2024 POTUS - polling only

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:RealClearPolitics

It means they are doing a better job with polling now, and Trump supporters are way more loud now than they were in 2016 and even 2020. A lot of people voting for Harris will not respond to the polls. In 2022 they thought the red wave was coming and it never came. This means be all about turn out. For people that think Trump already won, just stay home and relax on Election Day. No need to go vote since he already won

Also, Trump says the vote is rigged, so why should his supporters bother?

[Anonymous]

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Weird. When I look at the economist model it has Harris at 272 and Trump at 266.

[Anonymous]

Eric Daugherty is being disingenuous.

From the Economist:
https://www.economist.com/united-states/2024/08/05/kamala-harris-leads-donald-trump-in-our-nationwide-poll-tracker

The Economist has published an updated poll tracker. It shows Ms Harris leading her opponent, Donald Trump, by 47% to 45% in the national popular vote. This is the first lead for the likely Democratic candidate since October 2023.

https://www.economist.com/interactive/us-2024-election/trump-harris-polls
Harris 48.0%, Trump 44.9%

https://www.economist.com/interactive/us-2024-election/prediction-model/president/
Harris 272, Trump 266

[Anonymous]

Interesting since we’re coming up on the debate

[Anonymous]

[Anonymous]

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote: Nate Silver Model update - Trump is back in the lead

🔴 Trump 52% (Chance)
🔵 Harris 47%

remind me what Nate Silver said about 2016 polls?

Nate Silver is working for JD Vance’s mentor Peter Thiel and is a complete idiot about politics.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote: Nate Silver Model update - Trump is back in the lead

🔴 Trump 52% (Chance)
🔵 Harris 47%

remind me what Nate Silver said about 2016 polls?

Nate Silver is working for JD Vance’s mentor Peter Thiel and is a complete idiot about politics.

LOL. And just a few short weeks ago when he showed Harris ahead, the Dems on this page were jubilant and beside themselves and raving about how accurate his results were.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote: Nate Silver Model update - Trump is back in the lead

🔴 Trump 52% (Chance)
🔵 Harris 47%

remind me what Nate Silver said about 2016 polls?

Nate Silver is working for JD Vance’s mentor Peter Thiel and is a complete idiot about politics.

LOL. And just a few short weeks ago when he showed Harris ahead, the Dems on this page were jubilant and beside themselves and raving about how accurate his results were.

Silver didn’t have his “model” up until a couple weeks ago.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote: Nate Silver Model update - Trump is back in the lead

🔴 Trump 52% (Chance)
🔵 Harris 47%

remind me what Nate Silver said about 2016 polls?

Nate Silver is working for JD Vance’s mentor Peter Thiel and is a complete idiot about politics.

There is zero chance of Eric Adams being a national player.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote: Nate Silver Model update - Trump is back in the lead

🔴 Trump 52% (Chance)
🔵 Harris 47%

remind me what Nate Silver said about 2016 polls?

Nate Silver is working for JD Vance’s mentor Peter Thiel and is a complete idiot about politics.

There is zero chance of Eric Adams being a national player.

Exactly and there’s never been any time when any NYC mayor has succeeded at that. That’s why Silver is dumb.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

This looks like the Benny Johnson-Polymarket-Tenet Media-Russia Today poll. Congratulations you are a victim of Russian propaganda.

[Anonymous]