliver the state.

Not a chance Pa is voting for her.

Other than it's a blue state.

? it's purple.

Come on people look it up it's purple. The only swing state I think she can possibly pull in is AZ and that's a stretch and it won't be enough.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Rasmussen? LOL

+1 “Kamala doesn't do better than Biden among black voters” LOL

https://www.cnn.com/2024/07/24/politics/cnn-poll-kamala-harris-donald-trump/index.html

[Anonymous]

It's going to be a close race I think anyone outside their respective political bubble knows that.
I still think she can win.

Needs a good VP pick, excellent debate performance an

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:More on this. The Dems can not win without PA and they are behind right now. Josh Shapiro will be the VP is polling show he can deliver the state.

Not a chance Pa is voting for her.

Philadelphia would like a word.

Philly doesn't decide the election that's not how that works.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Kelly. She already knows him from presiding over all th 50/50 Senate votes. He has been to war. His state is pretty much ground zero for immigration issues. Little value on doubling down on AG experience (Shapiro) and PA is Biden’s other home state.

No the democrats need to win PA. Win PA and you win the race. Lose PA and it is over. Shapiro is the VP unless there is a big surge in PA.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

The 2024 presidential campaign has hit a reset with more voters moving into the undecided camp now that Kamala Harris is potentially the Democratic nominee, a new NPR/PBS News/Marist poll finds…

Harris and Trump are statistically tied

In a head-to-head matchup, Trump gets 46%, while Harris is at 45%, with 9% undecided. In Marist’s survey earlier this month, just 2% were undecided between Trump and Biden. The poll of 1,309 adults was conducted Monday via online research panels. It has a +/- 3.2 percentage point margin of error, meaning results could be roughly 3 points higher or lower.
In a five-way contest, Trump and Harris each get 42%, Robert F. Kennedy Jr. pulls in 7%, the lowest since Marist has been testing him since April, and independent Cornel West and the Green Party’s Jill Stein get just 1%.
Notably, Harris holds onto Gen Z/Millennial voters and nonwhite voters more so than Biden was able to when the contest moves from a head-to-head with Trump to one with third-party choices. Earlier this month, Biden declined 13 points with those younger voters and 10 points with nonwhite voters. Harris, on the other hand, largely retains her support with those groups.

https://www.michiganpublic.org/2024-07-23/poll-presidential-race-hits-a-reset-with-harris-vs-trump

The interesting thing is the increase in undecideds from 2% to 9%. Is that good for Harris or Trump. It seems most people have already decided on Trump and Biden. So I am thinking this is good for Harris.

This is a national poll which is useless because it is only a few swing states that matter - Arizona, Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. Question for VP pick for the Dems is is Pennsylvania tracker your way? If so you need to pick someone who will win you Michigan or Arizona.

Dems need Pennsylvania, Michigan and either Arizona or Wisconsin. That’s the race.

We're listening to polls again? Didn't we do that in 2016? How did it go then?

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:I still think it's too early to worry

At a minimum we need the VP pick.

I am concerned about the undecided.
.
I fear it's code for going to stay home

+1

Check out this link (looks to be bipartisan) that is interactive - kinda cool to follow:

https://www.270towin.com/maps/consensus-2024-presidential-election-forecast

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:More on this. The Dems can not win without PA and they are behind right now. Josh Shapiro will be the VP is polling show he can deliver the state.

Not a chance Pa is voting for her.

Other than it's a blue state.

Nope not fully blue yet. Pennsylvania is generally considered a battleground state. Donald Trump won the state by 0.7%. In 2020, Joe Biden won by 1.2%. Total toss up.

She polls terrible there:

https://elections2024.thehill.com/pennsylvania/harris-trump-pennsylvania/

Not a chance they will vote for her. I'd bet money on it.

Well yes because Kamala wants to shut fracking down. Of course she polls terribly there.

Yes, because people in Pennsylvania want to have more asthma, birth defects, and pediatric cancers. So they will vote for Trump.

https://www.fractracker.org/2023/08/pennsylvania-health-study-results/

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:More on this. The Dems can not win without PA and they are behind right now. Josh Shapiro will be the VP is polling show he can deliver the state.

Not a chance Pa is voting for her.

Other than it's a blue state.

? it's purple.

It has two Dem senators, 9/17 Reps are Dem, a Dem gov who won in a landslide and in the last 36 years it's gone red in a presidential election just once.

It's blue.

This is why Dem lost PA in 2016. Don't take that for granted. PA is purple.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Rasmussen? LOL

+1 “Kamala doesn't do better than Biden among black voters” LOL

https://www.cnn.com/2024/07/24/politics/cnn-poll-kamala-harris-donald-trump/index.html

She's losing the hispanic vote too according to a forbes poll overnight.

[Anonymous]

If Joe Biden can win PA, Michigan, Wisconsin, Arizona, Nevada, North Carolina and Georgia, Harris certainly can.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:More on this. The Dems can not win without PA and they are behind right now. Josh Shapiro will be the VP is polling show he can deliver the state.

Not a chance Pa is voting for her.

Other than it's a blue state.

? it's purple.

It has two Dem senators, 9/17 Reps are Dem, a Dem gov who won in a landslide and in the last 36 years it's gone red in a presidential election just once.

It's blue.

This is why Dem lost PA in 2016. Don't take that for granted. PA is purple.

I don't think Democrats are this time around. Remember Hilary's lack of ground game in Michigan? This is a sprint but one that comes with Biden's campaign structure and a huge get out the vote push. Also, Gen Z and Millennials could be a wildcard here. It's been 8 years since Trump's election and 4 years since the last. Demographics are destiny. I would really like to see the shifts over time and whether this will support the Democrats.